After US President Joe Biden bowed to the inevitable and withdrew from the November 2024 US presidential campaign, there is mounting speculation that Vice President Kamala Harris could be the Democrats' new pick.
Often regarded as a divisive figure in US politics, Harris has seen a significant improvement in her poll numbers, which has been attributed to her more assertive and assured performances during public appearances.
In recent months, for example, Harris has been busy crisscrossing the country, speaking on a variety of subjects ranging from reproductive rights to economic opportunity and inclusion. She has also made it clear that she regards November’s election as one of the most important contests in recent American history.
In an upbeat appearance in New Orleans at the weekend, in what was described as an ‘on stage conversation’, Harris described the election as more important than “any in your lifetime”, adding that democracy may not survive if former US President Donald Trump were to succeed in serving a second term.
Previously, Harris has attracted criticism because of her rhetorical blunders and indifferent public profile, so the recent rise in her popularity certainly could not be more timely, after Biden stood down over the weekend.
It comes after House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and four Congressmen were reportedly forthright with Biden regarding his chances of beating Trump and what they wanted him to do.
It followed a disastrous performance during the CNN debate with Trump, followed by more mistakes and mix-ups during a televised interview and a NATO Summit press conference.
Lacklustre start
Harris, 59, a former US senator and California attorney general, would be the first woman president of the United States if she becomes the party's nominee and prevails in the November election. She has already become the first African American person to serve as vice president.
To date, her performance as vice president has attracted mixed reviews. After a lacklustre start, she has been criticised for her failure to produce major policy successes, and her leadership skills have been questioned over her high staff turnover.
Recent polls, though, have suggested an improvement in Harris’s approval ratings to the extent that it is now predicted she would do better than Biden in the contest to defeat Trump, the Republican candidate. A CNN poll released on 2 July found Trump is now six points ahead of Biden, recording 49% to Biden’s 43%. While the poll also showed that, overall, Harris trailed Trump by two points, it found independents backed Harris 43%-40% over Trump, with moderate voters of both parties preferring her 51%-39%.
Her growing popularity was also reflected in another Reuters/Ipsos poll taken after the Trump/Biden debate, with only one point separating Harris and Trump. Only former first lady Michelle Obama, who has never expressed any interest in joining the race, has polled higher among possible alternatives to Biden.
POST-DEBATE POLL: Reuters/Ipsos
Joe Biden: 40%
Donald Trump: 40%
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Donald Trump: 43%
Kamala Harris: 42%
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Michelle Obama: 50%
Donald Trump: 39%
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Donald Trump: 41%
Gretchen Whitmer: 36%
Donald Trump: 42%
Gavin Newsom: 39%
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Donald Trump: 42%... pic.twitter.com/rYYHkuTQke
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) July 2, 2024
Influential Democrats, including US Representative Jim Clyburn, who was key to Biden's 2020 win, Gregory Meeks, a New York congressman and senior member of the Congressional Black Caucus, and Summer Lee, a House Democrat from Pennsylvania, have signalled that Harris would be the best option to lead the ticket if Biden chooses to step aside. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has also privately signalled the same.
It is also revealing that two Republican donors have told Reuters they would prefer for Trump to face Biden than Harris, as she represents more of a threat.
Background and career
Born to an Indian mother and Jamaican father in 1964, Harris had a challenging childhood after her parents divorced when she was seven. Her mother raised her and her sister, Maya, on the top floor of a yellow duplex in Berkeley.
After high school, Harris attended Howard University, a prestigious historically Black college in Washington, D.C., where she majored in political science and economics. In 1990, after passing the bar, Harris joined the Alameda County prosecutor’s office in Oakland as an assistant district attorney focusing on sex crimes.
In 1994, Harris began dating Willie Brown—a prominent figure in California politics who was then the state assembly speaker and was 30 years older than Harris. It was through Brown’s influence that Harris was appointed to the California Unemployment Insurance Appeals Board and the Medical Assistance Commission. After Brown was elected mayor of San Francisco in 1995, Harris ended their affair, concluding “there was no permanency in our relationship.”