Assassinations and international relations after the US-Iran War

Throughout history, kings have been killed, but this has been turbocharged by the US and Israel in recent years, with senior state officials no longer immune from targeting. What are the implications?

For decades, international norms generally precluded rival governments from targeting the leaders of enemy states.
Mark Smith
For decades, international norms generally precluded rival governments from targeting the leaders of enemy states.

Assassinations and international relations after the US-Iran War

The 2026 US-Iran War has reverberated far beyond the Middle East, rocking the world economy and testing alliances. Amidst the shaking kaleidoscope was one relatively unnoticed consequence: a change to North Korea’s constitution. As The Telegraph reported, on 22 March the Supreme People’s Assembly in Pyongyang voted to amend its laws so that, should President Kim Jong-Un be assassinated, North Korea’s military would automatically launch a nuclear retaliation.

The change was made explicitly in response to Israel’s assassination of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, to deter the United States or anyone else from trying something similar with Kim. That North Korea—which has been an international pariah for decades—feels the need to take this defensive measure now illustrates how targeted political killings have changed states’ calculations.

World leaders might once have felt a degree of safety, with international norms generally precluding rival governments from targeting the leaders of enemy states. Times appear to have changed, but is this really such a departure from the past? If so, how might any changes impact international relations in the future?

History’s assassins

The name ‘assassin’ derives from the Arabic ‘hashshashin’, a label given to followers of an Ismaili Shia military order that operated in Syria and Persia between the 11th and 13th centuries. The order deliberately tried to kill leaders of enemy states, reportedly under the influence of Hashish, hence the name.

Of course, the targeted killing of an international rival is a far older practice. The Romans sponsored the killing of troublesome chieftains, like the Hispanic leader Viriathus, who was murdered by his own advisors after a hefty bribe from Rome. Their Byzantine successors similarly deployed assassination as a technique against leaders of Bulgarian rivals in the 8th century.

However, for much of history, the assassination of leaders has primarily been a tool of domestic, rather than international, politics. Julius Ceaser was killed by fellow Romans, while, on the other side of the world, a handful of Chinese emperors like Emperor Ping of Han were similarly felled by internal rivals. In the modern era, again, most assassinations of state leaders had domestic assailants.

Of the four US presidents that have been assassinated in office, from Lincoln to Kennedy, all were killed by disgruntled US citizens, with no clear links to foreign actors. Similarly, consequential political murders like Yitzhak Rabin in Israel in 1993 or Anwar Sadat in 1981 were by domestic extremists.

Foreign leaders

Foreign states have engaged in assassinations, but there was a strong preference for covert operations, giving governments a degree of plausible deniability. In the early 20th century, some high-profile killings were linked to foreign powers, most notably the murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, the heir to the Austro-Hungarian throne, which sparked the First Word War. But though Vienna blamed Serbia for the assassination, the gunman was an Austrian subject, and Belgrade denied authorising the murder despite backing the terrorist group he belonged to.

The name 'assassin' derives from the Arabic 'hashshashin', a label given to followers of an Ismaili Shia military order that operated in Syria and Persia between the 11th and 13th centuries. The order deliberately tried to kill leaders of enemy states, reportedly under the influence of hashish

The Cold War marked an increase in such operations. In the US-Soviet rivalry, both sides deployed a range of strategies to gain advantage and further their global goals including, at times, a willingness to assassinate foreign leaders. The USSR overthrew and executed Hungary's Imre Nagy, while Afghanistan's Hafizullah Amin was killed when the Soviets invaded in 1979.

The CIA, meanwhile, kept trying to kill Cuban leader Fidel Castro, without success. It also sponsored coups that resulted in the deaths of Congo's Patrice Lumumba, South Vietnam's Ngo Dinh Diem and Chile's Salvador Allende. Many of these killings were consciously indirect with Washington's role secret or deniable.

As the Cold War came to an end, assassinations fell out of favour in Washington. Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan all signed executive orders making it illegal for the US to engage in such. The latter still officially holds today, but the 9/11 attacks and the subsequent 'War on Terror' in the early 21st century shifted the calculus.

Given new impetus

As well as military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan, the US launched a series of drone strikes in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia and elsewhere, deliberately aimed at killing senior Jihadist leaders. The US further killed 'high value targets' such as Al-Qaeda leaders Osama Bin Laden, Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi and Ayman Al-Zawahiri, and IS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Moreover, in 2020 Donald Trump ordered the murder of Iran's Quds Force commander Qassem Soelimani. This was notable as, unlike the other 'high value targets' who were all leaders of non-state terrorist organisations, Soleimani was a state official. The US claimed it was acting in self-defence against an imminent threat planned by Iran, but many international legal experts questioned this.  

WANA via Reuters
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei waves during a meeting in Tehran, Iran, on 17 February 2026.

In the Cold War, they had tried to keep a degree of separation from foreign assassinations, but this now shifted the discourse. Instead of being covert, operations were now overt. 'Targeted killings' were being undertaken in the name of self-defence, with state officials included on the target list. America's tactics therefore began to mirror those of its ally, Israel, which had been assassinating its enemies' leaders for decades.

Since the 1950s Israel targeted a range of foreign nationals on the grounds of self-defence. These included state officials, such as Egyptian and Jordanian military leaders linked to raids on Israel by Palestinian militants. Later, the primary target became leaders of non-state organisations they deemed terrorist, such as the PLO's deputy leader, Abu Jihad in 1988, or Hamas's Ahmed Yassin in 2004.

A new norm

After the start of the Second Intifada in 2000 this increased considerably, but it has gone into overdrive since the 7 October 2023 attacks. Since then, Israel has killed nearly every senior Hamas leader, the leader of Hezbollah (Hassan Nasrallah), and a long list of Hezbollah, Houthi and Iranian senior figures. Notably, this included Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in 2026 and the Yemeni Houthi premier, Ahmed Ghaleb Nasser al-Rahawi a year earlier.

Other governments, notably Russia and Iran, have shown few scruples in assassinating domestic dissidents on foreign soil and may well have plotted unsuccessful operations against foreign leaders, but the American-Israeli embrace of overtly killing leading foreign officials, including heads of government, appears to represent a significant shift when it comes to international norms. It is perhaps unsurprising that North Korea has responded so vehemently to guard against becoming the next target.

KCNA via Reuters
North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un visits the country's nuclear material production base at an undisclosed location on 29 January 2025.

How much this changes international relations will depend on how the rest of the international community acts. There have been surprisingly few condemnations of Israel or the US by other states for the targeting of Khamenei. It would now be unsurprising if others followed suit, targeting the leaders of rival states in the future. Should that happen, such assassinations could well become a feature of warfare in the competitive multipolar world order currently emerging.

Herein lies the risk for the US and Israel. In the mid-1970s, Senator Frank Church's report into illegal operations by the CIA during the Cold War quoted John F Kennedy's disapproval of assassinating rival leaders. "We can't get into that kind of thing, or we would all be targets," the then president said. This warning remains true today. Having normalised assassination of foreign leaders as a tool of international relations, America and Israel's leaders risk becoming future targets themselves.

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