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  • Deterrent Force
An Israeli Samson C-130J Super Hercules cargo plane flies over the Israeli coastal city of Netanya towards northern Israel, on August 25, 2024. Jack Guez / AFP

Back to base: calm restored as both Israel and Hezbollah claim 'victory'

Few want a major escalation but both sides feel they must respond to the other, creating a rolling boil conflict with heightened rhetoric that remains susceptible to temperature changes

Michael Horowitz 28, Aug 2024
The stakes are high as Israel and Iran go toe-to-toe throughout the region with a series of strikes and counter strikes. Will it be managed, or will it end dramatically? Shutterstock

At a crossroads: the Middle East now has but two choices

The past ten months have upended policy trajectories relating to the Middle East. How the conflict unfolds in the coming weeks will have huge and unpredictable consequences for millions

Paul Salem 17, Aug 2024
An Israeli military convoy on the move inside the Gaza Strip on August 14, 2024. Amir Cohen/Reuters

Is arms control experiencing a renaissance in the Middle East?

Not the arms control we have come to know from ratification signings, but a different, less formal, but perhaps no less effective form. Look closely, and you will see it is already happening

Bilal Saab 16, Aug 2024
Members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps conduct a military drill with ballistic missiles and unmanned air vehicles at Great Salt Desert, in the middle of the Iranian Plateau, on January 15, 2021 in Iran. (Getty)

A Deterrent Force Still Absent

The standoff between the United States and Iran has become a routine one. However, the present American appeasement of the rulers of Tehran shows the White House’s limited approach on a diplomatic or…

Jassem Mohamed – Bonn 02, Apr 2021
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Politics

Shaky Israel-Iran ceasefire points to unfinished business

24 June 2025

What Trump has dubbed the '12-Day War' could be just the opening salvo of a much longer conflict

Michael Horowitz
Emergency workers check the damage caused to a building from an Iranian missile strike in Beersheba in southern Israel on June 24, 2025. John Wessels / AFP
Business & Economy

Counting the cost of the Israel-Iran war

24 June 2025

The recent Israel-Iran war is not just a regional flashpoint; it is a mirror reflecting the fragility and interdependence of the modern global economy

Abdel-Rahman Ayas
Lina Jaradat
Politics

Attacks on Iran make a nuclear bomb more likely

20 June 2025

Iran's nuclear programme is damaged, but its determination is heightened

Eric Brewer
Opinion

Israeli and Iranian claims of victory ring hollow

25 June 2025

Netanyahu did not realise his goal of ending Iran's nuclear programme and regime change, and Iran stood alone in its war with Israel, as global and regional allies left it to fend for itself

Houssam Itani
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei addresses Iranians on the occasion of the 36th anniversary of the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini (portrait), in Tehran on June 4, 2025. KHAMENEI.IR / AFP
Profiles

Ali Khamenei: the guardian of Iran's strategic patience doctrine

21 June 2025

For decades, Iran's supreme leader—first Khomeini, then Khamenei—pursued a strategy of backing regional militias to fight Israel, but with the 'resistance axis' in tatters, Iran is left to fight alone

Arash Azizi

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