According to a June 2024 survey, young Americans were likelier to vote for Joe Biden in the November 2024 presidential elections. Of those between the ages of 18 and 29, 46% said they were planning on voting for Biden, compared to 24% who said they planned on voting for Donald Trump. In contrast, Trump was much more popular among those between 45 and 64 years old.
Biden and top Democrats have sought to capitalise on Trump’s conviction in Manhattan last month on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records, reminding voters he’s a “convicted felon”.
Approximately 32% of independents said they’re less likely to support Trump after his conviction, according to a Politico/Ipsos poll that found 33% of voters overall, including 9% of Republicans, said they’re less likely to support Trump.
Yet, polls consistently show that conviction is a low priority for most voters. The Politico/Ipsos poll found that 53% said it’s not crucial to their voting decision, while 61% of respondents in a Reuters/Ipsos poll said it won’t impact their vote.
A CBS/YouGov poll released on 9 June also found that 55% of likely voters said Trump’s conviction isn’t a factor in their voting decisions, and six other issues—including the economy, crime, and border security—outranked the conviction by double-digit margins in terms of importance.
Polling also shows that many voters don't necessarily like both Trump and Biden but plan to back them because they find the alternative even more unpalatable.
