The Gulf states are caught between two fires of extremism

The religious expansionists in Israel hate Arabs on a biblical level, while the hardliners in Iran are so blinded by ignorance that they attack their neighbours for another state’s actions

The Gulf states are caught between two fires of extremism

The sudden death of US Senator Lindsey Graham last week brought the curtain down on one of Washington’s most prominent Republican hawks, a steadfast supporter of Israel. He wanted to expand the Abraham Accords to include other Arab nations, defended Israeli actions during its war in Gaza, and lambasted the International Criminal Court for issuing arrest warrants for Israeli leaders.

Around 11,700km away from Washington, a decision was taken by Oman’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs to summon the Iranian ambassador and deliver a formal note of protest following drone attacks on sites in the governorates of Musandam and Al Wusta. Although seemingly unconnected, Graham’s death and Oman’s rebuke were two of the most noteworthy events affecting the Middle East in recent days.

Oman’s decision marked a significant moment in the region’s political landscape. Muscat enjoys a close relationship with Tehran and is usually reluctant to issue public criticism, lest it cause misunderstanding or tension with the Islamic Republic, so the move is a clear indication that even the Omanis have now lost patience. Angered by Iran’s military violations, the Sultanate summoned the Iranian ambassador to express its indignation, protests that were echoed elsewhere.

Similar statements were issued by every Gulf state that had come under attack, including Jordan. There is no justification for Iran’s continued targeting of its Arab neighbours in the Gulf Cooperation Council, several of whom had condemned the US-Israeli assault and invested considerable diplomatic effort to help secure a ceasefire in negotiations hosted by Pakistan between an American delegation led by US Vice President JD Vance, and an Iranian delegation led by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.

A belief in peace

The aim of countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman has been to reach a political settlement acceptable to all parties and thereby defuse the crisis. The sentiments are shared by other Arab states that have been targeted. Their belief in peace and in the duties of neighbourliness kept channels with Iran open and led to their official participation in the funeral of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

Yet in their determination to marginalise Iran’s hardliners, they may be inadvertently serving Israel, which threatens everyone. The leaders of the Arab Gulf states thus find themselves caught between two fires.

Even the Omanis have now lost patience, angered by Iran's military violations

On one side, there is the fire of ignorance, fanaticism, and extremism within Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its allied politicians, whose zealotry and dogma deprives them of sound judgement. As a result, they have turned their fire on their Arab and Muslim neighbours, while losing sight of the adversary responsible for attacking Iran, since it was Israel that struck their country and killed their leaders. On the other side is the fire of deep hostility towards Arabs and Muslims among Israel's extremists, whose outlook draws on a religious reading of Muslims as enemies.

Ignorance and hatred

The GCC states therefore stand between two fires whose flames threaten the Arab world. That world refuses humiliation and will not accept aggression, yet it holds back from retaliation for fear that any response might place it in Israel's camp in a war against a Muslim country. Iran's hardliners fail to grasp this delicate political reality, because they are blinded by their own ignorance.

Some worry that Iran's moderates seem destined to remain powerless, unable to reclaim any political or military decision-making authority, protect themselves and their country, and spare the region a truly devastating war. International opinion towards Iran is already shifting, not least due to its blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global supply chains and importers' energy security.

As a result, perceptions of Iran are slowly changing from a state under attack to an aggressor threatening international security and stability. In these changing circumstances, the need for dialogue between the Gulf states and the wider international community crystallises. Such talks should include Türkiye, Pakistan and Egypt, together with European powers, China, Russia, and India.

Their purpose must be to secure genuine de-escalation, extinguish the crisis at its source, and restore calm and stability throughout the region. A concerted effort of this kind could restrain the hardliners in Iran and Israel alike, while opening a path towards resolving the other crises afflicting Yemen, Sudan, and Somalia.

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