The hard truth about the war in Gaza

Resistance to Israel's aggressive campaign has been brave, but that does not necessarily mean it will result in a better life for Palestinians when the guns fall silent

The hard truth about the war in Gaza

One of the most distressing possibilities of Israel's war on Gaza is that the profound suffering it has inflicted on the Palestinian people may not alter their circumstances.

Instead, many worry that the current crisis only sets the stage for future catastrophes. Simply commending the valiant efforts of Palestinian fighters – armed only with basic weaponry and determination against Israel's formidable military might – does not offset the grim reality facing the residents of Gaza.

Among the reasons for pessimism include the fact that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is determined to destroy Gaza and neutralise all factions — armed or not.

The underlying goal is to remove any political representation of the Palestinians, irrespective of factions. Eager to make up for his security failures, Netanyahu is determined to use every available means to turn the tide in his favour. To him, the enormous loss of Palestinian life is worth it to secure his political survival.

Eager to make up for his security failures, Netanyahu is determined to use every available means to turn the tide in his favour. To him, the enormous loss of Palestinian life is worth it to secure his political survival.

Little room for optimism

Those looking for positive signs in the emerging internal rifts in Israeli society should not be too optimistic. In reality, Israeli society is, in fact, far more hardline than Netanyahu, unified by a desire to erase the traumatic events of 7 October and, with it, the Palestinians and their cause altogether.

Anti-war voices in Israel are negligible, and while applauded in some academic circles, these views are disconnected from Israeli public opinion and Western policymakers. Despite having the world's fourth most powerful army in the world, Israel continues to portray itself as the victim in the situation, and indeed, many Israelis have internalised this victimhood narrative.

Israel has successfully deployed this narrative over the years, securing it much sympathy and support, particularly from the US.

For example, when Egypt and Syria launched the 6 October 1973 war on Israel, which caught it off guard, the US was quick to rush to Israel's defence. Similar support systems continue to provide Israel with substantial military and intelligence assistance.

This suggests that Western support for Israel is not solely based on its strategic role in the region but also heavily informed by what happened to the Jews at the hands of Nazi Germany. 

The Biden administration's stance professes a commitment to Western democratic liberalism and points to Israel as the only true democracy in the Middle East.

And while Western politicians are unlikely to outright back the Palestinian cause, popular pressure throughout the course of Israel's brutal onslaught on Palestinians in Gaza has forced many to tone down their extreme support of Israel's actions — particularly the cutting off of food, water, electricity, fuel and medicine which amounts to collective punishment.

A message with past echoes

Mohammed Deif, the leader of Hamas's Al-Qassam Brigades message to the Palestinians, bears striking similarities with the rhetoric used by the Fatah movement 58 years ago at the dawn of its inception.

Addressing Palestinians in territories occupied in 1948, as well as the West Bank, Jerusalem, and allies in Iran, Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon, Deif urged: "Today, anyone with a gun should use it, for the time has come."

"Those without guns should wield their machetes, axes, or Molotov cocktails. Use your trucks, bulldozers, or cars ... Today is the day of a grand revolution to end the last occupation and the world's last apartheid regime."

Israel continues to portray itself as the victim and has successfully deployed this narrative over the years, securing it much sympathy and support, particularly from the US.

Delusion continues

Six decades since Fatah's founders banked on mass Arab support against Israel following the launch of operations in Palestine, it appears that delusion continues to plague Palestinian leaders.

Arab countries and peoples did not rally together in 1965. Instead, there was the devastating defeat of 1967. Support expected from Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, the West Bank, and Yemen amounted to nothing more than strategic operations serving interests vested in Palestinian blood.

Unfortunately, those who realised the futility of armed resistance went to the extreme and opted to cooperate with the occupiers instead of seeking alternative means of resistance. This analysis is not meant to spread despair but to highlight that reality is far more complex than just impassioned voices might suggest.

Banking on videos of maimed, dead or starving Palestinian children to stir the global conscience is naive. While the images have deeply moved many worldwide, their governments are moved by interests, agenda and strategic calculations — not emotion.

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