Egyptians have little to celebrate on 2011 revolution anniversary

The country continues to suffer the political, economic and security aftershocks of this seminal development.

Despite a crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood and the jailing and exile of many of its leaders, the spectre of an Islamist revival continues to loom in Egypt, 13 years after Mubarak's downfall.
AlMajalla
Despite a crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood and the jailing and exile of many of its leaders, the spectre of an Islamist revival continues to loom in Egypt, 13 years after Mubarak's downfall.

Egyptians have little to celebrate on 2011 revolution anniversary

On the evening of 5 March 2011, thousands of angry demonstrators stormed the headquarters of the once-feared state security (internal intelligence) apparatus in Nasr City — a sprawling neighbourhood in eastern Cairo — seizing thousands of what was believed to be files and documents, including video and cassette recordings.

This invasion was the first episode in a long series of appropriations of documents and files by demonstrators from State Security offices across Egypt.

Standing at the heart of these seizures were the junior members of the Muslim Brotherhood— an educational-turned-charity organisation formed in 1928. The group had its long-awaited moment of political empowerment in 2011 after the downfall of the Hosni Mubarak autocracy, almost a month before the attacks on the State Security building in Nasr City.

Outside the building, a veteran judge tried to convince the angry demonstrators to back off.

"You'll gain nothing by ransacking this building," said the judge, standing on top of an Egyptian army M1A1 tank.

"Do you want us to go home?" one of the demonstrators asked the judge angrily. "No, we won't do this."

The judge — who took part in the anti-Hosni Mubarak uprising standing shoulder to shoulder with protests in Tahrir Square — had to pull back. All other non-Islamist demonstrators did the same, leaving the Islamists, most notably the Muslim Brotherhood, outside and inside the State Security building.

Thirty-seven days prior, thousands of Islamist inmates, including Mohamed Morsi, the Muslim Brotherhood senior official who would win Egypt's presidential election almost a year and a half later, broke out of their jail cells across Egypt.

The 25 January revolution of 2011, which put an end to Hosni Mubarak's three-decade rule of Egypt, opened the door for the political empowerment of the nation's Islamists — particularly the Muslim Brotherhood — following decades of state repression.

The revolution, which started as a peaceful movement by tens of thousands of Egyptian youth against Mubarak's regime, was hijacked by Islamists to settle old scores with state authorities — particularly the police.

AFP
Protesters in Tahrir Square on 8 April, 2011.

Nowhere is this more clear than the date chosen for the anti-Mubarak mass protest: 25 January, which is Police Day in Egypt. This sent a clear message about who had become in charge.

The aftermath of the protests, the toppling of Mubarak, the takeover of the Muslim Brotherhood through popular elections, and then the subsequent military coup sometime later, left a lasting impact on Egypt and the broader region.

Costly upheavals

On the 13th anniversary of this revolution, Egypt has nothing to celebrate. The most populous Arab country continues to suffer the political, economic and security aftershocks of this seminal development.

The anti-Mubarak protests and attacks against state and police facilities in the early days of the uprising collapsed the nation's security system, including the police force.

This devastated Egypt's economy, having stopped industrial production across the nation, scared tourists away and brought the flow of foreign investments to a screeching halt.

Egyptian authorities estimate losses to the national economy from these developments in the hundreds of billions of dollars, including lost economic opportunities.

The disintegration of Egypt's security system spawned a terrifying number of terrorist groups, including in the Sinai, where one of the groups morphed into a branch of the Islamic State (IS) in 2014. It took ten years to eradicate the group, which cost thousands of lives and billions of dollars.

Read more: IS spectre disappears from Sinai for first time in decade

The 25 January revolution of 2011, which put an end to Hosni Mubarak's three-decade rule of Egypt, opened the door for the political empowerment of the nation's Islamists, following decades of state repression.

The Islamist takeover of Egypt was the most far-reaching upshot of the downfall of the Hosni Mubarak regime.

At the heart of this takeover was the Muslim Brotherhood — a group Mubarak kept tight control of throughout his 30 years of rule. The group won the majority of seats in the Egyptian parliament in 2012.

A few months later, its candidate, Mohamed Morsi, won the presidential election, putting the group on the presidential throne for the first time in Egypt's history. 

The Brotherhood's political rise polarised Egyptian society, with many fearing a radicalisation of its policies. However, observers say the most dangerous aspect of this development was its regional implications, which threatened to shake up established dynamics.

Tunisia had been the first Arab country to revolt against its government, which also established an Islamist-led government. This produced a domino effect in North Africa. Islamist-led governments were formed in Libya, Morocco, and, of course, Egypt, which sent a wave of panic across other parts of the Arab world.

AFP
Anti-government demonstrations in Tahrir Square, Cairo in February 2011.

"The Islamists championed popular slogans which won them the support from the public," Gamal Salama, a professor of political science at Suez University, told Al Majalla.

"However, when they came to power, they failed to put these slogans into practice, which led to their rapid downfall," he added.

Egyptians brought the Islamists down in mid-2013, with backing from the army. Just like their rise, their downfall happened in quick succession across the region, and Islamist-led governments across North Africa fell like a house of cards.

Lack of alternatives

The collapse of the Islamist project in Egypt proved to be as costly a downfall as that of the Hosni Mubarak regime in early 2011.

Taken out of power, the Brotherhood and other Islamist movements teamed up to protest their removal, which sparked a new wave of violence and unrest.

This unrest pitted the two dominant forces of political life in Egypt against one another: the Islamists and the army. These two forces have always been and continue to be the only powerful players on Egypt's political stage.

No viable secular or civilian alternatives exist, analysts say. While political parties exist and operate, the system seems stacked against them.

"For a civilian alternative to emerge, we are in desperate need of improvements in political conditions," Ehab Mansour, a senior member of the liberal Egyptian Social Democratic Party, told Al Majalla.

The Islamists championed popular slogans which won them the support from the public. However, when they came to power, they failed to put these slogans into practice, which led to their rapid downfall.

Gamal Salama, political science professor

Bleak options

Egypt's political life started in the early 20th century. Many political parties were allowed to operate, albeit under strict rules and limits.

Following the 2011 revolution, dozens of political parties were formed. There are now over 100 political parties but they lack the mass popular appeal needed to win elections.

Despite a crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood and the jailing and exile of many of its leaders, the spectre of an Islamist revival continues to loom in Egypt. 

This shows that not much has changed in the past 13 years since the downfall of Mubarak. The group continues to hold mass sway, and the other powerful group — the army — continues to suppress it.

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