Israel-Iran Confrontation

His thoughts on Israel and Iran

Cairo and Tehran have been at loggerheads since 1979, but the Iranian threat has always acted as a check on Israeli ambitions. If Iran is completely defeated, Israel will reign supreme.

Our July issue features in-depth articles and expert analyses exploring the future of Iran's influence and the long-term reverberations for the region

Iran has concluded that Israel and the US aim to bring down its government at some point, but it may be a gradual campaign rather than a boots-on-the-ground blitz

Iran's Supreme Leader would be wise to acknowledge that his longstanding strategic patience doctrine has run its course. With few cards left to play, he may have to choose between these two options.

Tehran will return to nuclear negotiations with far fewer cards. Even if it seeks a token gesture on enrichment, that could be rejected. Remaining options include capitulation or even civil war.

Fighting between Iran and Israel impacted North Africa, where surging prices may disrupt budgets and plans. But for North Africa's energy exporters, higher oil prices are a reason to cheer.

Images of rocket trails, explosions, and destruction were broadcast worldwide, but a quieter war in cyberspace was also being waged, and it was no less important

The recent Israel-Iran war is not just a regional flashpoint; it is a mirror reflecting the fragility and interdependence of the modern global economy