Hezbollah's house of cards brought down by its own delusions

Uncoordinated fronts of so-called "resistance" have done little to slow Israel's slaughter of Palestinians in Gaza. Quite the contrary, it has only expanded the killing to include Lebanese.

Hezbollah's house of cards brought down by its own delusions

For two decades, Hezbollah built a reputation for itself as the only group capable of taking on Israel and its occupation of Arab lands. It contended that Israel was weak, and steadfast resistance would eventually be able to take it down.

However, after Israel dealt the group a series of devastating blows by taking out its top-brass leadership, including its secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah's empty bravado has been laid bare. Before that, Israel stunned the world by detonating pagers and walkie-talkies held by Hezbollah operatives, killing dozens and maiming thousands. Paranoia swept through the group as it tried to understand what happened, how it happened and the extent of its penetration into its communication network.

Before it attacked Lebanon, Israel had stunned the world with its destructive war on Gaza—a war that continues to grind on despite a year of unimaginable Palestinian suffering. Israel's brute force was also deployed further afield in Syria and Yemen in its campaign to degrade Iran's network of militias across the region.

The previously established "rules of engagement" between Hezbollah and Israel have been completely tossed out. Concern for the hostages has done little to slow down Israel's military escalation in the region, and its pursuit of control and domination over Palestinians "from the river to the sea" has only intensified.

Hezbollah's hesitation to hit Israel hard from the beginning eroded its credibility and showed its subservience to Iran

Illusionary front

Seemingly absent from current developments is any semblance of a united resistance front against Israel. While it dubbed itself as an "axis of resistance", Iran-backed militias in the region have revealed themselves to be more of a loose coalition, if not a full-blown illusion.

For its part, Iran has strategically distanced itself from the fight against Israel. Occasionally, it offered some tepid responses by launching missile salvos on Israel—first in April (which the US was alerted to) and then later in October. Another "axis" member conspicuously absent was Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who did nothing as Israel launched attack after attack on Syrian soil.

This left only Hezbollah on Israel's northern border and Yemen's Houthis attacking Israel-linked shipping in the Red Sea, with some occasional drone strikes coming from Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces. These uncoordinated fronts have done little to slow Israel's slaughter of Palestinians in Gaza.

And since it joined its "supportive front" in October 2023, Hezbollah's hesitation to hit Israel hard from the beginning has eroded the group's credibility in two major ways. First, it exposed the lie that Israel was weaker than it appeared. Second, it showed just how subordinate Hezbollah was to Iran, making the group look more like a tool to serve Iranian national interests rather than a genuine resistance group to protect Lebanon and Palestine.

Wishful thinking that Israel can be defeated has no cache in the real world. Delusion will only prolong our suffering. 

However, it is equally true that if Hezbollah did hit hard, it would have probably plunged Lebanon and the wider region into catastrophic chaos and violence. So either way, it had no good hand to play.

No time for wishful thinking

The degraded group now has some very important decisions to make that could ultimately determine its ability to survive. It is clear Israel is trying to provoke Hezbollah into an even bigger confrontation in an attempt to weaken it even further.  This provocation has American backing, and both countries are committed to rolling back Iran's regional influence.

Wishful thinking that Israel can be defeated is just that and has no cache in the real world. Time is running out, and delusional thinking will only prolong our suffering. This is why we need a fundamentally different approach. We need to welcome new ideas about what we want our future to look like and draw up a clear action plan to achieve it. Denying this reality could plunge the region into unimaginable turmoil and violence.

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