Is Starlink the key to undercutting Iran's regime?

Elon Musk's satellite internet connectivity service— designed to bypass state-controlled networks—could form the nucleus of an alternative communications infrastructure in Iran

Picture for illustrative purposes
Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / GETTY IMAGES VIA AFP
Picture for illustrative purposes

Is Starlink the key to undercutting Iran's regime?

Data collected by the global internet monitoring organisation NetBlocks indicates that the internet blackout during the recent large anti-government protests was nationwide and nearly complete.

According to NetBlocks, an internet watchdog that monitors shutdowns, censorship, and cybersecurity issues, internet traffic in Iran dropped to around 1% of normal levels, meaning that nearly 99% of online connectivity effectively ceased. The result was users’ near-complete digital isolation, halting access to international networks.

Encouraging protesters from outside, former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo sent out a bold tweet saying: 'Happy New Year to Iranians and Mossad agents beside them." Protests then took a violent turn, with unconfirmed numbers of killed between protesters, or "rioters" as Iran's government calls them and security officers that range from hundreds to the thousands. This led authorities to rapidly restrict internet access, disrupting protesters’ ability to organise and coordinate with the outside world. After some days, the protests tapered off.

Entrepreneur Elon Musk’s satellite-based Starlink service, which has already provided an internet lifeline to people worldwide, has been proposed as an alternative to state-controlled terrestrial networks. Yet the possibility of activating Starlink over Iran raises a range of legal and logistical problems. In Iran, it is a criminal offence to use unlicensed communication tools, and there are significant challenges involved in smuggling devices into the country and operating them on any meaningful scale.

History of shutdowns

Iranian authorities regularly cut or restrict internet access when they anticipate protests. This now well-tested approach has become fine-tuned over the years.

In November 2019, during huge protests over fuel price increases, the authorities implemented one of the most severe internet shutdowns in Iran’s history, disabling connectivity for nearly a week. Data traffic collapsed by more than 90% according to network monitoring groups.

In September 2022, after yet more nationwide protests following the death in custody of a young Kurdish-Iranian woman, Mahsa Amini, it was more of the same, albeit more gradual and calibrated, the authorities opting for partial shutdowns rather than a full blackout, disabling mobile networks during peak hours, throttling fixed-line internet speeds, and intensifying the blocking of social media platforms.

Majid Asgaripour / REUTERS
People look at a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, on 13 June 2025.

During what became known as the 12-Day War in 2025, when Israel and later the United States attacked Iran, a selective and calculated restriction of internet access was implemented by the Iranian government at sensitive moments. However, it maintained a minimum level of domestic connectivity through national networks.

Selective control

Fast-forward six months to the latest protests centred on the country’s economic decline, and the scale and level of disruption have noticeably changed, as has the technical method employed.

In the January 2026 blackout, authorities refined the policy of selective control. Most internet users have had their access cut off, but some official bodies and state institutions can still connect externally.

If Musk confirms Starlink is being deployed in Iran, it could expose his company to legal and diplomatic scrutiny. Therefore, it operates in a grey zone.

This method is known as 'whitelisting.' It allows only a predefined list of network addresses or institutions to access the internet, while blocking all others. No longer a blunt instrument that paralyses everything, Iran's internet shutdowns now keep a single, state-controlled window open, through which controlled information flows.

Could Starlink be introduced? Neither Musk nor the company has said anything, despite the appeals. During the 2022 protests, the first serious signs of Starlink's presence in Iran appeared. Musk later confirmed that around 100 terminals had been smuggled in and had been active during the protests.

There could be up to 50,000 Starlink terminals inside Iran, but official estimates are hard to come by. Regardless of the actual number, it seems that  Starlink is becoming the nucleus of an alternative communications infrastructure in Iran.

Starlink is not an application that can be downloaded. It is a satellite-based communications system reliant on a dedicated receiver, often referred to as 'a dish.' It functions as a central hub that supports dozens of devices within its range, so a single terminal can provide connectivity for a household, office, or small building. The receiver connects directly to satellites and then distributes internet access locally.

AFP
Two men stand on their Tesla Cybertruck in Los Angeles, California, on 13 January 2025.

Legal framework

In Iran, the cost of the service has been far more expensive than elsewhere, owing to the logistical and legal risks. In June 2015, as officials grew concerned about the expanding use of satellite-based internet, Iran's parliament approved a law criminalising the use of unlicensed communication tools, particularly satellite internet networks. The state presented this as essential for safeguarding national security and preserving digital sovereignty.

Under this law, owning or operating satellite communication equipment is a security-related offence. Penalties include fines, the confiscation of equipment, and up to two years in prison. If someone has ten or more receivers, they can be imprisoned for up to ten years, more if authorities associate it with cooperation with foreign actors or other activities considered harmful to national security.

This legal framework puts Starlink users in a precarious position. It means that accessing satellite internet in Iran is not just a technical workaround, but something the authorities see as a direct security threat. This explains the extreme caution surrounding the use of Starlink in Iran until and unless it secures an official licence.

This is not forthcoming because such a licence would let the state control frequencies, data pathways, and monitor or restrict content. These demands fundamentally contradict the nature of the service, which is designed to bypass national infrastructure and state-controlled networks. Compliance would effectively make it a state-regulated internet provider, not an independent communications system.

Tehran filed a complaint with the International Telecommunication Union, accusing Starlink of providing internet services in Iran without authorisation during the 12-Day War with Israel

Official complaint filed

Tehran filed a complaint with the International Telecommunication Union, accusing Starlink of providing internet services in Iran without authorisation during the 12-Day War with Israel. It saw this as a direct violation of its sovereignty over both its frequency spectrum and its digital space. 

In light of this, Musk's silence on Starlink in Iran is easier to understand. If he confirmed that it is operational in a country that criminalises such activity, it could expose the company to legal and diplomatic scrutiny, while also creating a precedent that might be used against it in other markets. Starlink, therefore, operates in a grey zone, using smuggled devices and informal networks.

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