Sudan's war is hard to end because it is so misunderstood

A conference in London last month yielded no success, just like a similar event in Paris last year. With foreign countries backing one side or the other, equivalence appears to be the main problem.

Sudan's war is hard to end because it is so misunderstood

After two years of devastating civil war in Sudan, international actors with an interest in the conflict came to London for a conference convened by the British Foreign Office to try to find a solution. Instead, it exposed deep divisions among international and Arab states.

Owing to disagreement between attendees, the conference failed to produce a consensus communiqué, which was instead issued by the co-chairs (the UK and the European Union). Having not sought donor pledges to aid the humanitarian effort, the conference also failed to establish a Sudan contact group.

The Sudanese government and Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), led by Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, are fighting the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), led by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, also known as Hemedti, but both the warring parties were notably absent from London, having not been invited.

As Sudan’s war enters its third year, the conference exposed how the international community still cannot formulate a unified, effective, and realistic strategy to end the conflict, with the RSF holding around a quarter of Sudanese territory, mostly in the mineral-rich western region of Darfur.

Perceived legitimacy

Ever since the war broke out, al-Burhan and the army have refused to talk to the RSF, saying negotiations would confer unwarranted legitimacy on the militia. Indeed, analysts say this false ‘equivalence’ between the SAF and the RSF is at the heart of the international community’s inability to agree on how best to stop the war.

Some international actors want to treat the Sudanese army as a separate entity distinct from the Sudanese government, citing claims of illegitimacy following a coup in October 2021. Others say the armed forces constitute a core component of the Sudanese state, and that separating them would obstruct prospects for a democratic transition and reinforce an authoritarian trajectory.

The London conference coincided with an attack by the RSF on the Zamzam camp for internally displaced persons, just 15km from El-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur and the last remaining SAF stronghold in Darfur. The city has been under siege for months.

As Sudan's war enters its third year, a unified, effective, and realistic strategy to end the conflict has yet to be reached

On 11 April, RSF fighters stormed the Zamzam camp, committing atrocities of an ethnic nature and carrying out summary executions of humanitarian workers, according to eyewitness accounts. Among the victims were nine healthcare workers at a clinic operated by Relief International, the last functioning medical facility in the camp.

Zamzam was already a place in dire need of help. In August 2024, catastrophic famine (Phase 5 of the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification) was declared there. Respected healthcare charity Médecins Sans Frontières reported that one child was dying every two hours due to hunger or disease.

Analysts and activists have long accused the United Arab Emirates of supporting the RSF in return for some of Darfur's mineral wealth, including diamonds. Last month, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) began hearing a case brought by Sudan accusing the UAE of being "complicit in genocide"—a charge Abu Dhabi denies.

In London, UAE representatives opposed language suggested by Egypt and Saudi Arabia that called for respecting Sudan's state institutions, an implicit reference to the Sudanese army.

Calling out the RSF

Continued military and logistical support for the RSF, including drones used to attack infrastructure, is increasingly causing tensions diplomatically and politically. US Representative Sara Jacobs and Senator Chris Van Hollen are among those calling this the main reason for the perpetuation of war in Sudan.

In February 2025, the RSF and other forces formed the 'Tassis' alliance in Nairobi, after the 'Tagadum' alliance led by former Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok splintered. Their aim is to announce a parallel government based in Darfur, and explain the militia's intensified efforts to seize El-Fasher. This would heighten the risk of Sudan's fragmentation, which would impact its immediate neighbours most of all.

Outside the London conference, Sudanese protesters voiced their opposition to the invitation of those they accuse of fuelling the conflict. Some Western diplomats felt that these protests were contrived extensions of official Sudanese government positions—aligned with the political aspirations of Sudan's elite—rather than genuine expressions of public anger.

To some Sudanese, however, this simply exemplified the West's misjudgment of Sudan and its inability to adapt to unfolding realities, with international actors clinging dogmatically to their initial assessments, regardless of unfolding evidence. This has led to Sudanese scepticism about foreign intentions and weakened the perceived ability of external actors to come up with solutions.

The world's handling of Sudan's war is similar to its handling of the Bosnia war, where a false equivalence between Bosnian forces and Serbian militias was drawn

False equivalence

Some have likened the international community's handling of Sudan to the early stages of the Bosnian War, where Western powers adopted a false equivalence between the Bosnian government and Serbian militias, despite clear evidence of ethnic cleansing and genocide by the latter.

While SAF soldiers are not without fault or blame, there is a stark difference between their conduct and the conduct of the RSF militia. According to the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED), the SAF was responsible for nearly 200 incidents involving civilian casualties last year, compared to around 1,300 incidents attributed to the RSF.

Diplomatic neutrality in the face of clear aggression can enable the very crimes the world vowed never to tolerate again, yet from the RSF's massacre of the Masalit people in 2023 to the recent storming of Zamzam camp, many remain indifferent amidst the weaponisation of information and use of alternative narratives.

For instance, the spectre of Islamic extremism is invoked, possibly to divert international attention from the atrocities being committed by the RSF. This narrative seeks to frighten the West with the prospect of a resurgence of political Islam and terrorism, effectively enabling genocide under the guise of 'counterterrorism'.

In such an environment of misinformation, external actors have been urged to redouble their efforts to verify facts, as the world faces a moment of truth over Sudan: whether to continue with its policy of equivalence with the SAF and RSF, or whether to align with the aspirations of ordinary Sudanese, who seek neither foreign patrons nor proxy negotiations, but rather sovereign, sustainable peace.

Currently, the RSF and their external sponsors are largely free to act without accountability, which means that reports of massacres will continue to come in. London shows that peace in Sudan is unlikely to come from power-brokered mediations behind closed doors in Western capitals, no matter how well-intentioned.

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