Is climate change changing the taste of cheese?

High-yielding cows generate lots of metabolic heat that they find difficult to dissipate when air temperature and humidity rise together. The result is an effect on a much-loved food

Eduardo Ramon

Is climate change changing the taste of cheese?

The connection between a heatwave sweeping across a cattle farm and cheese served months later may seem remote, but cheesemaking is a chain of interactions that begins long before milk reaches the factory.

The composition of the milk itself, from proteins and fats to acids, volatile compounds, and microbes, helps determine how it coagulates, how firmly the curd sets, which micro-organisms thrive during ripening, and which compounds ultimately develop to give the cheese its aroma and flavour. As the climate changes and heatwaves become more frequent, dairy scientists are trying to understand whether and how heat alters milk, and if so, how that then affects the cheese's flavour.

Proud history

Archaeologists are not certain where the first cheese was made or who made it. The story goes that a herder once stored milk in a vessel made from an animal’s stomach and discovered by chance that enzymes in its lining separated the milk into curds and whey, but there is nothing to back this up. What is certain is that humans began processing milk thousands of years ago. In northern Europe, archaeologists have uncovered perforated pottery vessels around 8,000 years old. Chemical analysis of fats preserved in them revealed traces of dairy products.

This suggests that they were vessels used to separate fat-rich curds from lactose-rich whey. The process bears a striking resemblance to a fundamental stage of modern cheesemaking. Cheese therefore seems less an invention born at a single moment than an outcome of a long process through which humans learned to exploit milk’s natural capacity for transformation: bacteria can feed on its sugars, proteins can bind into a solid network, and much of its water can be removed.

Over time, enzymes and micro-organisms can transform an almost odourless white liquid into products that differ radically in texture and taste, from mild fresh cheeses ready within hours to hard varieties matured for years. The history of cheese is therefore also an early chapter in humanity’s mastery of chemistry and microbes, long before either could be named or scientifically understood.

For all the extraordinary diversity of cheese, its production rests on a broadly similar sequence of steps: milk proteins are coagulated, some of the water and whey are removed, salt is added in varying quantities, and certain varieties are then allowed to mature for differing periods. Casein, the principal protein in cow’s milk, plays a central role in forming the curd.

AFP
A sample of well-preserved ancient cottage cheese on display during the reopening of the Imhotep Museum at the Saqqara archaeological site in Cairo, on 3 December 2023.

Delicate process

Cheesemakers use rennet (enzymes used to curdle cheese), acid, or a combination of the two to destabilise casein proteins and encourage them to bind together. The resulting mass gradually develops into a highly complex environment shaped by moisture, salinity, acidity, temperature, and the composition of fats and proteins. Yet cheesemaking depends on more than chemistry.

The ‘starter cultures’ added to milk usually contain lactic acid bacteria, which consume lactose and convert it into lactic acid. This lowers the pH and helps create the conditions required for coagulation. Once the curd forms, the process becomes more complex. Some starter bacteria gradually decline, and some of their cells break down, releasing enzymes and nutrients. Other non-starter bacteria multiply. During ripening, these bacterial populations can reach around 100 million culturable cells per gram. A piece of cheese is therefore more akin to a microscopic ecosystem.

Swiss cheese offers a familiar example of this microbial cooperation. In varieties such as Emmental, propionibacterium freudenreichii (the main bacteria used in Swiss cheese production) becomes active during ripening and uses the lactate produced by lactic acid bacteria to generate propionic and acetic acids, both of which contribute to the distinctive flavour of these cheeses. Carbon dioxide is released as well. It accumulates within the cheese and forms bubbles that expand into the famous holes. Both the holes and the flavour come from the metabolic activity of the same micro-organisms, which helps explain why even subtle changes in the cheese's chemical environment can eventually affect its final characteristics.

This intricate journey begins with an animal highly sensitive to heat. High-yielding cows, particularly Holsteins, generate considerable metabolic heat and can find it increasingly difficult to dissipate when air temperature and humidity rise together. Their breathing rate and body temperature increase, feed intake may fall, and hormonal and metabolic changes follow, geared primarily towards protecting the animal and maintaining a stable body temperature rather than producing milk ideally suited to cheesemaking.

