US economy

We calculate the drag on growth from fitful presidential policymaking

The US president's use of executive power to drive his economic agenda will face the ultimate test at a US Supreme Court hearing set for 5 November

Top global monetary policy makers grapple with political pressure and fragile labour markets while investors bet on lower borrowing costs, with the next five weeks key for a range of assets

Since 2016, the US economy has experienced dramatic swings in both real GDP growth and consumer price inflation. After a period of steady expansion under President Donald Trump’s first years in…

America’s economy heavily depends on imported minerals vital for technology, energy, and defence. In 2024, the US was 100% import-reliant for 12 of the 50 “critical” minerals identified by the US…

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, or OBBBA for short, will raise the fiscal deficit from 6.4% to more than 7% of GDP, pushing up long-term interest rates. Look to the bond markets for honest reactions.

Industrial production witnessed a significant decline in all countries at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. The recovery paths, however, varied remarkably. Production has soared in China, but it…

The president may test legal bounds as he tries to sway Jerome Powell

While he has defended US tariffs, asking critics to 'trust the process', he could also rein in some of Trump's more maximalist economic impulses

How much of the US president's rhetoric on trade translates into actual action will soon become clear, but there are risks to his tactics at home as well as worldwide