What Trump wants from Sharaa

The US-Israeli plan for a new Middle East requires a pliable Syria. To this end, a long list of tall demands has been handed to the new leadership in Damascus.

What Trump wants from Sharaa

The US foreign policy approach to Damascus under the Trump administration is one that views Syria through a purely geopolitical lens—not a humanitarian one. However, within this narrow approach lies two divided camps.

The first wants nothing to do with the new interim government of Ahmed al-Sharaa, which it views as associated with terrorist and jihadist entities. But a second camp believes engagement with al-Sharaa’s government should be conditional and that Syria must meet an extensive list of demands before the US considers lifting sanctions and repealing the Caesar Act.

The actual ask

But behind these demands—which include calls for an inclusive government, a pluralistic constitution, and a national army free from foreign fighters—lies the actual ask: Washington wants a government pliant to Israeli and American interests. This real goal was revealed last week at a donors’ conference in Brussels when a list of even more specific American criteria was handed to the Syrian foreign ministry.

These demands included the new government granting access to WMD and chemical weapons facilities; its full cooperation in the fight against the Islamic State (IS) to prevent its resurgence; appointing a dedicated team to address the issue of missing Americans, including the fate of journalist Austin Tice; officially designating Iran’s Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist organisation; securing the Syrian-Lebanese border’; and “encouraging” Lebanon to pursue a peace agreement with Israel by joining the Abraham Accords.

Expanding the Abraham Accords is a critical component of the Trump II Strategy for a “new Middle East”, and a neutralised Iran is crucial to this plan. To this end, the US president has sent a direct message to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, issuing a 60-day ultimatum to reach an agreement to abandon the country's military nuclear programme and change its regional conduct or face joint US-Israel military action aimed at destroying its nuclear capabilities.

What Sharaa is being asked to do is quite the tall order, all the while Israel is occupying Syrian land

Also key to this plan is a pliable Syria. In January, al-Sharaa publicly congratulated Trump on his inauguration, saying he was looking forward to improving relations between the two countries. "We are confident that he is the leader to bring peace to the Middle East and restore stability to the region," he said.

In a recent interview with ex-Fox News presenter Tucker Carlson, US Special Envoy to the Middle East Steve Witkoff appeared pleased with al-Sharaa's leadership so far, pointing to al-Sharaa's congratulatory message to Trump as a positive indicator. It's important to note that Witkoff gave the interview hot on the heels of a "critical" phone call between Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Trump.

A tall order

Apart from getting Iran to abandon its military nuclear programme and halt its support for regional militant groups—and getting Lebanon to join the Abraham Accords and pull Hezbollah away from the border with Israel—the Trump administration wants to move Gaza's Palestinian population to different countries, including Syria, Sudan, Somaliland, and Somalia.

What al-Sharaa is being asked to do is quite a tall order, all the while being expected to accept Israel's ongoing occupation of its land, notably its seizure of Mount Hermon, the buffer zone between the two countries and critical water sources in the Golan, not to mention its ongoing strikes on strategic Syrian facilities that keep trying to resume operations.

Just how much al-Sharaa is willing or able to concede remains to be seen, but US/Israel-Syria relations will most certainly be delicate and tense in the coming weeks and months.

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