Hezbollah's dangerous delusions invite more war to Lebanon

Hezbollah's insistence on putting Iran's interests ahead of Lebanon's offers little room for optimism

Hezbollah's dangerous delusions invite more war to Lebanon

Since its 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran has expanded its influence and asserted its dominance across the region. After four decades, Iran’s era of regional dominance looks to be waning after suffering its most significant setback with the fall of the Assad regime in Syria—an integral link in its so-called axis of resistance.

Now, as Tehran struggles for air, it seeks to ensure it does not also lose its Lebanese ally, Hezbollah, which was also dealt a deadly blow by Israel in 2024, through a string of assassinations that took out the group's top-brass leadership, including the iconic Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah.

Dangerous delusions

For its part, Hezbollah seems to be in denial. Beyond its imagined victories, it claims to have rearmed and regrouped, committing itself to a lie that many do not believe.

For its part, Tehran continues to rhetorically back the group—as seen during the recent meeting between a Hezbollah representative and the Supreme Leader in Iran—encouraging them to cling to their weapons despite mounting pressure from the US and Israel for them to disarm.

Beyond its imagined victories, Hezbollah claims to have rearmed and regrouped, committing itself to a lie that many do not believe

Despite losing its deterrence, Iran seems determined to continue using Lebanon and other regional proxies as a buffer in its ongoing conflict with Israel and the United States. 

Syria has broken free from Iran's influence, and Iraq is also seeking to distance itself. Meanwhile, the people of Yemen and Gaza continue to suffer because of the actions of the Houthis and Hamas, respectively.

As for Lebanon, it is seemingly incapable, through its own efforts alone, of breaking free from Iran's grip. Will realism triumph over delusion this time? It remains to be seen.

For their part, the Lebanese people—who remain hostage to the whims and decisions of Hezbollah and Iran—appear to be bracing themselves for renewed conflict in the new year. And Hezbollah's insistence on putting Iran's interests ahead of Lebanon's offers little room for optimism.  

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