Riad Salameh's arrest ignites Lebanese rumour mill

In a country where nothing is what it seems, the arrest of Lebanon’s former central bank governor has sparked a speculation frenzy. Cue the conspiracy theories.

Riad Salameh's arrest ignites Lebanese rumour mill

The recent arrest of Riad Salameh, Lebanon’s former central bank governor, has grabbed headlines, but many Lebanese doubt he will stay behind bars given his deep connections to the ruling elite, who have dominated the country’s politics for over three decades.

The public prosecutor's charges against Salameh revolve around his involvement with Optimum—a financial brokerage firm—alleging illicit transactions between the company and the central bank. Similar charges were previously levied against Fawry—a company even more deeply entrenched with the Salameh family through his brother and son.

It’s important to note that Salameh—who was wanted by both Lebanese and international authorities for over a year—had remained untouched up until this point, which is why there is so much speculation over his arrest. In a country where conspiracy theories abound, questions surrounding who ordered the arrest and why will undoubtedly fuel conspiracy theories.

Powerful friends

Salameh has intimate knowledge of the complex web of mafia networks that have systematically plundered public and private funds for decades—something, of course, certain individuals don’t want exposed. These networks have engaged in money laundering, smuggling, fraud, and leveraging wealth to secure loyalty, influence, and power.

Perhaps Lebanon's ruling class supposed the public spectacle of Salameh's (handcuffed) arrest could restore its credibility

Possessing this knowledge gives Salameh his own leverage that could shield him from potential prosecution, and his exorbitant wealth will almost surely protect him and his inner circle—along with the pack of news pundits who regularly defend him on Lebanese airwaves.

On the off-chance that his arrest is genuine, then this could simply be a glitch in the matrix—a prosecutor stepping outside the bounds of politics to carry out his professional duty. However, this seems unlikely in a country where the judiciary is tightly controlled by the ruling elite.

Sacrificial pawn?

Has Salameh become a sacrificial pawn in a larger game aimed at securing international support to rescue Lebanon's failed economy? Western institutions and officials have long accused Salameh of undermining global confidence in Lebanon's institutions, judiciary, and banking sector. Perhaps Lebanon's ruling class supposed the public spectacle of his (handcuffed) arrest could restore its credibility.

Or Salameh could be in on the spectacle—voluntarily surrendering in some sort of deal which would lead to him being cleared of charges and resuming a normal life in Lebanon, pending an international arrest warrant.

The timing of his arrest is certainly conspicuous as it coincided with a proposed plan to address the looting of Lebanese deposits in which Salameh played a key role. To no one's surprise, the plan would shield bank owners from accountability, and state assets would be transferred to a 'sovereign fund' that Lebanon's ruling class could control for the foreseeable future.

If there is one lesson to be drawn from Lebanese politics, it is that nothing is what it seems—everything boils down to politics.

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