We chose this week’s cover story because US Vice President JD Vance, who could become president in 2028, recently outlined a wider political vision that could reshape the contours of America’s Middle East policy, especially with regards to Israel and Iran. Speaking to podcaster Joe Rogan, Vance criticised Israel (for trying to keep the US fighting) and US lawmakers for being influenced by pro-Israel lobbyists. He has led Washington’s negotiations with Iran and believes that the war will have to end in a deal.
Vance’s comments point to a shift both within the Republican Party, where American interests increasingly come above those of allies, and of the American public, whose sympathy with Israel is on the wane. Interestingly, the US-funded ten-year $38bn military aid package to Israel is up for renewal just as Americans next go to the polls. Are we seeing the emergence of a ‘Vance Doctrine,’ one where Washington no longer fears to treat Israel as just another ally? Time will tell, but Tel Aviv will be worried.