If Lebanon doesn't move on Hezbollah arms, it will be left behind

Failure to take meaningful and timely steps to disarm Hezbollah not only risks the loss of Arab and international support but also the chance to benefit economically from Syria's reopening

If Lebanon doesn't move on Hezbollah arms, it will be left behind

The fall of the Assad regime wasn't just a cataclysmic event for Syria—it shook the entire region, fundamentally changing its landscape for the foreseeable future. It ended the so-called ‘axis of resistance’—that long-exploited the Palestinian cause to advance its destructive agenda across the region—by severing the lifeline of a network that stretched from Tehran to Beirut, with Syria serving as its central conduit.

The regional order shifted dramatically following the events of October 7 and was fundamentally transformed after 8 December 2024. Yet Hezbollah refuses to confront reality. They seem stuck in the past, still believing the reins of power are in their hands.

And while the United States and Israel are now pushing for Hezbollah’s disarmament, a good chunk of Lebanese society—as well as key voices in the Arab world—have been sounding the alarm over the issue for a long time. Functioning states should have a monopoly on arms—full stop. And any insinuation that the real motive behind this push is alignment with the Israeli agenda is intentionally misleading.

Almost a year has passed since the end of Israel’s war with Hezbollah, and ten months since the fall of Assad’s regime and the subsequent regional transformation. Yet war once again knocks on Lebanon’s door. Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri has declared the failure of negotiations with Israel, placing the blame on Tel Aviv for rejecting the US proposal.

For his part, Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, described the government’s decision to disarm the group as a “sin” that must be reversed. He continues to issue threats and relies on the party’s well-worn tactic of branding as traitors those who demand that the state extend its authority across all Lebanese territory.

Functioning states should have a monopoly on arms—full stop

A national and regional necessity

Disarming Hezbollah is not merely a security demand from Israel, despite what Qassem and his allies claim. It is, above all, a national necessity. The country cannot emerge from years of stagnation and dysfunction without first addressing the destabilising role of Hezbollah's weapons.

It is also a necessity for Syria, so that it can begin the process of reconstruction and repair the devastation inflicted by the Assad regime, in which Hezbollah and the axis were active participants. Moreover, it is a regional and Arab imperative, given Hezbollah's longstanding role in fomenting instability through its armed presence and involvement in drug trafficking.

If Lebanon fails to take meaningful and timely steps toward disarmament, it will not only forfeit Arab and international support but also the chance to participate in Syria's reconstruction effort and re-engage politically and economically with Damascus. More dangerously, it risks inviting a new Israeli assault on Lebanon—something that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been pining for.

Should Lebanon continue to ignore its disarmament commitments—and if its political leadership remains preoccupied with trivial distractions—then the region will move forward without it. Lebanon no longer has the luxury of time. Further delay could spell disaster for the country.

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