Netanyahu call for Palestinians to "leave" Gaza raises alarm in Egypt

Since then, Israeli officials have backtracked, trying to assure Egypt that it respects its borders. But Cairo has reason to be sceptical.

While a mass exodus of Palestinians from Gaza would be a dream for Israel, Egyptians worry this could effectively end the dream of a Palestinian state.
Majalla/Agencies
While a mass exodus of Palestinians from Gaza would be a dream for Israel, Egyptians worry this could effectively end the dream of a Palestinian state.

Netanyahu call for Palestinians to "leave" Gaza raises alarm in Egypt

Israel's ceaseless bombardment of Gaza, starving its population of over 2.3 million, and cutting off electricity, water and basic goods, including medicine, threatens to create a humanitarian so dire that Palestinians living there will be forced to seek refuge outside the enclave.

However, they are effectively imprisoned as only two border crossings — one with Israel and one with Egypt — are closed. They are not only blockaded by land but also by air and sea.

So where exactly are they supposed to go? It seems their only hope is the Rafah border crossing with Egypt's Sinai Peninsula, which shares a 12-kilometre border with Gaza.

AFP
A picture taken on October 10, 2023, shows the closed gates of the Rafah border crossing with Egypt.

Despite broad sympathy for the Palestinian cause across Egyptian society, many are against opening the border. While a mass exodus of Palestinians from Gaza would be a dream for Israel, Egyptians worry this could reverse their hard-won gains in the desert region.

Egyptian MPs have firmly rejected the idea, and al-Azhar — the highest seat of Sunni Islam — advised Palestinians "to stay in their homes and die as heroes", rather than leave it behind to be taken over by Israel.

Egypt reacts to cryptic comment

But a cryptic comment by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for Gazans "to leave" has raised eyebrows in Cairo over what exactly he meant.

On his part, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi vowed that his country would not bear the brunt of the repercussions of any failure of the so-called Palestinian peace process, which claims to be working towards a two-state solution and a Palestinian homeland.

"Egypt's national security is my top priority," the Egyptian leader said on 10 October.

"There cannot be any compromise on Egyptian security under any condition," he said while attending a graduation ceremony of a new group of police cadets in Cairo.

But as calls to issue safe passage for Gaza civilians under Israeli bombardment intensified, el-Sisi spoke out again two days later on 12 October, saying that Palestinians in Gaza must “stay steadfast and remain on their land”.

He said Egypt was already hosting “nine million guests, as I call them, from many countries who came to Egypt for security and safety.”

But the case of Gazans “is different”, he said, because their displacement would mean “the elimination of the (Palestinian) cause.”

But the next day, 13 October, Israel’s military directed the evacuation of hundreds of thousands of civilians living in Gaza City ahead of a feared Israel ground offensive.

The directive came on the heels of what the United Nations said was a warning they received from Israel to evacuate 1.1 million people living north of Gaza within 24 hours.

The displacement of Palestinians in Gaza would mean the elimination of the Palestinian cause.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

On her part, Israel's ambassador to Cairo, Amira Oron, said Israel had not inferred that Gazans should leave and go to Egypt.

"Israel is committed to the peace treaty with Egypt, where borders between the two states are clearly defined," Oron wrote on X in Arabic, a few hours after el-Sisi made his remarks.

"Sinai is an Egyptian territory where the Egyptian army fought against terrorism during the past ten years," she added.

Read more: IS spectre disappears from Sinai for first time in decade

Reasons for scepticism

Despite Israeli reassurances, Egypt does not seem to be convinced. This fear is rooted in longstanding Arab distrust over an old Israeli plan to kick Palestinians out of "Israel" and incorporate them into surrounding Arab states.

This blueprint was first proposed by Israeli right-wing politician, Avigdor Lieberman, in 2014.

As foreign minister in Benjamin Netanyahu's cabinet, Lieberman wanted in 2014 to retain Jewish areas in the occupied West Bank in exchange for giving the Palestinian Authority populous Israeli Arab areas within Israel, including the Galilee Triangle and the Wadi Ara valley.

Gaza was originally not part of the blueprint, but it later became central to the Israeli transfer plan when Mohamed Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood came to power in Egypt in mid-2012.

In 2018, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas alleged that Morsi had floated the idea of giving a part of the Sinai away to Hamas, which is an ideological offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood.

AFP
Smoke billows during an Israeli air strike in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on October 11, 2023.

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Despite Israeli reassurances, Egypt does not seem to be convinced. This fear is rooted in longstanding Arab distrust over an old Israeli plan to kick Palestinians out of "Israel" and incorporate them into surrounding Arab states.

A tough spot

If it happens, a flood of Gazans at the Egyptian border will put Cairo in a tough spot. On the one hand, it does not want to be seen as turning away people who are fleeing for their lives.

AFP
People search for survivors after an Israeli air strike in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on October 11, 2023.

However, on the other, it fears it could lead to a permanent situation where the Sinai could turn into a Palestinian refugee camp.

Therefore, Egypt is desperately trying to prevent this scenario from materialising. It attempted to deliver essential supplies into Gaza, such as food and fuel from its Rafah border crossing.

However, the trucks had to turn back after Israel threatened to strike them. Israel has been bombing the Gaza side of the Rafah border, terrifying Palestinians who have flocked to the border in the hope that it will be opened for humanitarian reasons. 

Since it cannot deliver aid itself, Egypt has redoubled its diplomatic efforts to convince Israel and the US to allow the delivery of much-needed aid to Gaza, as supplies are quickly running out, including food, water, fuel and medicine.

Tens of thousands of Gaza's residents have been displaced inside their territory so far because of Israel's relentless air strikes, shelling and the levelling of whole neighbourhoods and residential areas.

Despite facing the prospect of being killed, many Gazans do not want to leave because they fear this displacement will be permanent.

If Palestinians do leave, this would effectively be the end of Hamas (if they end up surviving Israel's current onslaught), which would lose all its credibility and power.

Egyptians also believe this would effectively end the Palestinian statehood dream.

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