Taif offers clues on the right governing formula for a new Syria

Questions of autonomy, integration, participation, and administration are key to resolving Syria’s many disputes among its many groups. Could a 1989 agreement for Lebanon show the way?

The largest Syrian flag was raised on the highest pole, 110 meters high, in Tishreen Park in the Syrian capital, Damascus, on June 4.
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The largest Syrian flag was raised on the highest pole, 110 meters high, in Tishreen Park in the Syrian capital, Damascus, on June 4.

Taif offers clues on the right governing formula for a new Syria

In 1989, the warring parties in Lebanon’s 14-year civil war agreed to end the fighting and settled on a system that allocated elements of power to each sectarian or religious ‘group’ within the fractured country. Negotiated in Taif, Saudi Arabia, it became known as the Taif Agreement and laid down general principles and key political reforms, including the so-called quota-based partnership.

Beyond that, it restored Lebanese sovereignty over all its territory after ending the presence of domestic and foreign militias and armed factions, resolved the issue of the displaced and affirmed the right to safe return, and ensured normal relations between Lebanon and Syria, including a planned Syrian military withdrawal within two years.

Naturally, solutions achieve their full effect only when there is complete alignment between intent and outcome, so in Lebanon, disputes did not disappear, and it took Syria’s military 15 years to withdraw—and only due to external pressure. In actuality, the most striking feature of the Lebanese Taif Agreement was its intellectual dimension and the model of governance it introduced.

Finding middle ground

It was Taif that first introduced the phrase “expanded administrative decentralisation”. Some have likened it to taking a position between two positions. In essence, it was a political and administrative middle ground. Given the situation in Syria, some now wonder whether something similar could apply there. As an official in the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES), it is natural that I have views here.

The bloc opposed to former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad consistently rejected foreign intervention in Syria. Those warning against this included the Democratic Union Party—one of the political components of the AANES—yet such foreign involvement in Syria has not been entirely negative.

Just like Taif, Saudi Arabia could again play a key role in settling another long-running Arab dispute, this time in Syria

United Nations Security Council Resolution 2254, agreed in 2015, remains one of the most significant measures taken to address the Syrian crisis responsibly. It particularly stood out for its aim of establishing a non-sectarian democratic system, combating terrorism, forming a transitional government with executive powers, holding parliamentary elections, and drafting a new constitution.

The AANES and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) were excluded from the commission that was tasked with drafting a new constitution—reportedly due to a Turkish veto. Any Syrian dialogue process that fails to include the AANES, the SDF, and other Syrian national forces is destined to fail.

Dashed hopes

Aside from fleeting moments of détente among polarised opposition factions and their backers, we had hope for the future from given the rising levels of trust in Arab and Western capitals, and even Moscow. Amman was tasked with preparing a list of armed groups linked to terrorism (it gave up after the list passed 1,000 groups). Riyadh helped reinstate Syria in the Arab League, offering an opportunity to reclaim a role worthy of Syria's historical standing, and helped lift US sanctions.

The transitional Syrian government (led by Ahmed al-Sharaa) could have capitalised on this, but a series of decisions and actions left the transitional authority partly responsible for bloodshed along the coast in March 2025. It should have taken the opportunity to change course, particularly after the 10 March agreement this year between the Damascus government and the SDF, but its share of responsibility grew heavier following the tragic events in Suweida. Syria remains the eternal stage of tragedy, its blood ever its own, its narrative forever inscribed, violence begetting violence.

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From right, former Lebanese Parliament Speaker Hussein al-Husseini, former Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal, and Algerian Foreign Minister Ahmed al-Ghasali, at a press conference in Taif, September 30, 1989.

Just as it was in Saudi Arabia, where the stakeholders of Lebanon finally ended the civil war there, so it could be Saudi Arabia that again plays a decisive role in the settlement of another long-running internal Arab dispute, this time in Syria. This was a point made by SDF commander Gen. Mazloum Abdi in a recent interview with Al Arabiya.

A dynamic formula

Nearly five years ago, on 30 August 2020, there was an agreement between the Syrian Democratic Council and the Syrian opposition 'Moscow Platform' in the Russian capital. This agreement can be described as the most dynamic of its time. The formula it presented had the potential to move steadily towards a Syrian solution.

