In Iraqi Kurdistan, shifting allegiances make for flimsy alliances

Amid attempts to bring Tehran and Baghdad closer to the KDP, relations shift and sway as involved players look for their interests. Add Turkey into the mix, and things get even more complicated.

Kurdistan Workers' Party fighters in the Iraqi city of Dohuk on May 14, 2013.
AFP
Kurdistan Workers' Party fighters in the Iraqi city of Dohuk on May 14, 2013.

In Iraqi Kurdistan, shifting allegiances make for flimsy alliances

Erbil: The three blindfolded Kurdish men kneeling in yellow jumpsuits with their backs to the audience recalled the Baghdad trials of alleged Islamic State (IS) operatives. Except this time, the venue was the interior ministry in the Iraqi capital, the occasion of a 1 July press conference, and those accused were Kurdish members of an organisation only recently officially banned in the country: the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).

The high-profile nature of the 1 July press conference hinted strongly at closer Iraq-Turkey ties despite Baghdad’s repeated statements condemning Ankara's anti-PKK incursions into northern Iraq.

The three men stand accused of setting multiple highly destructive fires to markets in one of the two major Kurdish parties’ areas of influence, causing millions of dollars in damage, injuring hundreds of people, and undermining trust in Erbil’s security apparatus and emergency preparedness. They also were reportedly planning to conduct further attacks, including on a pipeline running from Kirkuk to Turkey.

In August, a political clash over Kirkuk provincial council nominations and a meeting held in Baghdad further aggravated tensions between the two major parties in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq: the Iran-linked and Sulaymaniyah-based Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) and the Turkey-aligned and Erbil-based Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP).

Arsonists ‘trained by the PKK’...and PUK?

Two of the men arrested had reportedly, at some point, been members of the security forces affiliated with the PUK, which has long enjoyed close relations with the Shiite-led government in Baghdad. The PUK’s rival, the KDP, has instead long clashed with Baghdad on multiple issues. This time, though, the tables seem to have turned.

Read more: KDP decision to boycott polls sends shockwaves across Iraq

In relation to the crimes outlined in the 1 July press conference, Kurdistan Regional Government’s (KRG) interior ministry official Hemin Mirany said that “PKK security and military cadres came from Syria, Turkey, and Qandil, and were trained in Kifri, Sulaymaniyah, and Sangasar to carry out these terrorist acts.”

The latter areas are under PUK influence.

He claimed one of the suspects “was an employee of Peshmerga Unit 70”, controlled by the PUK, while the other was “an officer in the Sulaymaniyah CTG”.

“Both were trained by the PKK,” he stressed.

The alleged criminals were reportedly also planning to carry out attacks in Baghdad, which would have marked a significant shift from their previous focus on KDP strongholds.

AFP
A fighter from the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) guards a position in the city of Makhmour, southwest of Erbil.

KDP officials have, for many years, decried the presence of PKK fighters in the KRI and demanded they leave, claiming the group is the source of multiple problems in the border area.

The PUK have instead been much more accommodating towards the group but have stridently denied any connection with the crimes committed.

A PUK official noted to Al Majalla in an interview last year that his party had always had close relations with the central government in Baghdad and that Jalal Talabani, PUK founder and president of Iraq from 2005 to 2014, "used to say that the centre of our operations was Baghdad.”

Multiple officials in Baghdad have confirmed in recent months and years to Al Majalla that the PUK has long had closer cooperation with the central government than the KDP.

However, if relations between Ankara and Baghdad continue to grow closer and the PUK continues to stonewall against anti-PKK cooperation, the KDP may soon find a much warmer welcome in the Iraqi capital.

Two days after the press conference at which the arrested and confessed PKK members were shown to journalists, KDP president Masoud Barzani made a two-day visit to Baghdad, during which he engaged in numerous talks and meetings with officials, including the prime minister as well as foreign diplomats. Observers hailed the visit as “historic”.

Iraq bans PKK but shies away from ‘terrorist’ designation

In an extensive in-person interview in May, a Turkish official close to the ongoing negotiations between Iraq and Turkey told Al Majalla that Erdogan’s historic visit to Baghdad in April had been preceded by “several years of preparation” aiming to introduce a “structured framework” for relations between the two countries.

The visit had been the first by the Turkish president in 13 years.

AFP
Iraq's Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani (R) and Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan give a joint statement to the media in Baghdad on April 22, 2024.

The official, who asked to remain unnamed in order to speak more freely, noted to Al Majalla that among major outstanding issues had been “the fight against terrorism and water”, both of which he said progress has been made on.

He cited both the PKK and the PUK as problematic but noted that Baghdad was well aware of these concerns.

“Iraq recognised PKK as a threat back in December 2023,” he said, “and after deliberations, they named it as a proscribed organisation. These were positive steps taken to move against terrorism on a common platform.”

The PKK is recognised as a terrorist organisation by Turkey, the US, and the EU. It has for decades used Iraq’s mountainous northern region as a hideout and to train its fighters and ideologues.

“Of course, we would like to see more from the Iraqi side, but there is the political will and recognition that PKK is undermining the sovereignty of Iraq,” he said, and “they have started working on this file with us.”

When pressed for details, he said that he could not discuss “military and tactical issues” but that “we will be working more closely than before”.

An Iraqi official close to Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani noted in comments to Al Majalla in late June that a word used in a 28 May document of the General Secretariat of the Council of Ministers on the status of PKK was the same as that used for the outlawed Baath organisation.

The official called it a “significant” development while admitting it was not as large of a step as naming it a “terrorist organisation” would have been.

On 1 August, Iraq’s Supreme Judicial Authority proceeded to dissolve three political parties due to alleged links with the PKK: the Yazidi Freedom and Democracy Party, the Democratic Struggle Front Party, and the Kurdistan Society’s Freedom Party (Tavgari Azadi).

