Missteps in the making: Syria's National Dialogue risks failure

Despite its bid to present itself as inclusive, it has failed to reassure many. Without course correction, it risks becoming a superficial gesture rather than an opportunity for genuine change.

Missteps in the making: Syria's National Dialogue risks failure

On 12 February, interim Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa took an initial step toward organising the much-anticipated National Dialogue Conference by appointing a preparatory committee to lay the groundwork for this crucial process.

This move is a significant test for the new leader following a period of newfound optimism. However, the committee's composition has raised considerable concerns, as it predominantly comprises individuals with ideological or political ties to Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), casting doubt on its true intentions.

The committee’s murky agenda, opaque mechanisms, and rushed, top-down approach to public engagement have only deepened scepticism. Without meaningful and genuine participation, the national dialogue risks becoming a hollow exercise that fails to reflect Syrians' aspirations. In a nation yearning for authentic reform and true inclusion, this could undermine the very purpose of the dialogue that so many have longed for.

The façade of inclusivity

Despite its bid to present itself as inclusive—such as the appointment of two female members—these efforts have failed to reassure many Syrians. The primary concern stems from the fact that three of the five male members—Yousef al-Hajr, Mohamed Musatat, and Mustafa al-Mousa—reportedly have organisational ties to HTS, while the remaining two members, Hassan al-Dhaghim and Maher Aloush, share a similar ideological background.

Concerns about HTS’s dominant influence are further compounded by the lack of transparency surrounding the committee’s internal bylaws and regulations, which undermines confidence in the contributions of its non-HTS-affiliated members. Despite numerous media appearances, the committee has consistently failed to clarify its agenda, operational mechanisms, and timeline, further fuelling doubts about the dialogue’s potential outcomes.

Concerns about HTS's dominant influence are further compounded by the lack of transparency surrounding the committee's internal bylaws and regulations

Deficient public engagement

Beyond its composition and lack of transparency, the committee's approach to public engagement raises significant concerns. Since mid-February, the committee has organised rushed public dialogue sessions that aren't conducive to meaningful discussions. Each event, with around 200 participants per multiple complex topics—such as transitional justice, institutional rebuilding, and drafting a new constitution—has been crammed into a mere two-hour window.

This short span doesn't guarantee that each attendee will have time to ask questions, let alone provide a substantive opportunity for engagement on such intricate subjects. Moreover, invitations to these consultations are reportedly sent at the last minute, giving participants little time to prepare or, in some cases, even attend.

The optics and structure of these sessions are equally problematic. Committee members are positioned onstage in a lecture-style format, while attendees sit on lower ground, reinforcing the impression of a top-down process rather than a participatory one.

Attendees from several sessions have reported to the author that many committee members were not seen taking notes during the discussions. This raises concerns about whether participants' views are being adequately documented and how those perspectives will ultimately be reflected in the dialogue's final outcomes.

Hasty rush

Although there is still no clear timeline for when the national conference will be convened, the hasty manner in which the committee is conducting consultations suggests an urgent push to hold the event before the end of the month.

Invitations to dialogue consultations are sent at the last minute, giving participants little time to prepare or, in some cases, even attend

However, this urgency risks prioritising speed over substance, potentially compromising the integrity of the process. In addition to the lack of transparency regarding the working mechanisms and participant selection process, there is growing apprehension that the conference's outputs will not be binding.

This concern is reinforced by verbal remarks from preparatory committee spokespersons, who have repeatedly indicated that the final recommendations will merely be taken under advisement by al-Sharaa—granting him ultimate decision-making power over the process.

Thus far, the National Dialogue Conference has been postponed multiple times to prevent a rushed, superficial process that would fail to secure either domestic or international legitimacy. However, despite these justified delays, the caretaker authority's approach to this critical process appears to remain unchanged.

In its current form, the preparatory committee for the National Dialogue Conference lacks credibility and risks squandering a crucial opportunity for Syria's future. Without a course correction, this initiative is at risk of becoming nothing more than a superficial gesture rather than a genuine platform for meaningful change led by and for the Syrian people.

While time is of the essence, ensuring that the national dialogue is conducted properly must take precedence over all other considerations. Otherwise, the process risks devolving into yet another empty gesture, further extending Syria's long history of missed opportunities.

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