Erdoğan conducts post-mortem as local elections shake Turkey

The ruling party is not used to coming second at the ballots, so there were emotive words from the president as he sought to understand what went wrong. Meanwhile, the victorious CHP gets on with it.

Supporters attend the official mandate renewal ceremony of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in Istanbul on April 3, 2024. He beat the ruling AK Party candidate for a second time.
AFP
Supporters attend the official mandate renewal ceremony of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in Istanbul on April 3, 2024. He beat the ruling AK Party candidate for a second time.

Erdoğan conducts post-mortem as local elections shake Turkey

The aftershocks of Turkey’s ruling AK Party suffering its first ballot box defeat in 22 years are still being felt across the country, after the 31 March local election results.

Many feel this marks a turning point in Turkish politics after CHP (Republican People's Party) jumped over President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s party into pole position.

Disappointed and upset with the outcome, Erdoğan chaired the meeting of the Central Executive Committee of AK Party, the highest decision-making body of the party, which discussed election results.

It was closed to the press, but according to AK sources present, the president called it “not only a loss of votes, but a loss of spirit and blood”.

Erdoğan and his AK Party continue to hold meetings, discuss reports, and conduct interviews to find out what went wrong. The CHP, meanwhile, has started to solidify its victory by fulfilling its election promises.

High inflation, with its knock-on effect on the Turkish people, is cited as one of the major reasons for the AK Party’s failure.

In recent days Erdoğan has repeated that, as of the second half of this year, Turkey will see a decline in inflation.

The relatively low voter turnout 78%, in a country that usually sees close to 90%, has been a matter of debate, with analysts discussing which party’s voters stayed away.

President Erdoğan felt that it was mostly resentful AK Party voters who stayed away, which is partly true.

High inflation, with its knock-on effect on the Turkish people, is cited as one of the major reasons for the AK Party's failure. 

What is also true is that a significant number of traditional AK Party voters did go to the polls but voted for the YRP (New Welfare Party) instead.

At the same time, some who usually vote for the two political parties on the opposite sides of the political spectrum—DEM (Peoples' Equality and Democracy Party) and MHP (Nationalist Action Party)—ended up voting for CHP.

Crying foul

As in every election, the results have been contested in some places by different political parties, this time in around 18 towns and cities.

Objections are evaluated by the Election Council which then decides whether there are reasonable grounds for a recount.

This investigation, evaluation, and assessment process should be completed in the next two weeks. 

However, what happened in the Metropolitan Municipality of Van, one of the provinces in eastern Anatolia, was quite different.

AFP
Turkish anti-riot police block a street as supporters of Turkey's pro-Kurdish party DEM contest a ruling that annulled the election of its candidate in the city of Van.

In Van, the DEM candidate Abdullah Zeydan won the election by 55% and by a difference of 130 bin votes over his closest contender, the AK Party candidate.

Yet following an intervention and request from the Ministry of Justice, which cited a court case against Zeydan, the Local Election Council of Van awarded the mandate to the AKP candidate instead.

The DEM party and others objected strongly.

After the Ministry of Justice cited a court case against the winner, the Local Election Council of Van awarded the mandate to the AK candidate instead.

They pointed out that Zeydan had filled in all the paperwork required of candidates prior to the election, including those relating to his legal credentials. His candidacy was subsequently approved by the election authorities.

Why, they ask, is it only now a problem, after he won? Neither the ministry nor the council have no grounds for depriving him of they win, they say.

The Van decision led to some demonstrations and clashes, followed by its consideration by the Supreme Electoral Council, which cancelled the Van decision, and gave the licence instead to the DEM candidate.

For Zeydan's supporters, justice prevailed. Yet while the Supreme Council's intervention was positive, the incident showed how fragile things are in Turkey's political system, and how issues can escalate if mismanaged.

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