Syria’s neighbours want it to have security, but on their terms

In Türkiye for talks and a conference, Syria's new president knows that there is much to do and many to satisfy if he is to rebuild his country. Amidst the smiles, those with agendas jostle.

Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan meeting with Syria's interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) during the 4th edition of the Antalya Diplomacy Forum (ADF2025) in Antalya on April 11, 2025.
AFP
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan meeting with Syria's interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa (L) during the 4th edition of the Antalya Diplomacy Forum (ADF2025) in Antalya on April 11, 2025.

Syria’s neighbours want it to have security, but on their terms

Syria’s interim president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, drew a crowd in much the same way as a celebrity during his recent visit to Türkiye, his second in an official capacity. There to attend the Antalya Diplomacy Forum, he met Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on 12 April. He also met Qatar’s Prime Minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdurrahman Al Thani, another major supporter of his.

The official statement released after Erdoğan met al-Sharaa was full of official platitudes, reaffirming Türkiye’s efforts to lift the international sanctions against Syria and revitalise trade and economic cooperation between the two countries.

No mention was made of the security issues of mutual concern, although these will undoubtedly have been discussed, not least in relation to the armed Kurdish groups in Syria’s north-east, with whom al-Sharaa reached an agreement in March. After the forum, al-Sharaa flew straight to Abu Dhabi to meet the UAE leader, Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.

Uniting Syria

Syria’s challenges remain complex and many. Al-Sharaa is in the process of building a new political and administrative structure that includes Syria’s many minorities, bringing its armed groups under the control of the Ministry of Defence, forming a new national army, and rebuilding the economy to begin to raise the standard of living for Syrians.

Among the minorities with whom Syria's new administration has spoken to are the Kurds, Druze, and Alawites—the latter having been killed in the hundreds over three days of intense fighting and mass killings in March. The Assads, who ruled Syria for decades, were Alawites.

On 10 March, three days before his government approved an interim constitution, al-Sharaa met Mazloum Abdi, commander of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which currently controls much of Syria’s oil-rich north-east.

Some had feared that the US-backed SDF would outright refuse to relinquish any of its current autonomy or oil revenues, but the two men, in fact, signed an eight-point agreement to integrate the SDF into the new Syrian administration.

AFP
Ahmed al-Sharaa and Mazloum Abdi during the signing of the agreement to integrate the SDF into state institutions, Damascus, March 10, 2025.

Read more: Reading between the lines of the Sharaa-Abdi deal

This is still only a framework agreement, the details of which are still being ironed out in negotiations due to take several months. But some concrete steps have already been taken, with militants having withdrawn from the Kurdish-majority areas of Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafieh in Aleppo and the Tishrin Dam region. An exchange of prisoners also took place.

There is still much to agree, however. Syria’s Kurds want a decentralised system that allows for self-governance, their own security forces, a share of the oil wealth, and rights guarantees, not least over the Kurdish language. They currently control the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES).

Kurdish question

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan recently noted Türkiye’s position, which did not accord with the SDF’s. Ankara is performing a delicate balancing act, given the other actors in the frame—the United States, Israel, and Iran—and given its own negotiations with the PKK, widely recognised as a Kurdish terrorist group.

The US is mediating in negotiations between opposing Syrian Kurdish groups and between the SDF/YPG and Damascus. Türkiye deems the YPG to be linked to the PKK and, therefore, considers it to be a terrorist outfit.

Ilham Ahmed, who co-chairs the AANES foreign relations department, revealed at a public meeting in Qamishli last week that the US had brokered a de-escalation between the SDF and Turkish armed forces.

Yet, though Washington may seek to appease Türkiye, the US is still expected to back the YPG, having spent almost a decade working with it to defeat Islamic State (IS). The YPG is now a trained, armed, and experienced fighting force. Türkiye wants both its fighters and its weapons to come under national control from Damascus.

Erdoğan warned against efforts to drag Syria into a vortex of instability. For its part, Israel is unhappy about Türkiye's expanded influence there.

Yet Türkiye's leaders also sense a bigger prize: the dissolution of the PKK, which has waged war against Ankara for decades. It is, therefore, being careful not to derail its talks with Abdullah Öcalan, the imprisoned founder and leader of the PKK, who recently told his fighters to lay down their arms. His call has yet to yield a concrete positive response by the PKK.

The success of any final resolution with the PKK is directly related to President Erdoğan's political career because he knows that Kurdish votes are needed to let him change the constitution, allowing him to run for a third term. Currently, he is constitutionally limited to two unless there are sufficient votes for an amendment.

Israel and Türkiye

The other sensitive issue is the possibility of Türkiye and Israel clashing in Syria. Relations between them have soured in recent years, and with Israel's war on Gaza, they have reached a nadir.

In his opening speech at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum, Erdoğan once again called Israel a terrorist state and accused it of trying to derail the revolution in Syria by inciting ethnic and religious minorities against al-Sharaa's administration.

Erdoğan warned against misinterpreting Türkiye's patience and preference to resolve issues through dialogue, adding that Ankara would not allow Syria to be dragged into a vortex of instability. For its part, Israel worries that Türkiye—a country it regards as hostile—is expanding its influence over Syria, Israel's northern neighbour.

Erdoğan and al-Sharaa agreed on defence cooperation in February, with Türkiye signing up to help build and train the new Syrian army. Türkiye is also said to be preparing to establish military bases there, including at the T4 airbase near Palmyra, prompting Israeli jets to bomb its runway and radar systems on 2 April.

The US is seeking to defuse tensions between its closest regional ally, Israel, and its NATO ally, Türkiye. On 9 April, during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington, US President Donald Trump said he had good relations with Erdoğan, a sentiment shared by the Turkish leader.

Smoothing the path

Trump reminded the audience that during his first term, he dealt with Erdoğan over Evangelist Pastor Andrew Brunson, who was imprisoned in Türkiye on various charges. Those who do not recall the details of this episode may take Trump's references as positive, but in fact, the US had applied pressure on Türkiye by imposing trade sanctions and also sanctioning Turkish ministers. Eventually, Brunson was released, after some back-channel diplomacy.

In an interview with CNN Turk on 9 April, Fidan said Türkiye didn't want a conflict with Israel in Syria. Anonymous Israeli officials were reported to share those sentiments but made clear that Israel did not want Turkish forces near its northern border.

It later came out that Turkish and Israeli representatives had held talks in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, with Azeri officials hosting. Azerbaijan is a strategic ally for Türkiye but also has good relations with Israel.

Fidan said the talks didn't mean that relations with Israel were now mended (Türkiye has conditioned that on Israel ceasing its aggression against Palestinians). Instead, he likened them to technical talks over de-escalation mechanisms in Syria, given that both the Turkish and Israeli militaries are active in the country.

Lest anyone be in any doubt as to Fidan's explanation, the plane carrying the Israeli representatives to Baku sought Türkiye's permission to fly through Turkish airspace to get there. Türkiye refused, forcing the plane to take the long way round. Just like Syria, their bilateral relations have a long road ahead.

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