Biden-Netanyahu row further hinders efforts to curb regional tensions

Israel's PM has repeatedly chosen escalation over US calls to temper its actions. Biden's inability to restrain America's closest ally bodes badly for the region.

Biden-Netanyahu row further hinders efforts to curb regional tensions

Any hopes that US-led diplomatic efforts will succeed in reducing the escalating violence in the Middle East are being undermined by the deeply fractious relationship between US President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Although Biden continues to portray himself as a staunch ally of Israel, regularly defending its right to self-defence in the wake of last year’s 7 October attacks, concerns remain that the outgoing US president's strained relationship with Netanyahu is having a negative impact on diplomatic efforts to end the violence.

With Israel continuing military offensives in both Gaza and Lebanon and concerns that the Israelis are planning to launch retaliatory strikes against Iran following last week’s ballistic missile attacks against Israel, Washington is desperate to reduce hostilities in the region.

With only weeks to go before next month’s US presidential election, the Biden administration is concerned that any further escalation in hostilities in the Middle East could have a negative impact on Vice President Kamala Harris’s prospects of winning the contest for the Democrats.

Heavy criticism

The Biden administration, which has previously invested a great deal of political capital in seeking to implement a ceasefire in Gaza, has come under heavy criticism in the US for its failure to limit the impact of Israel’s devastating military offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon.

While Washington has constantly urged the Israelis to show restraint in their campaign to limit Hezbollah’s missile attacks against northern Israel, Netanyahu appears to have largely ignored the Biden administration’s wishes, opting instead to launch the most intensive Israeli military offensive against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon since the last major conflict with the Iranian-backed group in 2006.

Biden has come under heavy criticism for his failure to restrain Israel's devastating military offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon

Fears that the Israelis are now planning to launch major military strikes against Iran, with speculation mounting that Iran's nuclear and oil facilities could be targeted, have prompted the Biden administration to launch a fresh diplomatic initiative aimed at persuading the Israelis to show restraint.

The US is concerned that any attempt by Israel to target Iran's nuclear and oil facilities could provoke an all-out war in the Middle East, especially as Iran has made it clear it will respond militarily to any Israeli attack. Apart from causing a major conflict in the Middle East, any further escalation in hostilities could prove disastrous to Harris's hopes of winning next month's presidential election contest.

The Iran issue certainly figured prominently in Biden's 30-minute telephone conversation with Netanyahu this week, their first publicly announced conversation since August. Although Biden reaffirmed his usual "ironclad" support for Israel, it was clear from the transcript of the conversation subsequently released by the White House that the Biden administration has a very different perspective on how Israel should respond to last week's Iranian ballistic missile attacks to Netanyahu's more bellicose approach.

Differences in approach

White House spokeswoman Karine Jean-Pierre said the talks between Biden, Harris, who also participated in the conference call, and Netanyahu were "direct" and "productive." Even so, it was clear that significant differences emerged over how Israel should respond to the Iranian attacks.

Although Biden "condemned unequivocally Iran's ballistic missile attack against Israel", in comments made after his discussion with Netanyahu, the US president said that he did not support some of Israel's more aggressive military options. Asked whether he would support an Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, Biden said: "The answer is no."

The president also made it clear that Washington opposed bombing Iran's oilfields, commenting,  "The Israelis have not concluded what they are going to do. That's under discussion…If I were in their shoes, I would be thinking about other alternatives than striking Iranian oilfields." Such an attack would send oil prices soaring across the world—a move that could prove disastrous for Harris ahead of the November 5 election.

The likelihood of Israel adopting a more measured military response to Iran is not promising

The question now is whether Netanyahu will take Washington's concerns seriously, especially in light of recent reports that relations between Biden and Netanyahu have become so strained that the US leader has engaged in foul-mouthed rants about the Israeli premier's conduct.

A new book written by legendary journalist Bob Woodward details Biden's less-than-flattering private view of Netanyahu. It offers a remarkable look behind the scenes at Biden's profanity-laced assessment of the Israeli leader.

In one outburst in the Oval Office earlier this year, when Israel intensified its military offensive in Gaza at the same time that the Biden administration was attempting to negotiate a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, Biden denounced Netanyahu's behaviour, shouting, "He's a bad guy", before resorting to a range of expletives to berate the Israeli leader.

Unpromising comments

The likelihood of Israel adopting a more measured military response to Iran following Netanyahu's latest exchange with Biden certainly did not appear very encouraging following comments made by Israeli defence minister Yoav Gallant in the wake of their conversation.

In comments made to the Israeli media, Gallant confirmed that the Israeli military was still planning to launch retaliatory strikes against Iran and that they would be "lethal, precise and surprising". Israeli media quoted Gallant as saying that the Iranians "won't understand what happened and how." Israel has so far refused to divulge to the Biden administration details of its plans to retaliate against Tehran, US officials said. 

Certainly, if the Israelis do press ahead with launching devastating attacks against Iran, it will be because relations between Biden and Netanyahu have reached such a low ebb that Washington no longer has the ability to exercise any influence over Israel's military actions.

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