Syria's HTS-packed government hints at authoritarian future

The lack of transparency threatens to derail Syria's aspirations for a democratic and inclusive future, transforming what should be a period of hope and progress into one of missed opportunities

Khaled Brigade, a part of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), hold a military parade, after Syria's Bashar al-Assad was ousted, in Damascus on 27 December 2024.
Amr Abdallah Dalsh/Reuters
Khaled Brigade, a part of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), hold a military parade, after Syria's Bashar al-Assad was ousted, in Damascus on 27 December 2024.

Syria's HTS-packed government hints at authoritarian future

Although less than a month has passed since the fall of the Assad regime, the past few weeks have felt like an era of their own—marked by a whirlwind of change, uncertainty, and intense emotions. For many Syrians, hope and joy dominate, yet these feelings are tempered by lingering anxiety about the country’s future. This unease stems not only from the lack of clarity about what lies ahead but also from growing concerns over how this critical transitional period is being managed.

Public sentiment has fluctuated in response to the actions of the caretaker authority, a body appointed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) to oversee the first three months of the post-Assad phase. Both the transitional authority and HTS have faced periodic criticism for decisions that have sparked heated debate. These controversies range from exclusionary rhetoric to unilateral actions that exceed the authority’s mandate and carry potentially long-term consequences.

Yet, amidst these challenges, there is a silver lining. The HTS-appointed body has, at times, responded positively to public criticism, demonstrating a willingness to adjust its course. This responsiveness offers a glimmer of hope: for the first time in decades, Syrians may have an opportunity to drive change peacefully, without fear of reprisal for voicing dissent. However, the ability of citizens to influence this transition hinges on two critical factors: transparency and accountability.

Currently, the transitional process is dominated by HTS, and its lack of openness risks alienating the public and eroding trust. To ensure accountability and empower Syrians to shape their country’s future, the decisions and actions of the transitional authority must be fully transparent. Only with transparency can the public remain informed and advocate for necessary changes. Without it, the aspiration to construct the post-Assad Syria that people envision is at risk of being undermined, jeopardising the country’s prospects for a democratic and inclusive future.

Outcry for inclusivity

One of the recent episodes that sparked widespread outrage among Syrians was a statement made by Aisha Al-Debs, Head of the Women's Affairs Office in the HTS-appointed caretaker body. In a televised interview, Al-Debs stated, "I will not allow space for those who disagree with my views (on women's affairs)," underscoring her intent to impose a rigid, ideologically driven Islamic model for women.

The backlash was not solely against her personal beliefs but rather against her exclusionary and authoritarian stance on dissent—a deeply concerning attitude for someone in a pivotal transitional leadership role. The public outrage over her comments prompted HTS-appointed officials to issue more balanced statements on this issue in an attempt to defuse the backlash.

Shortly after Al-Debs’ remarks, the caretaker body reportedly appointed Muhsina al-Mahithawi, a Druze woman from Sweida, as governor of the province. While this decision addressed demands from a delegation from Sweida, many interpreted its timing as an attempt by the group to mitigate the backlash from Al-Debs' comments by allowing women outside of HTS’s ideological framework to assume leadership roles.

Curriculum controversy

Another decision that triggered widespread criticism involved changes to school textbooks. While the move to amend the curriculum was widely acknowledged as necessary—particularly to remove mentions of the Assads and Baathist ideology—the way it was executed provoked a significant backlash.

The HTS-led transitional body went beyond what was deemed appropriate for this stage of transition, introducing changes with a distinctly religious tone. For instance, the definition of "martyr" was revised to refer to someone who dies for "God" rather than defending the "homeland."

The revisions also included the removal of an entire unit on evolution, the dismissal of Zenobia—a revered historical figure—as a fictional character, and the erasure of the history of the Arameans, Canaanites, and ancient deities.

The absence of inclusivity reinforces fears that HTS is leveraging its position to consolidate long-term power

Critics on social media argued that these curriculum amendments exceeded the mandate of a transitional body led solely by HTS. Many also noted that some of the changes contradicted established scientific and historical facts, further fueling concerns about the body's overreach.

