Trump's new tariffs could further America's global isolation

The aim is to direct future investment and business enterprise back to the US rather than outsourcing production to countries with cheaper production costs. But could it backfire?

Trump's new tariffs could further America's global isolation

US President Donald Trump’s decision to impose a range of reciprocal global trade tariffs is primarily designed to revitalise the American economy and increase the wealth of the American people. But one important side effect of his audacious move—apart from the global turmoil it has prompted in financial markets—could be that it increases Washington’s international isolation.

Dubbing his announcement “Liberation Day” for the American economy, Trump announced an unprecedented range of levies to be imposed on countries his administration believes have developed an unfair trading arrangement with the US.

From China to the European Union, no distinction was made between countries seen as rivals to America’s long-standing international dominance and those—such as major European allies such as the UK and France—that are supposed to be Washington’s close allies.

Making his announcement in the White House Rose Garden shortly after the US stock markets had closed for the day, Trump said that he had been planning to introduce his tariff plan since the 1980s, when he first became concerned at what he believed was the unfair disparity in trading ties between the US and the outside world.

“I’d be talking about how these countries were ripping us off,” said Trump. “I mean, nothing changes very much. The only thing to change was the countries, but nothing really changes.”

He denounced countries that he said had an unfair trade advantage with the US—including some of America’s closest allies—as “cheaters” and "scavengers".

“When you look a little bit, it’s not a pretty picture, and we don’t like it, and it’s not fair,” Trump said. “We’re really not taking it anymore.”

From China to the European Union, no distinction was made between countries seen as rivals to America's long-standing international dominance

Significant break

Even though some of the tariffs were not as high as had been previously predicted, the announcement certainly represents a significant break with the policies Trump pursued during his first term in office, when he was more amenable to brokering new trade deals, as he did with the likes of Canada, Mexico and China.

Now, Trump is determined to use the blunt instrument of global tariffs to address unfair trading arrangements between the US and the rest of the world, with the emphasis being on directing future investment and business enterprise back to the US rather than outsourcing production to countries with cheaper production costs.

Car manufacturing is a case in point—an American industry that Trump believes has been hard hit by uncompetitive trade arrangements with the rest of the world that enables car makers, especially in Europe, to undercut American manufacturers.

Trump's determination to rebuild the US car manufacturing base was evident after he imposed a 25% tariff on car imports to the US, warning that if foreign companies want their tariff rate to be zero, they must manufacture their products directly in the US. 

"To all of the foreign presidents, prime ministers, kings, queens, ambassadors and everyone else who will soon be calling to ask for exemptions from these tariffs, I say, terminate your own tariffs, drop your barriers," Trump said.

While Trump remains confident that his controversial tariff policy will have the desired effect of redressing imbalances in America's trading arrangements, the scale of the tariffs imposed on a wide range of countries has prompted predictions that it could ultimately lead to a global recession.

In particular, Trump's decision to impose a 34% tariff rate on imports to the US from China, together with the imposition of a 20% charge on goods from the EU, could destabilise the global markets.

Trump is determined to use the blunt instrument of tariffs to address what he views as unfair trading arrangements

Angry reaction

Trump's announcement certainly prompted an angry reaction from world leaders such as European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen, who described the imposition of tariffs as "a major blow to the world economy". She warned that the new tax imports will cause an "uncertainty spiral", causing "dire" consequences "for millions of people around the globe".

She emphasised the impact on the most vulnerable countries, pointing out that some nations are now subject to some of the highest US tariffs. In response, the EC leader said the EU was preparing to respond with its own measures.  "If you take on one of us, you take on all of us", she said.

China also responded angrily to the move, warning that it intended to take "resolute countermeasures" against the US. Trump even levied 17% tariffs on products from close ally Israel, drawing criticism from its politicians.

Meanwhile, stock markets around the world fell after trading resumed following Trump's announcement, with the UK's FTSE 100 share index down 1% and France's Cac 40 falling 1.7%. Asian markets slid, while the price of gold, which is seen as a safer asset in times of financial turmoil, climbed to a record high.

Beyond the negative reaction of global markets to Trump's announcements, there are also concerns that the Trump administration could find itself isolated as erstwhile allies in Europe and elsewhere give serious consideration to maintaining traditional ties with Washington.

At a time when the Trump administration is leading efforts to negotiate a ceasefire in Ukraine and wants to reopen nuclear negotiations with Iran, the likelihood of these and other pressing global issues being resolved will be greatly enhanced if Washington can work with its allies to achieve the desired outcome.

Trump may believe that his tariff policy will help rebuild the American economy, but by doing so, he risks alienating some of America's most important and long-standing allies.

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