The effects of biology

The consequences extend beyond the number of litres produced. The quantity and composition of protein, certain fats, and metabolites in the milk may also change. A meta-analysis published in the Journal of Dairy Science reinforces these concerns. It pooled data from 31 studies comprising 34 experiments and found that heat stress reduced dry-matter intake, energy-corrected milk production, and milk protein concentration.

More importantly, the scale of the effect was linked to the temperature-humidity index, although it varied according to the stage of lactation and the characteristics of the animals. These findings matter to cheesemakers because protein, and casein in particular, is far more than a nutritional component; it forms the structural foundation of the curd itself. Changes that begin inside the udder may find their way into the vat.

TONY KARUMBA / AFP
A woman milks a cow in Narok County on 7 October 2025.

A study published in Food Chemistry last year offered a more detailed picture of what heat stress may be doing inside the milk itself. Researchers examined 24 healthy Holstein cows on a commercial farm in Beijing, all at broadly similar stages of lactation and in their second parity.

Researchers collected samples from 12 cows in mid-April, when the temperature-humidity index was below 68, and again in July, after at least seven consecutive days when the index exceeded 78. Examining lipids, metabolites, the microbiome, and volatile compounds, the researchers set out to determine whether heat leaves a measurable 'fingerprint' in milk. The fingerprint was extensive.

Antioxidant capacity declined, while several components of the milk fat changed, including reductions in unsaturated fatty acids and polar lipids. The bacterial community within the milk also shifted, with increases in some species associated with dairy spoilage. Most relevant to the question of flavour was the higher levels of volatile compounds that can contribute to undesirable odours, while others associated with sweeter aromas declined.

Milk produced during heat stress coagulated less efficiently and formed a weaker curd after 30 minutes

Chemical changes

Heat therefore affected not just milk quantity but also chemical changes detectable by the human nose and palate. These findings, however, require careful interpretation. The study examined raw milk, not mature cheese presented to a tasting panel, and compared two groups of cows in different seasons rather than the same animals before and after a heatwave.

The researchers sought to control for factors such as feeding, management, housing, and stage of lactation, but seasonal studies cannot always eliminate every variable that changes alongside the weather. Nor does the detection of compounds associated with a particular taste or aroma necessarily mean that their concentrations will exceed the sensory threshold at which humans can perceive them. There is also no guarantee that they will remain at the same levels after pasteurisation, fermentation, coagulation, and ageing.

Even so, evidence suggests heat affects the cheesemaking process itself. In a 2025 study published in the International Dairy Journal, Italian researchers compared the production of a Grana-style hard cheese using partially skimmed milk from the same herd during heat stress and again after those conditions had passed.

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Cheesemaker Cédric Meyr carries a milking machine while walking past his cows in the barn, as part of the process of making Swiss "L'Etivaz" hard cheese, on 28 September 2023.

They found that fat globules were slightly larger during the hotter period and that cream separated more rapidly during natural skimming. The milk also had a higher pH and lower titratable acidity. These differences may seem modest, yet they matter in an industry that depends on precise control over milk behaviour during carefully timed stages of production.

More strikingly, milk produced during the period of heat stress coagulated less efficiently and formed a weaker curd after 30 minutes. A higher minimum daily temperature-humidity index was also associated with longer coagulation times and reduced curd firmness. At this point, the effects of heat are both industrial and biological. A weaker curd can affect cutting, whey drainage, moisture retention, fat retention and overall production efficiency.

Causal link

For all its importance, the study does not establish that the flavour of the mature cheese necessarily changed. It does show, however, that both the raw material and its technological behaviour changed. It therefore points towards the next stage of research: following cheeses through the full ripening process and comparing the finished products through blind sensory testing.

Cheese flavour appears to be changeable, but this has yet to be demonstrated conclusively across every type of cheese. From a biological standpoint, the chain of effects is coherent: heat influences the cow's physiology, feed intake, and metabolism, altering certain components of the milk; acidity, protein and fat then influence coagulation, while ripening depends on microbes metabolising sugars, proteins, and fats. A change at the beginning of that chain can, in theory, alter the aromatic compounds present at the end.