In response to the criticism, the caretaker education minister issued a statement clarifying that the changes were temporary. He also assured the public that specialised committees would be formed at a later stage to conduct a comprehensive review and make necessary amendments to the curriculum.

A calculated approach to criticism

It is worth noting, however, that the HTS leadership has not always responded to criticism of its actions, particularly when public outcry has been less widespread. This selective approach was evident in HTS's recent decision to promote armed commanders to high military ranks without consulting on how to integrate individuals lacking traditional military backgrounds or careers into official armed structures.

The decision raised additional concerns, as the vast majority of those promoted were HTS members. This fuelled fears that the group was using its dominance during the transitional period to entrench long-term control. Among the most notable promotions was that of HTS-appointed caretaker Defence Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra, the group's military commander, who was elevated to the rank of Major General. The only other individual promoted to the same rank was Ali Nour Al-Din Al-Nassan, another HTS military commander who currently serves as Chief of the General Staff of the Syrian Army. 

Reuters
Syria's de facto leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, sits next to the newly-appointed defence minister Murhaf Abu Qasra on December 21, 2024.

Public unease was further heightened by the promotion of at least six non-Syrians to senior ranks, including Brigadier General and Colonel. These individuals reportedly included two Jordanians, one Turkistani, one Turkish, one Tajikistani, and one Egyptian. The elevation of foreign nationals to such high-ranking positions raised serious questions about transparency and overreach, with critics arguing that decisions of this magnitude should never be made unilaterally, regardless of the justification.

Unlike in other instances, HTS did not issue clarifications, attempt damage control, or frame these promotions as temporary. HTS's tolerance for limited criticism suggests a calculated approach. This lack of response may stem from the limited criticism the group encountered regarding the decision.

Another plausible explanation for HTS's lack of response lies in the group's calculated willingness to endure backlash over decisions it considers vital to its long-term objectives. The promotion of its loyalists is central to HTS's efforts to consolidate lasting influence over Syria's armed forces. This strategic significance likely shaped HTS's decision to tolerate the criticism it generated, viewing the backlash as either manageable or inconsequential compared to the potential benefits of strengthening its control.

This raises pressing questions about whether HTS will be willing to reconsider or reverse decisions it views as essential to securing its long-term dominance or advancing its broader vision for the country—even if public opposition intensifies over time.

By appointing its own members to government positions, HTS could shape Syria's trajectory for decades

Risks of unchecked power

The magnitude of the issues highlighted in these examples extends far beyond the individual incidents themselves. They reflect a deeper concern about the unilateral actions of the HTS-appointed transitional body, which now exerts control over all critical sectors—including the military, security, judiciary, economy, and government institutions.

By appointing its members to assume control of all functions of the former Assad government, HTS has effectively positioned itself as the de facto ruler of Syria. This concentration of authority grants HTS the ability to make decisions that could shape the country's trajectory for decades.

Regardless of the justification behind HTS's reliance on its own members to lead the caretaker body, this approach carries significant risks. Exclusively appointing individuals aligned with HTS's vision creates the conditions for an echo chamber, where dissenting perspectives are systematically excluded, and decisions are driven solely by the group's ideology.

This concern is exacerbated by the lack of transparency, as many critical decisions are being made behind closed doors without public oversight. The absence of inclusivity and openness not only undermines public trust but also reinforces fears that HTS is leveraging its position to consolidate long-term power.

These risks underscore the urgent need for independent monitoring mechanisms, even during the brief mandate of the HTS-appointed caretaker body. Such mechanisms are crucial to ensure that the body's decisions are transparent and subject to public scrutiny. Citizens must be kept informed and empowered to challenge actions they disagree with. With parliament currently suspended, the lack of transparent and independent oversight creates fertile ground for unchecked power and unilateral decision-making.

Without immediate action to establish accountability measures, the transitional period risks becoming a breeding ground for authoritarianism. The lack of transparency threatens to derail Syria's aspirations for a democratic and inclusive future, transforming what should be a period of hope and progress into one of unchecked control and missed opportunities. Public oversight is not a luxury—it is an essential safeguard for the nation's journey toward stability, inclusion, and self-determination.

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