Can the Middle East reclaim control over its future?

The fact that Iran has been weakened means we have a rare opportunity to be stewards of our own future. We mustn't squander it.

Can the Middle East reclaim control over its future?

Two weeks ago, Donald Trump delivered a message to the Middle East while visiting Riyadh—his first foreign visit during his second presidential term. In his speech titled President Trump’s Vision for a Prosperous Future in the Middle East, he presented his administration’s regional priorities over the next four years.

This included a pledge of support for Lebanon’s development and Syria’s full reintegration into the Arab fold—comments that broad segments of Syrian and Lebanese society will likely welcome. To meet the aspirations of their citizens who hope for a future of mutual prosperity and reconstruction, Syrian and Lebanese leaders may consider normalisation with Israel as a means to prevent renewed conflict.

On Iran, Trump called for a halt to its uranium enrichment—a red line that Tehran has repeatedly made clear. However, whether it can stand its ground in negotiations with the Americans remains to be seen after it has been severely weakened in the past 19 months following Israel’s elimination of Hezbollah’s top-tier leadership and the toppling of the Assad regime—Iran’s key state ally in the region.

Praise and criticism

Trump went on to praise the “Arab approach” in the region, which was centred on countries charting their own development, visions and destinies by “embracing their respective national traditions and cherished heritage”. He cited Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states as prime examples of this successful approach.

Of course, he couldn’t miss the opportunity to criticise the policies of his predecessors, slamming US-led interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq as failures rooted in arrogance and wars that cost America “trillions and trillions of dollars”. He said: “In the end, the so-called nation-builders wrecked far more nations than they built and intervened in complex societies they did not understand”.

Time will tell if the Middle East can seize the opportunity to be a steward of its own future, or will slip back into familiar patterns of the past

In laying out this vision, Trump is departing from traditional US foreign policy approaches and challenging long-standing regional assumptions. For his part, Syria's interim president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, agrees with Trump's rejection of America's interventionist legacy and embrace of a region-led future. Following the US president's announcement that he would lift crippling sanctions on Syria, al-Sharaa quickly flew to Riyadh to personally thank him—the first meeting between an American and Syrian president in over 20 years.

Trump said: "Before our eyes, a new generation of leaders is transcending the ancient conflicts and tired divisions of the past, and forging a future where the Middle East is defined by commerce, not chaos; where it exports technology, not terrorism."  

'The future belongs to the region'

But what Trump left unsaid was articulated more bluntly by his envoy to Syria and ambassador to Türkiye, Tom Barak, following his meeting with al-Sharaa in Istanbul. "The era of Western intervention is irrevocably over. The future belongs to solutions crafted by the region itself," he stated, further condemning the West's long-standing practice of imposing "maps drawn with pencil lines" across the Middle East.

The fact that Iran has been weakened in the region means it is far less capable of obstructing this emerging 'new Middle East' than before. But will the Middle East can seize the opportunity to be a steward of its own future, or will slip back into familiar patterns of the past Time will tell.

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