China doubles down on Africa with its zero-tariff policy

Beijing’s duty-free access for African exports promises mutual economic gains, but more importantly, it deepens its strategic influence across the continent

Chinese President Xi Jinping stands in the centre of the hall during the China-Africa forum at the Great Hall of the People in central Beijing, on 5 September 2024.
AFP
Chinese President Xi Jinping stands in the centre of the hall during the China-Africa forum at the Great Hall of the People in central Beijing, on 5 September 2024.

China doubles down on Africa with its zero-tariff policy

At a time when Washington is brandishing the sword of trade protectionism, China is moving in the opposite direction, expanding customs exemptions for exports from developing and least developed countries worldwide. Its new tariff waiver, set to run until 30 April 2028, grants full duty-free access to African exports—a move that opens the Chinese market more widely to African goods.

Under the new policy, China will grant full duty-free access through preferential tariffs to 20 developing African countries that are not classified as least developed nations and maintain diplomatic relations with Beijing, according to the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council.

The chairperson of the African Union Commission, Mahamoud Ali Youssouf, welcomed the measure, describing it as arriving “at an extremely opportune moment” for a continent burdened by global crises and exposed to the risks of economic isolation.

Commenting on the measure, Ricky Mukonza, associate professor at Tshwane University of Technology in South Africa, said the policy offers “strong evidence of China’s long-term commitment to Africa’s development”. This contrasts sharply with the spread of unilateral and protectionist tendencies across the world. In the first hours after the agreement took effect, South Africa cleared 24 tonnes of apples into China through Shenzhen customs.

For his part, Boubaker Mostafa, a professor of economics and finance at the University of Bouira, told Al Majalla that it “amounts to a qualitative shift in China’s strategy towards the African continent and falls within what may be described as competitive economic diplomacy”. He reasons that one of Beijing’s key objectives is to strengthen its soft power by countering Western accusations of ‘debt-trap diplomacy’. By abolishing tariffs, China is seeking to recast that narrative and present itself as a fair development partner, one that opens its markets to African products rather than merely extracting the continent’s resources.

China has a presence in 16 African countries through its major economic arms, including the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), the China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Sinopec. These companies focus on exploration and extraction, particularly in the Atlantic basin of Nigeria and Angola. Their activities have also expanded into downstream infrastructure. For example, Chad’s main oil refinery, the Djarama refinery near the capital N’Djamena, is one example. It was built through a partnership with China and is operated by CNPC. The refinery processes around 8,000 barrels per day. This presence forms part of China’s wider and deeply entrenched role in Africa’s oil sector.

REUTERS/Sodiq Adelakun
A flame rises from a gas flare at the Dangote Industries oil refinery and fertilizer plant site in the Ibeju Lekki district of Lagos, Nigeria on 2 March 2026.

Wider strategy

Mostafa cites creating “strategic depth” in the face of Western sanctions as another Chinese objective. Amid escalating trade tensions with the US and Europe, Beijing is seeking to build an allied economic bloc. Africa—one of the world’s fastest-growing consumer markets—is therefore a strategic prize for the major economic powers.

The decision will also have a marked impact on supply chains. China’s ambitions extend well beyond the import of raw materials. For years, it has been relocating parts of its industrial base to the African continent. Zero tariffs, in Mostafa’s view, will incentivise Chinese businesses already established in Africa to export their products to Beijing, gradually turning the continent into a “manufacturing base” that serves the Chinese economy.

Trade relations between China and Africa have grown steadily, with China now the continent’s largest trading partner. According to China’s General Administration of Customs, bilateral trade reached $348bn in 2025, while China’s imports from Africa rose to $123bn, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%. In the first quarter of this year, bilateral trade rose by 23.7% compared with the same period last year, while China’s imports from Africa increased by 14.6%.

Khaither Chenine, director of the Institute of Economic, Commercial and Management Sciences at the University Centre of Illizi, links the decision to open the Chinese market to duty-free African exports to the Belt and Road Initiative.

“China needs to secure new markets for its products and investments,” said Chenine. “It also needs to guarantee a stable flow of raw materials and strategic minerals on which the industries of the future depend, especially rare minerals linked to the digital and energy transitions. Facilitating the entry of African products into the Chinese market is therefore intended to create a reciprocal relationship that binds African states more closely to the Chinese economy over the long term.” For this reason, Chenine believes the decision is, at its core, political.

Reuters
Excavators and drilling machinery at the Tenke Fungurume open-pit copper and cobalt mine, located 110 kilometres northwest of Lubumbashi in southern Congo, on 29 January 2013.

Mutual gains

The ‘zero tariffs’ policy is expected to deliver significant mutual gains. China’s Ministry of Commerce said the measure would reduce the cost of African products entering the Chinese market, making them more competitive and that the duty-free policy would help diversify African exports, increase their added value, and improve the structure of trade.

Farmers and micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises would be among the beneficiaries, while the measure could also boost job creation and living standards. The decision may also help reduce the trade deficit many African countries face in their commercial relations with China, provided it leads to an increase in higher-value-added exports. That deficit stems largely from an imbalance in the structure of bilateral trade. African exports remain heavily concentrated in raw materials, while Chinese exports are dominated by manufactured goods, machinery, and equipment. This reflects China’s long-term strategy of securing natural resources while exporting industrial products.

Facilitating the entry of African products into China is, at its core, a political decision aimed at binding African states more closely to China's economy in the long term.

African exports to China, led by countries such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola, and South Africa, have mostly been raw materials. A study by the Global Development Policy Centre at Boston University found that around 89% of Africa's exports to China between 2000 and 2022 came from the extractive industries, led by crude oil, copper, iron ore, and alumina, reflecting the continued reliance of bilateral trade on the exchange of natural resources for manufactured goods.

"Zero tariffs are a tool for easing this imbalance by facilitating the flow of African exports into China and attracting foreign direct investment," explained Mostafa. "The existence of duty-free access to the world's second-largest economy makes African countries a more attractive destination for international investors seeking manufacturing bases with export privileges."

According to Chenine, the primary gain for China lies in securing a steady flow of raw materials and strategic resources at competitive prices. Africa possesses vast reserves of critical minerals required by Chinese industries, including cobalt, lithium, manganese, copper, nickel, and rare-earth elements used in batteries, electric vehicles, electronic chips and artificial intelligence technologies. 

AFP
Cargo containers at the Port of Qingdao, China, on 9 May 2026.

The second gain lies in the indirect expansion of China's export markets. As Chenine explains: "When the incomes of African countries rise as a result of increased exports to the Chinese market, their purchasing power grows, which often leads to higher demand for Chinese goods, equipment, and machinery. In other words, Beijing allows African products to enter duty-free, while in return creating markets better able to import its high-value-added industrial products. This is an equation that brings China profits far greater than the value of the customs revenues it forgoes."

China also stands to gain financially by strengthening its partners' investment in Africa. The deeper trade relations become, the wider the opportunities for Chinese companies to obtain projects in infrastructure, energy, mining, telecommunications, ports, and railways. 

Another fundamental gain lies in strengthening the role of the Chinese currency, the yuan, in international trade. For years, China has sought to reduce the dominance of the US dollar over global commerce. As its trade with Africa expands, so too do the opportunities for using the yuan in trade and financial settlements, giving Beijing additional financial leverage and enhancing the global standing of its currency.

In the long term, one of China's most important strategic gains may lie in consolidating an economic and investment environment more closely tied to Beijing. With Africa's population approaching 1.5 billion, Beijing sees the continent as both a source of natural resources and a promising market for its products, technologies, investments, and services.

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