KDP officials have, for many years, decried the presence of PKK fighters in the KRI and demanded they leave.

Sulaymaniyah a 'lost cause'

"We have succeeded in eliminating PKK influence in Turkey with our operations. Now it is up to Iraq" to "clear these areas for a positive future", the Turkish official told Al Majalla in the May interview.

"We do not intend to lose (any more) blood and treasure on Iraqi territory," he stressed. "It is their territory. They have to do their job."

Turkish forces have, in recent months, stepped up their anti-PKK operations in northern Iraq and are widely expected to push forward with the campaign throughout the coming months.

However, "Sulaymaniyah is, unfortunately, a lost cause at the moment," the Turkish official added in referring to the Kurdish city that serves as a centre for PUK power and influence.

When asked to explain, he noted that "the PUK is not collaborating" with either the Iraqi or Turkish government "to confront the PKK. We have sent many messages, loud and clear", but "there has not been improvement on the ground" as concerns the city in the eastern part of the KRI, not far from the border with Iran.

Moreover, "Sulaymaniyah has turned into a hub of drug trafficking," he claimed. "It's a crime against humanity, in a way", since those involved in this activity "are poisoning the youth".

In June, Turkey extended a ban on flights travelling through Turkish airspace to and from the Sulaymaniyah airport for an additional six months following an initial ban on April 3, 2023, and subsequent extensions. The reason provided is the alleged use of the facilities by the PKK.

Kurdish parties 'on opposite sides' of Sinjar quagmire

"The Iraqi government has difficulties in getting into Sinjar. They have difficulties getting into Makhmour," the Turkish official said, citing places in northern Iraq with a known presence of PKK influence.

Sinjar is widely known for an August 2014 massacre of thousands of Yazidi men, women, and children. It has since also become known for multiple armed groups competing for power, including Yazidi ones trained by and linked to the PKK, while thousands of Yazidi survivors and IDPs currently live in IDP camps in KDP-controlled areas of KRI and are hesitant to return to their native area due to security and other issues.

Muhammet Bamerni / Anadolu
This April 17, 2024, aerial view of Sharya Camp in Dohuk shows displaced Yazidis living under difficult conditions due to the presence of PKK militants in the Sinjar district of Mosul.

Sinjar native, Yazidi activist, and House of Coexistence founder Mirza Dinnayi told Al Majalla in a 10 July interview in Erbil that, as concerns areas disputed between the central government in Baghdad and the KRI, "we see how PUK and KDP are completely different in their (way of) dealing," with the situation.

In Sinjar and the Nineveh region as a whole, he said, the two Kurdish parties are on opposite parts of the "frontline".

Dinnayi noted that the PUK belongs to an "Iranian-backed coalition", while the KDP is in "some way part of a Turkish-backed coalition".

Iran 'crucial neighbour' despite ballistic missile attacks

Relations between the KDP-dominated, Erbil-based KRG and Iran have long been colder than those between the latter and the PUK.

Iran has repeatedly bombed Erbil and other areas under KDP control or influence. On 15 January, an Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) ballistic missile attack on the KRI regional capital killed at least four civilians.

A visit by KRG president Nechirvan Barzani to Iran on 5 May was the first since he attended the inauguration ceremony for Iran's president at that time, Ebrahim Raisi, in August 2021. During the latest visit, Barzani met with multiple high-ranking officials including Supreme Leader Ali Khamanei and IRGC commander Hussein Salami.

According to a readout of his remarks afterwards, the KRI president stated that Iran is "a crucial neighbour who has always assisted us during difficult times" and that the "Kurdistan Region is committed to not posing a threat to its neighbouring countries".

He added that Tehran had expressed appreciation for the Kurdistan Region's "warm welcome given to pilgrims passing through the Kurdistan Region for the commemoration of Imam Hussein in Karbala" in central government territory.

"When a country experiences such traffic, its economy flourishes, people feel secure, and trade thrives. This mutually benefits both the Kurdistan Region and Iran. It marks a new beginning for us," he said.

Multiple analysts have seen the visit as potentially heralding warmer relations between Iran and the KDP, which is dominated by members of the Barzani family.

Turkey's economic inroads 

The latest moves against the PKK could signal a shift in Baghdad's relations with the PUK or could simply be part of joint anti-crime and anti-terrorism efforts alongside the KDP.

Iraq's growing collaboration with Turkey is in either case likely to bring more pressure on the outlawed group as it continues to be seen by many as an obstacle to security and prosperity of some areas of both countries. The Turkish president's historic visit to Baghdad in April and the dozens of agreements signed during it signal a mutual desire between the two countries to render Iraq's northern border area safe for greater volumes of cross-border trade.

Getty
An aerial view of the Grand Faw Port. The Development Road Project is seen under construction in Basra, Iraq, on April 23, 2024.

Read more: Why China dares to tread on Iraq's Development Road to Turkey

In the May interview, the Turkish official stressed that the Development Road project should already be considered a "success for the Sudani government" in that it is fostering collaboration and stability – though the exact route and other key details have yet to be established. The project is a transportation and development project aiming to link Iraq's southern city of Basra and the Grand Faw Port with the Turkish border and then onwards to Europe.

Last year, Iraq's prime minister called the Development Road "an economic lifeline and a promising opportunity", adding that it will "make our countries (Turkey and Iraq) a source for modern industries and goods."

In light of such prospects—and if the PUK continues to be perceived as linked to the PKK—the longstanding alliance between the Kurdish party based in Sulaymaniyah and Baghdad may weaken considerably in the face of Iraq's greater potential return on investment with its Erbil-based rival and the country's northern neighbour.

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