Israel-Syria security talks make headway in Paris

The US has made it clear that securing a deal is a key priority, and it will be looking to pick up the pace of talks ahead of Israeli elections later this year

US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner deliver remarks upon the signing of the declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the Coalition of the Willing summit in Paris on 6 January 2026.
LUDOVIC MARIN /AFP
US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner deliver remarks upon the signing of the declaration on deploying post-ceasefire force in Ukraine during the Coalition of the Willing summit in Paris on 6 January 2026.

Israel-Syria security talks make headway in Paris

Contacts regarding a potential security agreement between Israel and Syria were renewed this week following several prior rounds of talks. Delegations from both sides, along with senior American officials, met in Paris and agreed on their “commitment to strive toward security arrangements and stability for both countries.” The participation of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, US President Donald Trump's closest advisors on these matters, in the Paris talks is proof that he is serious about moving the matter forward.

On the Israeli side, changes were made to the negotiating delegation. In place of Ron Dermer—Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's closest confidant—who had led the talks thus far, Israel's US ambassador, Yehiel Leitner, was appointed, along with the Military Secretary (designated to head the Mossad), Roman Gofman, and the acting National Security Council head, Gil Reich.

Israel has somewhat lost momentum in achieving its objectives in the negotiations, although it has never been in a rush to reach an agreement. Dragging out talks gives Israel a free hand for manoeuvre in Syria and buys it time to suss out the Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's intentions and capabilities. However, escalating tensions between Israel and Türkiye will only push Trump to exert more pressure on Netanyahu to return to the negotiating table.

This US support—coupled with strong assurances from Riyadh and Ankara—has boosted the Syrian delegation's confidence in negotiations. In fact, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan was in Paris while negotiations were taking place, likely advising the Syrians not to rush into any compromises.

REUTERS/Benoit Tessier
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan arrives for a summit of the so-called 'Coalition of the Willing' at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, on 6 January 2026.

Notable steps

So what exactly was agreed upon in Paris? First, and foremost, all three parties reiterated their commitment to reaching “security agreements.” Israel has formally committed to this, and more importantly, Washington has committed itself to the process. Second, the parties agreed to set up an American-Israeli-Syrian hotline to prevent escalation.

Beyond security considerations, Israel appears interested in possibly adding a diplomatic and economic dimension to any potential agreement. At this stage, this will not translate into any broader political process aimed at advancing a peace treaty between the two countries, nor will it signal Syria’s accession to the Abraham Accords.

The Golan Heights is also not on the agenda, as neither side is interested in opening that can of worms at this point, nor is the Israeli-proposed “humanitarian corridor” that it pushed for in previous rounds. This is a red line for the Syrian side, as it would amount to tacit approval for deeper Israeli involvement in the country.

For its part, Israel will likely settle for non-binding rhetoric on the issue, as reflected in the Prime Minister’s Office statement noting that “it was agreed to continue dialogue to advance shared objectives and to safeguard the security of the Druze minority in the country.”

Despite the Syrian delegation's growing confidence, it is not oblivious to the reality on the ground. Al-Sharaa doesn't have control over the entire country, and questions remain about the durability of his rule. Going forward, he will need to demonstrate that he can strengthen his control over larger swathes of the country to gain Israel's confidence.

The parties agreed to set up an American-Israeli-Syrian hotline to prevent escalation

For its part, Israel currently has a free hand to attack Syria at will, so it isn't in any hurry to reach a deal unless it receives substantial concessions. The issue of Israel's military freedom of action in Syria will likely remain within the realm of discreet understandings among the three parties, with the US playing a pivotal role. At the same time, Israel will need to show that it is not deliberately undermining the chances of reaching an agreement.

Crux of the deal

The crux of the deal is a return to the lines of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Without it, there is no agreement. That said, it cannot be ruled out that, under US guarantees, arrangements may be reached for a "temporary presence" and/or a "tripartite American-Israeli-Syrian framework" at locations of critical importance to Israel, foremost among them Mount Hermon on the Syrian side.

The question of extensive demilitarisation, which Israel demands in the area between the Golan Heights and the Damascus region, will depend on the aforementioned clause and, no less importantly, on the intensity of American pressure on one or both parties.

 OZAN KOSE / AFP
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (R) and Syria's interim president Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands during a joint press conference following their meeting at the Presidential Palace in Ankara, on February 4, 2025.

The Turkish dimension is also important. There will be no formal Syrian commitment to prevent Turkish entrenchment in the country, as such a move would provoke a direct confrontation between Damascus and Ankara. Adjacent to this understanding is the Kurdish issue, which is a clear red line for Ankara.  

Absent a formal agreement on this issue, there could be unwritten understandings, backed by American guarantees, to delineate Turkish involvement in a manner that does not threaten Israel's vital interests.

Time factor

Israel's domestic politics will play a key role in shaping the outcome of the negotiations, especially ahead of the October elections. This may be why the US is interested in accelerating the pace of the negotiations.

Securing an agreement that falls within the aforementioned framework would benefit all parties. From al-Sharaa's standpoint, it would strengthen the legitimacy of his rule. From the Israeli-Turkish perspective, any agreement that dials back tensions benefits both parties, as well as the broader region.

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