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  • Deterrent Force

An Israeli Samson C-130J Super Hercules cargo plane flies over the Israeli coastal city of Netanya towards northern Israel, on August 25, 2024. Jack Guez / AFP

Back to base: calm restored as both Israel and Hezbollah claim 'victory'

Few want a major escalation but both sides feel they must respond to the other, creating a rolling boil conflict with heightened rhetoric that remains susceptible to temperature changes

Michael Horowitz 28 August 2024
The stakes are high as Israel and Iran go toe-to-toe throughout the region with a series of strikes and counter strikes. Will it be managed, or will it end dramatically? Shutterstock

At a crossroads: the Middle East now has but two choices

The past ten months have upended policy trajectories relating to the Middle East. How the conflict unfolds in the coming weeks will have huge and unpredictable consequences for millions

Paul Salem 17 August 2024
An Israeli military convoy on the move inside the Gaza Strip on August 14, 2024. Amir Cohen/Reuters

Is arms control experiencing a renaissance in the Middle East?

Not the arms control we have come to know from ratification signings, but a different, less formal, but perhaps no less effective form. Look closely, and you will see it is already happening

Bilal Saab 16 August 2024
Members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps conduct a military drill with ballistic missiles and unmanned air vehicles at Great Salt Desert, in the middle of the Iranian Plateau, on January 15, 2021 in Iran. (Getty)

A Deterrent Force Still Absent

The standoff between the United States and Iran has become a routine one. However, the present American appeasement of the rulers of Tehran shows the White House’s limited approach on a diplomatic or…

Jassem Mohamed – Bonn 02 April 2021
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  • Editor's Pick
US President Donald Trump speaks during a reception with business leaders on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on 21 January 2026. Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP
Politics

In Davos, a tale of two speeches

22 January 2026

Trump follows Greenland threats by announcing a "future deal," while Canada's prime minister describes it all as a "rupture in the world order"

Ravi Agrawal
Syrians celebrate in Raqqa on 19 January 2026, after Syria and the SDF struck a wide-ranging deal to bring Kurdish civilian and military authorities under central government control on Sunday. REUTERS / Karam al-Masri
Politics

Why Syrian army gains against the SDF unnerve Israel

20 January 2026

Israeli media have painted the "defeat of the Kurds" as a win for Türkiye, while Israel's military worries that this may carry negative implications for its presence in the Golan

Michael Harari
Opinion

The battle for the state is reshaping regional alliances

18 January 2026

From Yemen and Syria to Sudan and Libya, there is a concerted effort to reassert state authority and thwart moves toward the proliferation of quasi-states and fragmentation

Ibrahim Hamidi
A general view of a concrete block marking the "Yellow Line" drawn by the Israeli military in Bureij, central Gaza Strip, on 4 November 2025. BASHAR TALEB / AFP / Al Majalla
Politics

Is Israel annexing more than half of Gaza?

20 January 2026

The ambiguous meaning of Israel's new yellow line

Giovanni Legorano
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi (R) shakes hands with Sudan's army chief General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Cairo on 18 December 2025. AFP
Politics

Egypt stiffens its resolve to stop Sudan fragmentation

18 January 2026

For Cairo, stability in its southern neighbour is a national security issue. After almost three years of seeking a diplomatic solution, there are signs that it is now turning to firepower.

Amr Emam

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OPINIONS

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