'Resistance' claims of victory ring hollow amid Lebanon's smoky ruins

The Hamas and Hezbollah leaders still alive are full of fighting talk. What world are they living in? Acknowledging reality is the first step towards finding the solutions their populations need.

'Resistance' claims of victory ring hollow amid Lebanon's smoky ruins

An interview with Reuters this week by senior Hamas official Khaled Meshaal and a video statement from Hezbollah’s deputy leader Naim Qassem around the same time show that both men are disconnected from reality.

While Meshaal astutely discerns the fine line between tactical setbacks and strategic defeats, Qassem conveniently left out some grim facts: More than a million Lebanese have been displaced, villages in the Bekaa, the South, and Dahiyeh have been devastated, and hundreds of lives have been lost, with thousands more injured. This is a steep price to pay for “steadfastness”.

Their own reality

The triumphant tone of their speeches, marking the first anniversary of the Hamas attack on southern Israel, finds a resonant echo among commentators, journalists, and influencers on social media. These talking heads continue to extol the supposed virtues and victories of Hamas and Hezbollah, with some pundits and writers even warning that those who oppose them will be held accountable once the guns fall silent.

Recounting the huge numbers that have died, the homes reduced to rubble, the livelihoods lost, and the suffering inflicted feels almost futile. Nor is it necessary to emphasise the groups’ undeniable setbacks on the ground. Not only is there now an entrenched Israeli military presence in both the Gaza Strip and parts of Lebanon, but senior leaders within both groups have been killed, taking their knowledge, experience, and contacts with them.

Yet Meshaal told Reuters that this was simply a setback, that Palestinian history is full of setbacks, and that Hamas would “rise like a phoenix from the ashes”. Qassem struck a similar note, saying Hezbollah was here to stay.

If the emptiness in these remarks (and those of their peers) reveals anything, it is not merely a disconnection from reality or a dismissal of the immense suffering and humanitarian catastrophe that recent weeks and months have wrought. Most strikingly, it underscores these leaders’ inability to recognise the signs of political and military defeat or to carve out a meaningful role and mission that stretches from Tehran to the Mediterranean.

Defiant speeches by Hamas and Hezbollah leaders show their inability to recognise the signs of political and military defeat

Moreover, it shows that they lack a convincing response. When asked straightforward questions like 'What is your next step in light of the severe setbacks?' they often deflect and lash out at the interviewer. 

This will not repair Lebanon (which is what the Lebanese now need more than anything), nor will revelling in Hezbollah's setbacks, losses, or infiltration by Israel.

Compounded misery

Lebanon had huge problems before this war. Its people had shown themselves to be fundamentally divided over what kind of government they wanted.

Political infighting in the Middle East's economic basket case can add new, war-induced tensions between the residents of towns and villages and those who have fled there from the south and Beirut's southern suburbs. Rallying cries for "unity" and "solidarity" are being made, but these are superficial and likely to vanish at the first serious challenge.

All the while, Lebanon's corrupt political class is so deeply entrenched that replacing it would likely not change much. The shortsighted but insatiable thirst for power of this self-serving clan of decision-makers prevents the enactment of reforms that would benefit the entire nation.

The idea of electing a new president, forming a government, leading reconstruction efforts, and deploying the Lebanese army in the south is a pipe dream at the moment. It will remain so unless and until the major political and sectarian factions are willing to transcend the grudges and grievances of the past.

Whether Hezbollah withers or survives, Lebanon's years of unrest and violence seem far from over. And no speech or interview can paper over that.

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