No single party in Yemen can impose dominance over the other through military force, nor can any side achieve dominance solely by relying on external actors
The rejection of peace initiatives, the clampdown on civil society, and the forced disappearance of humanitarian workers have contributed to growing fatigue among Yemenis under their control
Amid growing fears that the Middle East and the world are forgetting about a long-running war in the splintered country, a particular solution is gaining steam as popular protests break out
US President Donald Trump agreed a ceasefire in early May on the condition that the Houthis do not attack American ships. Good to their word, they are still attacking others, with no comeuppance.
Each year, around $1tn worth of cargo, including oil and liquefied natural gas, flows through the Red Sea and Suez Canal. This represents nearly 15% of global seaborne trade, and about 30% of global…
An Israeli presence at the entrance of the Red Sea would alter the regional balance of power, extend the Abraham Accords alliance, and project its military influence into the Indian Ocean
An informed Yemeni military source says a US-backed Yemeni government assault is likely to begin "between mid and late May" after US air strikes have crippled key Houthi military assets
A waterway wedged between Africa and Asia is the preferred transit route for around 30% of global containerised trade. No wonder foreign stakeholders are all vying for bases along the route.
Tehran has long sponsored the Houthis in Yemen, which is the last member of Iran's 'axis of resistance' still standing up to Israel. Neither fully trust each other and never have.
When states are attacked, authority gravitates towards institutions capable of mobilising resources, enforcing discipline, and coordinating a military response
There are few examples of successful US regime-change operations in history. And without permanent ground troop presence, these wins can easily be reversed.
Cairo and Tehran have been at loggerheads since 1979, but the Iranian threat has always acted as a check on Israeli ambitions. If Iran is completely defeated, Israel will reign supreme.