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  • Deterrent Force

An Israeli Samson C-130J Super Hercules cargo plane flies over the Israeli coastal city of Netanya towards northern Israel, on August 25, 2024. Jack Guez / AFP

Back to base: calm restored as both Israel and Hezbollah claim 'victory'

Few want a major escalation but both sides feel they must respond to the other, creating a rolling boil conflict with heightened rhetoric that remains susceptible to temperature changes

Michael Horowitz 28 August 2024
The stakes are high as Israel and Iran go toe-to-toe throughout the region with a series of strikes and counter strikes. Will it be managed, or will it end dramatically? Shutterstock

At a crossroads: the Middle East now has but two choices

The past ten months have upended policy trajectories relating to the Middle East. How the conflict unfolds in the coming weeks will have huge and unpredictable consequences for millions

Paul Salem 17 August 2024
An Israeli military convoy on the move inside the Gaza Strip on August 14, 2024. Amir Cohen/Reuters

Is arms control experiencing a renaissance in the Middle East?

Not the arms control we have come to know from ratification signings, but a different, less formal, but perhaps no less effective form. Look closely, and you will see it is already happening

Bilal Saab 16 August 2024
Members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps conduct a military drill with ballistic missiles and unmanned air vehicles at Great Salt Desert, in the middle of the Iranian Plateau, on January 15, 2021 in Iran. (Getty)

A Deterrent Force Still Absent

The standoff between the United States and Iran has become a routine one. However, the present American appeasement of the rulers of Tehran shows the White House’s limited approach on a diplomatic or…

Jassem Mohamed – Bonn 02 April 2021
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A Kurdish Peshmerga fighter affiliated with Iran's separatist Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), mans a position north of Kirkuk, in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region. Safin Hamid/AFP
Politics

Why Iran’s militant Kurds stayed out of the US-Iran war

31 May 2026

In March there was talk of armed Kurdish fighters opening a second front in Iran's north-west, but it never happened—for several very good reasons.

Alex Vatanka
Raúl Castro was Cuban president from 2006 to 2018, having served as Minister for the Armed Forces from 1959 to 2008. AFP
Profiles

Raúl Castro: the soldier who made Fidel’s revolution endure

31 May 2026

Fidel's brother built Cuba's armed forces and took over the presidency when his more charismatic sibling fell ill two decades ago. A recent US indictment from a 1996 incident now asks new questions.

Stefanie Butendieck Hijerra
Chinese President Xi Jinping and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif shake hands at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, on 25 May 2026. Reuters
Politics

How Pakistan became China’s indispensable intermediary

01 June 2026

With war closing the Strait of Hormuz, Islamabad has become both broker and bridge, mediating between rivals while keeping Beijing's overland trade routes alive

Shirley Ze Yu
SARA GIRONI CARNEVALE
Business & Economy

How AI is changing the nature of work

01 June 2026

Some predict 'the end of jobs,' others a 'jobs apocalypse,' but optimists think people will adapt and get paid to do different things. Amidst war and mountains of debt, is AI a help or a harbinger?

Abdel-Rahman Ayas
Turkish drilling vessel Cagri Bey, which is set to conduct Turkiye's first deep-sea drilling operation docks in the Indian Ocean near the Mogadishu sea port in Mogadishu, Somalia April 10, 2026. Reuters / Feisal Omar
Business & Economy

Türkiye’s proposed maritime bill risks reigniting old rivalries

01 June 2026

The Exclusive Economic Zone risks reopening disputes over energy, maritime claims, and influence in the Eastern Mediterranean

Amr Emam

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