25 years into the 21st century shows a world transformed

9/11 was the catalyst, the Middle East was the main stage, and technology was the accelerator

25 years into the 21st century shows a world transformed

The morning of 11 September 2001 began as an American tragedy, yet it proved a defining rupture in contemporary history. On that day, the United States did not simply suffer an unprecedented attack; the entire world underwent a profound transformation, with the Arabs finding themselves at its very centre.

Just a few years earlier, the US had stood at the zenith of its global power. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Washington emerged as the undisputed leader of a world order without serious challengers. A widespread conviction took hold: the Western liberal model had not only triumphed militarily, but also morally.

This was supposed to be an era in which conflicts would be resolved through markets and international institutions rather than warfare, and democracy would spread organically through globalisation and the influence of soft power. Building on the ruins of the Soviet bloc, the US launched a series of initiatives in the Arab world, most notably its sponsorship of Arab–Israeli peace negotiations throughout the 1990s and beyond.

Yet that unipolar moment proved short-lived. 9/11 laid bare the fragility of that vision and prompted the US to redirect its power along a radically different trajectory. The “war on terror” was not merely a security operation—it evolved into a political framework that pushed the boundaries of war and redefined its nature. It tested the limits of sovereignty and whitewashed foreign intervention.

The Middle East became a testing ground for this emerging global order. It began with the invasion of Afghanistan, followed by the toppling of Saddam Hussein in 2003. "Democracy" was promoted in both, where political systems were engineered. Regimes collapsed, but what replaced them were far from stable.

Absolute American dominance faded—not through a single defeat, but through prolonged attrition

The tech revolution

Meanwhile, the world was undergoing a quieter yet more profound transformation—a scientific and technological revolution that reshaped economies, politics and social life. Humanity progressed from the internet as an open information space, to the mobile phone as an intimate personal extension, and eventually to social media platforms that turned every individual into a broadcaster and every event into a contested narrative. This helped fuel protest movements like the so-called "Arab Spring", but also increased polarisation.

Then came the rise of artificial intelligence. The central question was no longer the speed at which information circulated, but rather technology's capacity to disseminate knowledge, shape human behaviour, and influence political and economic decision-making. AI and algorithms emerged as new drivers of global power, alongside armies, energy resources and drone capabilities. Nations scrambled for tech dominance, while several Arab states began transitioning from passive consumers to aspiring producers in this critical field.

In parallel, the international order began to unravel. Absolute American dominance faded—not through a single defeat, but by prolonged attrition, internal crises and the rise of alternative centres of power. The Chinese model emerged as a direct challenge to the Western paradigm that linked development to liberal democracy. It offered a strong state, a disciplined economy, cutting-edge technology and growing global influence, all without adopting so-called Western values.

The populist tide in the US further cemented this shift. With the resurgence of the "America First" discourse and Donald Trump's return to power in 2025, the US no longer viewed itself as the guardian of the international order but as an actor redefining its role in narrow self-interest. Europe, once a key ally, was pushed to take more responsibility for its own security against the backdrop of a powerful Russia making steady battlefields in Ukraine.

America's latest NSS now frames the world as a battleground for competition rather than a community of shared values

From community to competition

This repositioning was underscored in the new American National Security Strategy (NSS), which now frames the world as a battleground for competition rather than a community of shared values. It is a strategy that has drawn America back to its own "backyard," prioritising influence in Latin America and transforming the US from a global policeman into a dominant regional player.

Amid this shift from a unipolar world to one without a clear centre, some Arab states began to reposition themselves, reassessing their economic models and investing in stability, education and technology. Meanwhile, others remained mired in conflicts. Between these two trajectories, a new Arab landscape is taking shape—one that is more pragmatic, yet still lacking a unified vision in a world that is changing at breakneck speed.

Amid these dynamics, the October 7 attacks ushered in a fresh wave of transformations in the Middle East. They weakened the influence of Iran and the so-called "axis of resistance" and Israel was strengthened.

The past 25 years have been transformative, to say the least. What the next 25 years will bring depends on the world's ability to navigate its contradictions—and on the Arabs' ability to move from being a stage upon which events unfold to becoming key players who shape them.

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