Trump saddles up to one ally and sours on another

Last year, the US president chastised Ukraine’s president in the White House, then bombed Iran with Israel. Today, he is giving Ukraine Patriot licences and giving Israel the cold shoulder

Trump saddles up to one ally and sours on another

Nothing better illustrates US President Donald Trump’s whimsical approach to dealing with America’s key allies than his latest dealings with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, both of whom he met at the White House on 28 July.

Only recently, Trump was talking of Netanyahu as one of his closest allies, working closely with him to implement his plan to end the war in Gaza. Since then, relations between the two men have soured considerably, to the extent that the American president has not shied away from lambasting the Israeli leader in public, especially over their differing approaches to the war against Iran.

Trump’s attempts to rein in Netanyahu, who insists the war against Iran can only end once the country’s nuclear programme has been completely destroyed, has led him to claim that Netanyahu will ultimately bow to his wishes. “He’ll do whatever I want him to do,” Trump said.

Warming to Kyiv

Zelenskyy, by contrast, has at times been at odds with the Trump administration. Both President Trump and Vice President JD Vance gave the Ukrainian war leader a public dressing down in the Oval Office last year, including for Zelenskyy’s attire and gratitude. For most observers, this represented an all-time low in relations.

At the heart of Trump’s fractious relationship with Zelenskyy has been the American leader’s belief that he could use his personal relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the war, a belief that led Trump to initiate numerous diplomatic overtures aimed at agreeing a ceasefire.

The high point of these efforts to persuade Putin to compromise came in August last year, when they met in Alaska. But Putin has refused to engage seriously in peace talks and continued his large-scale attacks against Ukraine, including during Zelenskyy’s White House visit. This has led Trump to conclude that he is wasting his time with the Russian leader.

Cue a change in his approach to Zelenskyy, which was very much in evidence at the White House. Ukraine’s president and Israel’s prime minister were both in town to attend the funeral of highly regarded Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, who was a staunch ally of both Tel Aviv and Kyiv.

Reconciliation gift

The Trump administration has been reluctant to grant Kyiv a licence to produce its own Patriot missiles, which the Ukrainians desperately need to protect vital infrastructure from Russian missiles. Yet to judge by the comments, the US has gradually shifted its position, opening the way for Ukraine to gain access to sensitive missile technology that could have a profound impact on its war effort.

Trump had suggested he may be amenable to the Ukrainian leader’s request at the NATO summit earlier this month. The Patriots are currently one of the only systems that can defend against Russia’s ballistic missiles and stocks of the interceptor are precious, so the Ukrainian leader was beaming with this development. “He accepted that he will give us licences,” Zelenskyy told Fox News after the meeting.

The US has shifted its position, giving Ukraine access to sensitive missile technology that could have a profound impact on its war effort

Zelenskyy had earlier visited US weapons manufacturer Lockheed Martin, which makes the Patriot air defence systems. In a statement posted on X, alongside photos of him posing with company executives, Zelenskyy wrote: "We talked about our joint capabilities regarding Patriots and other systems. Our teams are already working on specific solutions to move to joint production as quickly as possible."

The Patriot can intercept ballistic missiles with flight ranges of up to 1,000km (620 miles). One battery can simultaneously track up to eight targets and detect more than 100 projectiles. It could take up to a year before Kyiv is able to produce its own versions of the Patriots, but every effort will be made to cut the time down.

Playing hardball

The positivity surrounding Zelenskyy's visit to the White House stood in stark contrast to the reception afforded to Netanyahu, who had a private meeting with Trump in the Oval Office shortly after Zelenskyy. The White House was rumoured to have initially declined to schedule a meeting with Netanyahu and Trump over concerns over about the Israeli premier's stalling tactics in Gaza.

Only after Netanyahu pushed Israel's security cabinet to approve the deployment of an International Stabilisation Force (ISF) in Gaza did Trump agree to see him, according to reports. Trump regards the ISF as a key component of his plan to bring lasting peace to Gaza, but its deployment has so far been stalled by Israeli objections to its role in the enclave.

Although they met, the relationship between the two men is understood to still be tense, despite Netanyahu claiming it had been "one of the best conversations I have had" with Trump. A photo of them in the Oval Office was shared by Netanyahu's team, but behind-the-scenes, officials reported a frosty atmosphere, with Netanyahu expressing scepticism about Trump's efforts to reach a deal with Iran.

Netanyahu would rather increase pressure on Iran "through kinetic and non-kinetic means," according to a senior Israeli official in a briefing with reporters. Yet with the wars in Ukraine and Iran showing no sign of ending, Trump's shifting position in his dealings with Ukraine and Israel could have a profound impact on how both conflicts are ultimately resolved.

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