States are slowly matching public disgust with Israel with policy

Whether it is the recognition of Palestine at the UN or a refusal to take part in the Eurovision Song Contest if Israel is not suspended, governments are finally acting. But will it last?

States are slowly matching public disgust with Israel with policy

In recent days, Spain has followed the Netherlands, Ireland, and Slovenia in announcing that it will not take part in the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest if Israel is allowed to participate. This marks a bold and historic decision. Spain is one of the five principal sponsors of a contest that holds a special place in the hearts of Europeans, particularly the young.

Pulling out in protest at Israel’s actions in Gaza is a risk for the left-wing Spanish government of Pedro Sánchez. There is a deep political polarisation in the country, and Sánchez relies on fragile party alliances that could collapse at any moment. Still, despite the problems, Madrid has chosen to take a principled and moral stance. This accords with public sentiment.

Sustained nationwide protests in support of the Palestinians are ongoing; the most recent took place during the Vuelta a España cycling race, where demonstrators halted the final stage in protest at Israel’s participation in the Eurovision. Yet, the European continent is also experiencing a far-right resurgence, grounded in anger over unchecked immigration. Spain also has its own far-right groups, so the opinion in the country is not uniform.

Feeling emboldened

The intensification and increasing evidence of Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza put pressure on democratic governments to finally move beyond the rhetoric and start taking concrete action. Madrid has shown that it is willing to do so. Sánchez will be emboldened by the polls. In 2016, Spaniards pinned the blame for the conflict on both Israelis and Palestinians, but by December 2024, only 17% supported continued arms sales to Israel. Presumably, that figure has since fallen further.

Governments’ response to public sentiment is a natural reflex for any democratically-elected authority—especially when all our international legal frameworks seemingly cannot compel Israel to end the genocide. In such circumstances, states can only use the tools available to them, including boycotts. Hence, the threats to boycott Eurovision or even next year’s FIFA World Cup, despite the worlds of culture and sport being cherished arenas in which politics would normally not factor.

Despite deep political polarisation in Spain, Sánchez has chosen to take a principled stance on Palestine. This accords with public sentiment.

European states withdrawing from major cultural events based on events in the Middle East may cause Europeans to ask: what does that region have to do with us? What do we stand to gain? When facing an adversary as powerful as Israel, backed by the world's dominant power, such concerns seem understandable, especially for a country still recovering from a severe economic crisis that took years to overcome.

Aligned with the public

Madrid's stance now reflects public sentiment, but that does not confer immunity, because opinion can shift rapidly and may turn against the government if there are repercussions. Still, the broader and more important point is that, finally, democratic governments are starting to align with their populations, who have shown in polls, protests, and ballots that they have increasing sympathies with the Palestinians.

The genocide in Gaza has been ongoing for almost two years, so the persistence of citizens and voters to press their governments now requires endurance and a willingness to persist despite the risks. Democracy faces a genuine test here, not least because electorates' primary concern is usually the economy, with issues such as inflation and jobs far more likely to influence votes than foreign policy matters.

This was evident in last year's US presidential election win for Donald Trump, when petrol prices mattered more to voters than global events. So, as morally principled  its positions on Gaza may be, the Sánchez government will still have to deliver progress on domestic issues, whether that is combating corruption or achieving growth.

The real concern lies in the perception that Palestine has become the central and decisive issue. If a government were to lose an election, or if mass protests were to erupt over unrelated domestic matters—as recently seen in London—this could be interpreted as a setback for Palestine, or as a withdrawal of support. It is a delicate balance. Overestimating the role of the Middle East and Gaza as a sole driver of political change in Western societies and governments is a mistake that should be avoided.

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