After Davos: Trumponomics set to disrupt globalist agenda

With protectionists back in the White House, globalists attending the World Economic Forum were left ‘playing second fiddle’. Al Majalla reviews some of the key highlights from the summit.

TotalEnergies chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanne (2ndR) asks a question to US President Donald Trump (on screen) during his address by video conference at the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 23, 2025.
FABRICE COFFRINI / AFP
TotalEnergies chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanne (2ndR) asks a question to US President Donald Trump (on screen) during his address by video conference at the World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos on January 23, 2025.

After Davos: Trumponomics set to disrupt globalist agenda

The World Economic Forum convened as usual this year in Davos. But on the same day it began, Donald Trump returned to power, meaning it did not feel like business as usual at one of the main events in the annual calendar of the liberal-leaning elite.

The official theme of the Swiss Alps for the four-day WEF meeting from 20 January was “Collaboration for the Intelligent Age”. Nonetheless, it was a different topic that dominated: Trumponomics 2.0, the protectionist policies looming once again over world trade, with the return of a president of the United States famed for using tariffs as weapons in trade wars, and his determination to turn back to traditional energy sources.

Trump is also setting out once again to bring jobs back to the US for companies selling into its home market, alongside moves to preserve his country’s industrial and technological edge against rising competition, especially from China.

The returning president’s economic agenda reverberated across the meetings held in the winter resort. The highlight of the event occurred when Trump appeared himself via a video link from Washington, telling delegates: “The United States has the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on Earth, and we're going to use it. Not only will this reduce the cost of virtually all goods and services, it will make the United States a manufacturing superpower and the world capital of artificial intelligence and crypto.”

“If you don't make your product in America, which is your prerogative, then very simply you will have to pay a tariff— differing amounts, but a tariff which will direct hundreds of billions of dollars and even trillions of dollars into our Treasury to strengthen our economy and pay down debt’’.

Emperor Trump’s generals

The reaction was stark. Lloyd Blankfein, the former longtime chief executive of the global investment bank Goldman Sachs, was quoted by the Bloomberg news agency drawing a historical parallel on Trump’s return for a second term:

“I’m reminded of what happened when Napoleon escaped from Elba,” said the Davos regular in a reference to the return of the French emperor from exile in 1815. Should the Napoleon comparison stand, Trump’s generals would be the US titans of the technology sector, including the world’s richest person and a key Trump ally, Tesla’s Elon Musk. There is also Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos and Google’s Sundar Pichai.

Read more: Is apartheid South Africa to blame for Big Tech politics?

None of them made the trip to the Swiss resort. Instead, they chose to attend his inauguration in Washington on 20 January, the day the WEF began. While the conference ran, with all its associations with globalisation, Trump was tearing up international agreements. He pulled out of the Paris accord on climate change and gave notice of the US’s intention to withdraw from the World Health Organisation.

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres was at Davos and drew attention to the dangers of global warming. After Trump stated his intention to return to fossil fuels, Guterres spoke on the dangers of climate change: “We just endured the hottest year and the hottest decade in history; 2024 is likely to be the first calendar year that pushed past 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels,” he said.

Peter Thal Larsen, the editor of Reuters Breakingviews, summed up more specific concerns over the WEF itself, writing simply: “Is Davos dead?”. Traditionally associated with free trade and international cooperation, the globalist’s main annual forum felt more like a sideshow as Trump returned to power and with him came a transformation in the worldwide positioning of the most powerful nation.

$1tn dollars

Indeed, it was Trump, not Davos, that grabbed the top headlines when his administration announced a $100bn investment in artificial intelligence (AI) through a partnership formed by Open AI, SoftBank and Oracle, which could reach $500bn dollars.

For his part, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman told Trump that his government is willing to expand investments and trade with the US in the coming four years by $600bn. Trump mentioned the Saudi investment plan in his speech to the Davos attendees, adding: “I'll be asking the crown prince—who's a fantastic guy—to round it out to around $1tn. I think they'll do that because we've been very good to them”.

He had more to say to Riyadh: “I'm also going to ask Saudi Arabia and OPEC to bring down the cost of oil...if the price came down, the Russia-Ukraine war would end immediately. Right now, the price is high enough that that war will continue. You've got to bring down the oil price. You're going to end that war.”