Modern cheesemaking is designed to reduce variation, however. Producers can standardise milk composition and tightly control microbial cultures, salinity, acidity, and the temperatures used during production and ripening, so not every cheese responds the same way. Large-scale industrial producers have many tools to compensate for seasonal variation in milk, while traditional cheeses made from raw milk, or governed by strict rules of origin, may have less freedom to adjust their methods when the raw material changes.

Even then, a shift in flavour does not necessarily amount to a loss of quality. Changes in the milk may simply produce a different sensory profile. Flavour is inherently complex, and compounds regarded as undesirable in one may be integral to another. Propionic acid, for instance, is a defining feature of Swiss cheese, while in other varieties it may be entirely unwelcome.

Reuters
A judge cuts a slice of Emmental cheese during the Swiss Cheese Awards in Le Sentier, Switzerland, on 23 September 2016.

Climate change

Another paradox exists in this relationship. Cheesemaking is vulnerable to climate change, yet it also belongs to a food system that contributes to greenhouse gas emissions. Take Beira Baixa, a Portuguese sheep's-milk cheese. Researchers found that most environmental impact occurred before the milk reached the cheese factory, largely from feed production, fertilisation, land preparation, enteric fermentation, and manure management. The direct environmental impact of cheesemaking itself was comparatively limited.

Another study, published in 2025, analysed 19 farms supplying a producer of Italian Grana Padano. The carbon footprint of one kilogram of cheese aged for nine months produced up to 23kg of carbon dioxide equivalent, with milk production accounting for the largest share. Feed efficiency, milk yield, protein content, and casein levels all influenced the carbon footprint per kilogram of cheese.

An intriguing feedback loop emerges. The dairy sector contributes to global warming, while warming can reduce animal efficiency and alter the properties of the milk the industry depends on. Protecting the flavour of cheese in the future may therefore begin on the farm. Shade, ventilation, fans, cooling systems, ample water, careful management of feeding times, and improvements in feed composition can all reduce heat stress in cows. Selecting breeds and genetic traits with greater heat tolerance may also play a larger role in breeding strategies.

At the factory, close monitoring of protein, casein, fat, acidity, and coagulation behaviour can help identify changes before they develop into production problems. Ripening rooms may also require better insulation and more efficient cooling to maintain the temperature and humidity needed for the desired succession of microbial communities. Hotter summers will increase energy demand and costs.

Dairy companies have already begun incorporating climate data into their long-term planning. New Zealand's Fonterra, for example, has used information from the Copernicus Climate Change Service to assess risks from heat, drought, rainfall, and extreme weather to farms, manufacturing sites, and supply chains. This is more than a PR exercise.

The cow feels the heat, its metabolism responds, and parts of the milk's chemistry, microbiome, and aromatic profile change with it

The weather's fingerprint

If the composition of milk becomes more variable from one season to another, or if the cost of cooling cows, factories, and ripening rooms rises, climate change may eventually leave its mark on the economics of cheesemaking. That could be reflected in production costs, quality control, and the ability of traditional cheesemaking regions to preserve characteristics historically associated with a particular local climate.

We are unlikely to wake after one exceptionally hot summer and discover that the familiar taste of cheese has suddenly disappeared. The industry has tools to regulate raw materials, microbial processes, and ripening conditions. Yet the accumulating evidence suggests that milk is intimately tied to climate. The cow feels the heat, its metabolism responds, and parts of the milk's chemistry, microbiome, and aromatic profile change with it, just as its ability to form a strong curd may also change.

Science still needs to complete the final link in the chain. Researchers would need to produce otherwise identical cheeses from milk supplied by cows exposed to different degrees of heat stress, age them for the same length of time, analyse them chemically and microbiologically, then subject them to blind tasting. Until such studies are available, a firm conclusion that climate change can alter the flavour of cheese cannot be made, and the true scale of the sensory effect, and the industry's ability to compensate for it, remain unresolved.

Perhaps that is the most intriguing and unsettling paradox of all: a food devised thousands of years ago to help milk withstand time, and travel now faces a new challenge from the climate itself. The cheese on tomorrow's table, with all its acids, fats, aromas, and microbes, may become a small record not only of how it was made, but also of the heat endured by the cow that produced its milk.

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