Fact or fear? how Netanyahu ‘securitises’ Iran’s existential threat

By hyping up the threat of a nuclear Iran, Netanyahu knows he can scare Israeli society into backing military action—a tactic he has perfected throughout his lengthy political career

Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister of Israel, uses a diagram of a bomb to describe Iran's nuclear programme while delivering his address to the 67th United Nations General Assembly meeting on September 27, 2012.
DON EMMERT / AFP
Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister of Israel, uses a diagram of a bomb to describe Iran's nuclear programme while delivering his address to the 67th United Nations General Assembly meeting on September 27, 2012.

Fact or fear? how Netanyahu ‘securitises’ Iran’s existential threat

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has portrayed Iran as posing an existential threat to his country, invoking a powerful form of political rhetoric and rationale: the concept of “national survival” itself.

His framing of Tehran’s nuclear ambitions and established behaviour in the Middle East raises the status of the conflict from a tussle for regional influence, or even supremacy, to the highest order of political magnitude.

It is a means for Netanyahu to legitimise exceptional military action, ranging from continuing what he calls “pre-emptive” strikes to full-blown war. It amounts to manipulation of international law and established diplomatic norms—and of the Israeli people.

Scare tactics

He uses an oversimplified and overstated horror story designed to reduce a complex and nuanced situation to a simple choice—either Israel takes immediate and decisive action against Iran, or it faces complete destruction as a nation.

Tel Aviv’s Operation Rising Lion emerged from this calculus. On its sixth day, in Netanyahu’s statement on events, he pointed again to the danger of Iran’s nuclear position and its missile strikes, while also highlighting control of the skies above Tehran and the resilience of the Israeli people.

It was a classic example of channelling the idea of existential threat for political purposes, to justify a total struggle for survival, or “securitising” such rhetoric into an asset for hawkish and right-wing voices, turning the national debate into a means of support for more military action.

Ever since Israel's creation in 1948, defence capability and national security have been central to its identity

Ever since Israel's creation in 1948, defence capability and national security have been part and parcel to its identity and prominent in public discourse and the country's media coverage of itself. Frequent wars—chiefly in 1967 and 1973—have shaped a belief in the primacy of military expertise, guided by political leaders who all served in the army, some at very senior ranks.

Right-wing ideology and even religious Zionism have been able to thrive, especially during complicated events where military and political circles have overlapped. Under such conditions, the securitised idea of existential threat can be used to sideline and even paralyse diplomatic or strategic approaches toward conflict resolution.

A military culture

Israeli society strongly backs its military, with service being mandatory for both men and women (with some exceptions). It runs so deep that political and military leaders can easily suppress or ignore any voices raised against warmongering in the country. Constructive or thoughtful discussion of alternatives is often dismissed.

Over the current clash with Iran, this is happening even when the US intelligence community and the International Atomic Energy Agency have both determined there is no evidence that Iran is building a bomb.

To properly understand Iran's progress and uranium enrichment capabilities, it is essential to know the complex technical and political context surrounding it. Iran can reduce the time to produce a weapon should it decide to, but that does not mean nuclear arms are imminent, nor is it proof of an intent to build them. While Iran's accumulation of 400 kilogrammes of uranium enriched to 60%, as reported by IAEA's Director-General Rafael Grossi, is significant, it does not indicate an imminent nuclear capability.

While uranium enriched to 60% is higher than commonly used for civilian purposes and is closer to weapons grade, it is still below what is needed for a nuclear bomb, which is around 90%.

Crucially, despite the IAEA censure of Iran for alleged safeguards violations, Grossi explicitly stated that these have not led the agency to conclude that Iran was actively building nuclear weapons.

In March, US President Donald Trump's director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, told members of Congress that Iran was not moving towards building nuclear weapons, though she warned that Iran's "enriched uranium stockpile is at its highest levels and is unprecedented for a state without nuclear weapons."

Exaggerated rhetoric

The political rhetoric over national survival in Israel is exaggerated. A more level-headed presentation of the facts as they currently stand would help calm fears and pave the way for a peaceful resolution through negotiations.

If Netanyahu's government had adopted a more sober and considered political and media narrative, it may even have alleviated a lingering lack of confidence in much of Israeli society over the prime minister's mishandling of the hostage crisis and his brutality in the Gaza war.

Using the political discourse as a means to seek peace rather than justifying war via exaggerated threats would also have helped build trust in Israel's diplomatic options. But any such nuanced view contrasts with the longstanding position taken by Netanyahu and how he has portrayed the world to his own people.

For at least two decades, he has branded Iran's nuclear programme as posing an urgent and existential peril to Israel, demanding immediate military responses. He did so again just hours after the first wave of missile strikes against Iran, saying on 13 June: "In recent months, Iran has taken steps that it has never taken before: steps to weaponise enriched uranium".

This is how Israel's political and military leaders justify the costs they are asking their citizens to bear for security, including national service and mobilising citizens into the army: by talking up an existential threat to a terrified nation.

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