NATO, Ukraine and Europe

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky was at the WEF. He told fellow attendees of his worries that the US may no longer provide the support required to carry on the fight against Russia and called on Europe, and the European Union, to strengthen its defence and technology industries, voicing concern over the main defence alliance protecting the continent: “Will President Trump even notice Europe? Does he see NATO as necessary? And will he respect EU institutions?”

“Let’s not forget – there’s no ocean separating European countries from Russia. And European leaders should remember this: battles involving North Korean soldiers (fighting on Russia’s side) are now happening in places geographically closer to Davos than to Pyongyang.”

Trump is going to dominate the global economic agenda, and his remarks to Davos regarding tariffs, the dollar, and interest rates set the tone for what is next

Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group

One of Trump's ideological and international allies, Argentina's President Javier Milei, was at the WEF in person. He told Bloomberg: "Definitely, the world should celebrate the arrival of President Trump. The golden era he proposed for the United States would shine a light on the world."

"It is not that he is protectionist. Rather, he knows what the role of the US in the world is, and therefore, his trade policy is a part of his geopolitical strategy; it is a geopolitical tool".

When he became president, Milei devalued Argentina's currency and imposed harsh budget cuts after taking office in late 2023. The country's inflation rate fell under 3% from more than 20% a year ago, and the government posted its first annual budget surplus since 2009, which boosted Milei's standing.

Read more: Javier Milei – Argentina's radical outsider-turned-president

Trade conflicts

Europe had the biggest representation at Davos 2025, with a total of 3,000 delegates from 130 countries, including 50 heads of state or government or top government officials. The European Commission's president, Ursula von der Leyen, referred in her speech to the possible trade complications with the US under Trump and delivered a stark assessment regarding the global competition for commodities and technology.

"A lot is at stake for both sides. So, our first priority will be to engage early, discuss common interests, and be ready to negotiate. We have entered a new era of harsh geostrategic competition. The world's major economies are vying for access to raw materials, new technologies and global trade routes."

She also pointed out that the bloc had already increased its imports of natural gas from the US—a key Trump demand he linked to avoiding tariffs on EU goods.

Notable no-shows

China's President Xi Jinping and India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the leaders of the world's most populous nations, stayed away this year. Chinese Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang told the conference, "Trade wars have no winners. Economic globalisation is not a 'you lose, I win' zero-sum game, but a universally beneficial process where all can benefit and win together."

Nicolas Photiades, an investment banker based in Beirut, says that the Trump agenda is underpinned by the battle for global economic and technological supremacy—mainly against China, the world's second-largest economy.

"Trump wants to give priority to the US economy, to promote American production and overtake China", he told Al Majalla, adding that Europe is less of a threat "as it has a lot of taxes, a lot of regulations which restrict the development of companies, including startups and AI."

Syria's plea

For its part, the Arab WEF presence was focused on attracting investments and projects to the region, with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar having their own pavilions at the event. Saudi Arabia's pavilion showcased its Vision 2030, the crown prince's plans to diversify the kingdom's economy away from oil. It had special booths dedicated to the projects underway to develop tourism, manufacturing, transport and technology infrastructure worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

There was a special moment for the Arab world this year in a session that highlighted a landmark moment for the region. It featured Asaad al-Shaibani, the foreign minister of the new Syrian administration that overthrew Bashar al-Assad in December, putting an end to a 14-year civil war that devastated the country and prompted the US and European countries to place sanctions on the former regime, which have yet to be fully withdrawn.

REUTERS/Yves Herman
Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani attends the 55th annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on January 23, 2025.

Read more: It's now or never for US engagement in Syria

In a session with Tony Blair, the former British prime minister, al-Shaibani, said: "We inherited a lot of problems from the Assad regime... removing economic sanctions is key for the stability of Syria," adding that the country's tourism and industry presented significant investment opportunities.

Shifting priorities

For the wider world, there was a clear sense of a shift in priorities over world affairs in January 2025, captured by Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group, a commodities trading firm in London: "President Trump is going to dominate the global economic agenda, and his multiple remarks regarding tariffs, the dollar and interest rates alongside his remote speech to Davos set the tone for what is next."

"This leaves the Davos conference playing second fiddle."

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