It's complicated, but not this month, most likely.

The Israeli government is not a party to the new peace agreement, and top officials have already spoken out against it

Netanyahu continues to defy calls from Washington to pump the brakes on Israel's offensive in Lebanon, something Iran has linked to a future peace deal

Seizing Castro could prove more costly and less effective than the capture of Maduro

Beijing can't easily afford to escalate any economic struggle with Washington

Trump's blockade aims to force damaging shutdowns at Iranian oil fields. But Tehran has been through this before.

The conflict is wreaking havoc on an obscure sector that is more important than you'd think.

The first priority is Trump's image, not national interests.

Conflict with Iran hurts American wallets, but it's far more devastating for people in the global south.

Even if the ceasefire holds, it will take months to undo the damage.