One of the five points was recognising that the AANES was part of Syria's overall administrative system, with powers operating in a complementary relationship to those of the central authority, thereby strengthening the centre while sharing responsibilities.

Others were unifying Syria; recognising the Kurdish issue as a Syrian national matter to be resolved in line with international covenants and conventions; incorporating the SDF as part of a neutral Syrian national army with a specific status to be agreed upon; recognising Syria's resources belong to all Syrians; and providing for the safe return of the displaced, while rejecting any demographic change.

The SDF should be incorporated into the Syrian army, and all AANES institutions should be integrated into their counterparts in Syria's general administrative system

The borders of Syria and other states drawn by early 20th-century diplomats Mark Sykes and François Georges-Picot have grown increasingly brittle. The fragility stems neither from former Syrian President Adib al-Shishakli's 1949 claim that the country's name cloaks a land carved by colonial artifice, nor from current US envoy Tom Barrack's claim that this is the end of Sykes-Picot and the era of intervention.

Regional expansionist projects (particularly Turkish and Iranian), new cross-border movements, the actions of Islamic State (IS) terrorists a decade ago, and tribal movements have put pressure on the borders, and this list is far from comprehensive. In short, the borders will be tested continually until the deeper problem is resolved and the broader issues of the Middle East are addressed, not least questions of state, society and participation.

My vision for a new Syria

A new Syria should be founded on four pillars: a general Syrian national conference; a set of constitutional principles that form the backbone of the social contract; an expanded transitional government with full executive powers for an agreed period, concluding with elections that guarantee the separation of powers; and the creation of a non-ideological national army that is kept firmly out of politics.

The SDF should be incorporated into the Syrian army, and all AANES institutions should be integrated into their counterparts in Syria's general administrative system (certain efforts may be required to ensure that the transitional administration and the AANES operate in harmony, not unlike Taif).

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Members of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) attend the funeral of an Arab fighter in SDF who was killed the previous week in the eastern Deir Ezzor province, in thenortheastern Syrian Kurdish-majority city of Qamishli.

Yet by 'incorporated', the SDF does not simply mean 'rebranded' under a Syrian military corps within the Ministry of Defence. It entails the transformation of SDF military councils into divisions within that corps, reporting to the Syrian General Staff or the Ministry of Defence (MoD). In this context, integration means engagement and complementarity, not dissolution or disappearance.

This is not just about merging around 120,000 SDF fighters into around 30,000 within the MoD. It is far more complex because the factors and motivations that led to the SDF's creation still exist and remain pressing. Another issue is the detention centres and camps currently managed by the SDF with Western support.

The US Department of Defence has confirmed its continued partnership with the SDF and budgeted for this until at least the end of 2026. Recently, the coalition worked with the SDF to neutralise an IS leader responsible for the October 2014 massacre of the al-Shaitat tribe.

The Lebanese Taif Agreement distinguished between factionalism and resistance, ending militia weaponry while preserving a state of resistance. That was the right approach at the time. A 'Syrian Taif', if reached, could allow the SDF to retain a special status under the MoD, the Ministry of Interior, or both. A form of decentralisation in the Syrian state is set to remain, regardless of its exact shape. Although the transitional authority takes unilateral measures, it is still possible to engage seriously and even positively with its decisions.

Tailored to Syria's unique context, the country could be organised into five regions: the Coast; the North and East; the South; the Desert; and Damascus/the Interior

A five-region model

Syria could be organised into five regions within a federal unit: the Coast; the North and East; the South; the Desert; and Damascus/the Interior. This would be a modern political concept tailored to Syria's unique context and could take the form of "democratic decentralisation" (approved at the Cairo Conference in 2015 by Syrian opposition groups) or "national decentralisation".

The challenge lies not in the name but in the implementation. Many Syrians support the AANES model (provided it is further developed, its mistakes corrected, and its flaws addressed). Equally, most Syrians reject separation. There is no support for secession, nor for abandoning autonomous administration for the country's various communities, nor for abandoning decentralisation within the Syrian state. Syrians generally recognise that lasting solutions depend on wisdom and patience. This can be an opportunity for a modern Syria, just as Taif was for Lebanon 35 years ago.

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