Once a blessing, Kuwait’s oil wealth has become a curse

The path to ending oil dependence will be naturally fraught with challenges but undertaking structural reforms will help smooth bumps in the road

Once a blessing, Kuwait’s oil wealth has become a curse

It looks like Kuwait still has a long way to go before it can free itself from the shackles of oil dependency.

Diversification of the national economy started in the 1960s, but decision-makers have yet to put forward any proposals to fix the economy, nurture innovation and introduce diversity.

Before oil, Kuwait relied on its traders, craftsmen, and sailors who established relations with neighbouring countries — notably Iraq and Iran.

Using their ships, Kuwaitis then went as far as India and East Africa to trade, with pearls being their biggest export. Albeit primitive and arduous, the pearl industry was hugely integral to Kuwait’s economy.

However, in the late 1920s and early 1930s, the Japanese created the artificial pearl, prompting Kuwaitis to seek out another source of income.

When the exploration, production, and export of oil began in the late 1940s, the country’s economy was forever changed.

Oil revenues helped to improve livelihoods, healthcare, and education, and provide job opportunities for Kuwaiti citizens after decades of hard labour at sea and elsewhere.

Wise management of oil wealth key

History shows that long-term economic development and prosperity cannot rely solely on the abundance of natural, industrial, or service resources. The wise management and development of this wealth are also key to a sustainable prosperous economy.

Kuwait’s oil revenues might be sufficient for such a small country in size and population. However, these revenues are contingent upon two factors: the continuous flow of oil from its natural sources, and the realisation of an added value through the utilisation of crude oil and the production of oil derivatives and products that can be exported.

Today, though still vital for producing energy and operating vehicles, aircraft, and other machinery and devices, oil faces many challenges. Once king, oil today risks taking the backseat as the world increasingly shifts toward clean energy, lower carbon emissions, and other green practices.

Once king, oil today risks taking the backseat as the world increasingly shifts toward clean energy, lower carbon emissions, and other green practices.

It is crucial, then, to identify and tackle these challenges and smartly manage oil wealth and revenues to ensure stronger immunity for the oil economy.

Naturally, the path to ending oil dependence will be fraught with challenges. But undertaking structural reforms of long-standing financial and economic policies and developing alternatives can smooth out some bumps in the road.

Education gap

Economists and global economic history experts say that the countries that prioritised education and vocational training have been able to enjoy their natural resources in a more sustainable manner.

At the beginning of the oil age, Kuwait may not have had educated cadres or leaders that could grasp the requirements of economic development once oil revenues began flowing in.

To help bridge that gap, the country hired Arab and foreign experts across all sectors. In the 1950s, Arab and foreign consultants flocked in to advise on matters like the economy and urban planning. Shortly after, the Kuwaiti government also hired World Bank experts to develop insights for development plans in the subsequent years.

The specialists conducted extensive studies that examined the imbalances born out of the oil boom and how to overcome them, identifying the best ways to benefit from oil wealth. Plans were also made to allocate surplus funds to public expenditure needs — current and capital.

In 1953, the Kuwait Investment Office was established in London. The government also created companies that worked in both the oil and non-oil sectors following the the public-private partnership (PPP) model.

This helped to leverage state funds and the private sector's financial and administrative capabilities. The scope of these companies spanned many sectors, including oil refining, petrochemical industries, oil transportation, construction industries, air and land transport, and navigation — not to mention a number of banks that also worked on a PPP basis.

Challenges of populism

Economic policies are often held hostage to populist whims as the government has to answer to National Assembly members elected on sectarian, tribal, or constituent bases.

None of these members have serious intentions to restructure the economy and adopt a knowledge economy as a basis for sustainable development.

Economic policies are often held hostage to populist whims as the government has to answer to National Assembly members who do not have serious intentions to restructure the economy and adopt a knowledge economy as a basis for sustainable development.

Therefore, the government's fiscal policies continue to boost spending on salaries and subsidise goods and services — sometimes providing them for free.

As a result, state budget expenditures increase, as demonstrated by the proposed budget for FY 2023/2024, estimated at KWD 26 billion (USD 85 billion).

Reforming Kuwait's economy requires — first and foremost — a political will to implement the privatisation law, transfer ownership of service activities and facilities to the private sector, and strike partnerships with leading global companies specialised in vital activities such as electricity generation, water desalination, recycling, transport, and communications.

The state must also be willing to develop Kuwait's healthcare system and provide a comprehensive health insurance programme for citizens and residents.

Educational reform imperative

Kuwait needs to drastically reform its education sector. It must upgrade curricula and establish vocational education institutions that fulfill labour market needs and keep pace with modern technologies that are integral to the jobs and professions of today.

Read more: Kuwait's demographic predicament needs skills, not speed

These reforms may seem ordinary and easy to implement for those unfamiliar with the situation in Kuwait. In the last 70 years, Kuwaiti societal values have changed, as citizens became accustomed to government assistance. As a result, citizens' drive to work, innovate and achieve has dwindled.

In fact, education is no longer a requirement for professional advancement. Academic degrees have become mere shortcuts to obtaining senior positions — with many obtaining fake degrees.

These degrees from unrecognised universities have managed to secure their holders leading positions in ministries and government institutions.

When education is trivialised in such an insulting manner, the switch from a rentier oil-dependent economy to a knowledge economy becomes an unrealistic ambition.

When education is trivialised in such an insulting manner, the switch from a rentier oil-dependent economy to a knowledge economy becomes an unrealistic ambition.

One cannot propose population and labour market reforms if the country's education and value system is not addressed.

Will Kuwait be able to address its economic gaps and improve its use of financial and human resources to make much-needed structural changes, as is presently happening in neighbouring Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates?

We will just have to wait and see.

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