‘Hillbilly’ Vance could give Trump the Rust Belt… and the White House

By choosing a relatively inexperienced 38-year-old Senator from Ohio to be his Vice President, US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has a target audience in mind. It could well work.

‘Hillbilly’ Vance could give Trump the Rust Belt… and the White House

Donald Trump’s prospects of retaking the White House in November are likely to improve significantly by appointing J.D. Vance as his nominee for Vice President.

Trump’s chances had already received a boost after he survived last weekend’s assassination attempt, when he was lucky to escape with nothing more serious than an injured ear.

The Republican contender has certainly lost no time making political capital out of the attack, when he was targeted by 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks at a rally in Pennsylvania, telling supporters that “God alone” had saved his life.

After a retired fireman was killed and two more attendees severely injured at the rally, Trump said he sent his “love” to the victims, and that he was praying for the wounded, while calling on Americans to be “resilient” in the face of “wickedness”.

His subsequent appearance at the Republican national convention being held in Milwaukee, during which he appeared with a large bandage on his right ear, prompted rapturous applause from the assembled convention crowd.

Delegates chanted “fight, fight, fight,” echoing Trump’s own words in the immediate of the shooting.

Picking a backstory

Trump decided to appoint Vance after he conducted a lengthy interview process of potential candidates. He sought a Vice President who was most likely to boost his re-election prospects.

In January 2020, his former Vice President Mike Pence refused to support Trump’s claim that the election was rigged. Trump had put pressure on Pence to refuse to ratify the result, first in private, then publicly.

This time, Trump has opted for Vance, because of the following he has built up since he published his memoir Hillbilly Elegy in 2016, a haunting tale of growing up in the rust-belt town of Middletown in Ohio.

Vance also boasts an impressive CV and has a humble background. His mother was a drug addict, and his father abandoned the family when Vance was just a toddler.

Brought up mainly by his grandparents, Vance joined the US Marines, served a tour of duty in Iraq, then studied at Ohio State University and Yale Law School before becoming a venture capitalist in California.

A presidential path

His popular book is an honest account of his upbringing which made him not only a bestselling author but also a sought-after commentator. He has been frequently called on to explain Trump’s appeal to white, working-class voters.

Indeed, Vance’s close affinity with blue-collar voters—who he says have been overlooked by the Washington elite—was another factor in Trump’s decision. It will broaden Trump’s appeal among working class voters, a key voting constituency.

This means that the 39-year-old first-term senator from Ohio is not only Trump’s running mate but is also now an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028.

Trump has opted for Vance, because of the following he has built up since he published his memoir Hillbilly Elegy in 2016.

Despite being a relative political novice, Trump clearly believes that Vance's Midwestern roots and his reliably conservative voting record since entering the Senate will boost his chances of defeating President Joe Biden.

Making his entrance

Vance certainly appeared at ease when making his first address to the packed arena at the Republican convention after receiving his nomination earlier this week.

Casting himself as the champion of forgotten working class, he made a direct appeal to the same Rust Belt voters who helped drive Trump's surprise 2016 victory. 

"In small towns like mine in Ohio, or next door in Pennsylvania, or in Michigan, in states all across our country, jobs were sent overseas, and children were sent to war," he declared.

"To the people of Middletown, Ohio, and all the forgotten communities in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Ohio, and every corner of our nation, I promise you this: I will be a Vice President who never forgets where he came from."

Vance's transformation from being a bitter critic of Trump to his running mate in the presidential election contest has certainly been one of the more memorable journeys undertaken in US politics.

In the lead-up to the 2016 presidential election, Vance publicly denounced Trump as an "idiot", calling him "reprehensible". He once described himself as a "never Trumper". In private, he even likened Trump to Adolf Hitler.

Since then, Vance has become one of Trump's most ardent advocates, standing by him even when other high-profile Republicans did not.

Critic-turned-fan

Vance's critics have accused him of acting purely out of self-interest to clear a path for his own future presidential run.

An uncompromising champion of economic populism, Vance also condemns US support for Ukraine against Russia. All this has persuaded Trump that Vance's transformation to MAGA (Make America Great Again) devotee is genuine—and will help steer him to victory.

Vance's critics have accused him of acting purely out of self-interest to clear a path for his own future presidential run.

His running mate's relative youth is another important factor. His appointment makes him the first millennial to join the top of a major party ticket.

This is perhaps more pertinent at a time when concerns have been raised about the age of the candidates. Biden is 81, while Trump is 78.

He can be outspoken. Recently, he said Britain under its new Labour government would be the world's first "truly Islamist country" to have a nuclear weapon. The comment did not land well in London.

At a time when American politics is desperately short of young, upcoming political leaders, Vance's emergence as a key figure in the presidential contest is guaranteed to crank up the interest in the campaign as it enters its final few months.

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