Iran has concluded that Israel and the US aim to bring down its government at some point, but it may be a gradual campaign rather than a boots-on-the-ground blitz
Iran's Supreme Leader would be wise to acknowledge that his longstanding strategic patience doctrine has run its course. With few cards left to play, he may have to choose between these two options.
Tehran will return to nuclear negotiations with far fewer cards. Even if it seeks a token gesture on enrichment, that could be rejected. Remaining options include capitulation or even civil war.
Fighting between Iran and Israel impacted North Africa, where surging prices may disrupt budgets and plans. But for North Africa's energy exporters, higher oil prices are a reason to cheer.
Images of rocket trails, explosions, and destruction were broadcast worldwide, but a quieter war in cyberspace was also being waged, and it was no less important
Cyberwarfare has the potential to disrupt critical infrastructure, commercial networks and global supply chains, and during the 12-day Israel-Iran war, cyberattacks were being carried out in parallel…
Tehran's spies and generals built an impressive network of eyes and ears from Mount Lebanon to the Hindu Kush. In a game of cat-and-mouse, they always seemed two moves ahead. Not so now.
