There are few examples of successful US regime-change operations in history. And without permanent ground troop presence, these wins can easily be reversed.
In response to events since October 2023, Middle East nations have found that they are strong when acting in concert. This has the power to fundamentally change the game.
Israel's war on Gaza has cost it support among Christian conservatives—traditionally strong supporters of Israel—alarming pro-Israel forces who are scrambling to counter the phenomenon
Washington seems to have changed its tone after the RSF committed atrocities in October, putting increasing pressure on the foreign backers of a paramilitary that now controls Darfur. What next?
For decades, two separate states - North and South Yemen - existed side-by-side, until the Cold War ended. Suddenly, the two came together. For a brief moment, united Yemen prospered.
When there were allegations of ethnic cleansing in Darfur in 2003, celebrities and others were up in arms. Today, with 60,000 reportedly killed in three weeks, protests are few. Why the change?
The two countries at last have a maritime border, letting energy firms search for new gas fields in the Eastern Mediterranean, but the agreement has geopolitical repercussions too.
A $35bn gas supply deal between these two neighbours is being held up by political disagreements, some of which relate to their 1979 peace treaty. What next for the Israel-Egypt relationship?
When states are attacked, authority gravitates towards institutions capable of mobilising resources, enforcing discipline, and coordinating a military response
Cairo and Tehran have been at loggerheads since 1979, but the Iranian threat has always acted as a check on Israeli ambitions. If Iran is completely defeated, Israel will reign supreme.
Even if it stays on the sidelines of the US-Iran war, the country is fragile. Unlike larger economies that can absorb shocks in global markets, it has little room to cushion the impact.