As al-Assad visit to China grabs global headlines, Iran's actions in Syria become a footnote

The visit shows how China wants to play a bigger role in the region and how al-Assad is trying to end his international isolation.

As al-Assad visit to China grabs global headlines, Iran's actions in Syria become a footnote

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad travelled to China on his first visit since 2004, accompanied by his wife and a large delegation.

The visit — portrayed by the Syrian media and its allies as a victory for al-Assad over the alleged global conspiracy against him — was primarily in response to an invitation from the Chinese president to attend the opening ceremony of the Asian Games in Hangzhou on 23rd September.

While the visit has objectives beyond the games, it is not a transformative event that will likely change regional or global equations.

As world leaders and their representatives gathered for the 78th session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York, al-Assad's media machinery sought to portray his visit to China as part of a series of efforts to alleviate the regime's international isolation.

It is important to note that al-Assad is the third internationally isolated head of state to visit China this year, following Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi.

Chinese support for al-Assad's regime

Since the start of the Syrian revolution in 2011 and al-Assad's war against his own people advocating for democratic change, China has provided political and economic support to the regime. In concert with Russia, China has consistently used its veto power in the United Nations Security Council to shield the al-Assad administration.

While China has publicly expressed its opposition to Western intervention in Syria, it has not followed the same path as Russia and Iran, which have deployed combatants and mercenaries to help al-Assad's forces in their fight against the Syrian people.

The Syrian regime designated China, Russia, and Iran friendly governments several years ago. China has made several promises and signed economic agreements with the Syrian regime, but these projects have not materialised.

Today, as Russia is preoccupied with the conflict in Ukraine, some believe that China is increasingly interested in playing a political mediator role in resolving regional crises. This culminated in the Beijing Agreement between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

China's invitation to al-Assad serves as a means of conveying political messages. China wants to play a bigger role in the region, while Russia is preoccupied with Ukraine. On his part, al-Assad is trying to distance himself from the image of being an internationally-isolated leader.

In early 2022, the Syrian government signed an agreement to join the Belt and Road Initiative, through which China aims to expand its influence in developing regions through infrastructure projects. However, this has not materialised into concrete actions like previous agreements between the two nations.

Today, with Syria grappling with an unprecedented financial and economic collapse, ongoing protests demanding al-Assad's departure in areas like Suweida and Dara'a, and his inability to meet his obligations to Arab nations, al-Assad needs financial assistance.

However, it appears improbable that China will extend such support, given the historical pattern of unfulfilled agreements between the two nations.

Conveying political messages

China's invitation to al-Assad serves as a means of conveying political messages. China wants to play a bigger role in the region, while Russia is preoccupied with Ukraine. On his part, al-Assad is trying to distance himself from the image of being an internationally-isolated leader.

Nevertheless, the most noteworthy aspect of al-Assad's visit to China is that while smiling in triumph while taking photos with his wife and delegation, Ismail Qaani, the commander of the Iranian Quds Force, oversaw joint military exercises with al-Assad's regime forces in Syria.

According to Iranian media reports, he discussed strategies for addressing shared challenges and military and security issues in Syria.

Against these two backdrops — Qaani in Syria and al-Assad in China — the trajectory of Syria's future remains intricately entwined with the agendas of other isolated and internationally sanctioned governments due to their transgressions.

The lack of action by the world to implement international resolutions and end the plight of the Syrian people will only further al-Assad's cooperation with such governments.

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