Zelensky makes last-ditch appeal to rescue Ukraine war effort

The enormous cost incurred by the US and its allies in supporting Kyiv’s stalling war effort has resulted in a notable decline in Western support

Zelensky makes last-ditch appeal to rescue Ukraine war effort

It is an indication of just how much support for Ukraine has fallen in the US in recent months that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has found it necessary to visit Washington to shore up backing for his country’s faltering military campaign.

It was only last summer that US President Joe Biden was promising Kyiv that the White House would maintain its support for Ukraine’s war against Russia for “as long as it takes”.

Biden made this open-ended commitment just as Ukraine was preparing to launch its much-anticipated counter-offensive against the Russians, with expectations running high in Washington that Ukrainian forces were on the point of making a decisive breakthrough.

A combination of Russia’s formidable defensive positions in eastern and southern Ukraine, combined with shortages of weapons and manpower, has stymied Ukraine’s military offensive to the extent that its forces have only succeeded in advancing just a few kilometres along parts of its 600-mile border with Russia.

Ukraine’s inability to make significant progress with its counter-offensive, together with the enormous cost incurred by the US and its allies in supporting Kyiv’s war effort, has resulted in a notable decline in support for the Ukrainian cause among Western leaders.

Mounting costs

To date, the US has contributed around $75bn in military and humanitarian aid, with the European Union contributing a further $71bn, mainly in the form of humanitarian support. Meanwhile, Germany and the UK have also made significant military contributions to Ukraine’s war effort worth around $25bn.

The mounting cost of supporting Ukraine’s war effort, with the Biden administration planning to spend a further $61bn in aid, has prompted a political backlash in Washington, with Republicans calling for an end to Washington’s “blank cheque” support for Ukraine.

The mounting cost of supporting Ukraine's war effort, with the Biden administration planning to spend a further $61bn in aid, has prompted a political backlash in Washington.

With the row over Ukrainian aid threatening to become a major issue in next year's US presidential election contest, Zelenksy has been forced to travel to Washington in a desperate bid to persuade US law-makers of the need to maintain their support for Kyiv, without which many Western commentators predict Ukraine will lose the war.

On Sunday, Ukraine's first lady, Olena Zelenska, warned in an interview with the BBC that Ukraine is in mortal danger without continuing American support.

"We really need the help," said Mrs Zelensky. "In simple words, we cannot get tired of this situation because if we do, we die. "And if the world gets tired, they will simply let us die."

In addition, Zelensky is well aware that the deepening crisis in Gaza is diverting attention away from the Ukraine conflict.

In such circumstances, Zelensky understands the importance of maintaining US support for Kyiv, a point he was keen to stress during his round of meetings with senior lawmakers, concluding with his meeting with Biden at the White House.

But while Biden continues to insist that America remains committed to supporting Ukraine, the deepening resistance in Congress, especially among Republicans opposed to signing endless "blank cheques" to fund Kyiv's military effort, means the White House faces a significant obstacle in its efforts to keep the aid flowing.

Speaking after his meeting with the Ukrainian leader, Biden conceded it would be a "Christmas gift" to Vladimir Putin if Congress failed to pass a spending bill for more weapons before the end of the year.

Biden assured his Ukrainian counterpart, "We are going to stand at your side", but warned that Putin is "banking" on the US "failing to deliver" for Ukraine. "We must prove him wrong", he said.

Republican frustration

Even so, with the White House warning that the US will soon run out of money to provide weapons to Ukraine without congressional action, Senate Republicans are attempting to block legislation that would provide more than $15bn in additional support to Ukraine in the short term.

The funds would cover areas such as military training, intelligence sharing, and increased presence in what US officials call "the European Command area of responsibility."

Republican opposition to maintaining backing for Ukraine reflects a broader decline in support for Kyiv among American voters, with a recent Gallup survey showing that at least 41% of Americans believe the US is doing "too much" to aid the war-torn country — marking a 12% increase from a previous survey.

At least 41% of Americans believe the US is doing "too much" to aid the war-torn country — marking a 12% increase from a previous Gallup survey.

Asked how long the US should provide funding to Ukraine, more than 60% of respondents said it should have limits, according to the poll.

Efforts by the European Union to maintain aid for Ukraine have also become difficult. European leaders are said to be exploring ways of drawing up a "plan B" to provide Ukraine with emergency funds if Hungary carries out its threat to block a €50bn euro aid lifeline to Kyiv.

Viktor Orban, the Hungarian prime minister, has threatened to veto the EU's attempt to provide the much-needed finances and formal negotiations on the war-torn country joining the bloc at a summit later this week. Ukraine has warned it will find itself on the "edge of survival" if EU funding is not forthcoming.

Disastrous implications

The mounting opposition within the US and Europe to maintaining support for Ukraine could certainly have disastrous implications for the outcome of the conflict, raising the very real prospect that Ukraine could lose the war.

Despite the undoubted difficulties Zelensky is facing in shoring up support, though, there nevertheless remains an influential body of opinion on both sides of the Atlantic that well understands the dire implications for future Western security if Russia is allowed to claim victory in Ukraine.

During his meeting with US Senators, Zelensky made it clear that, as US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer later revealed,"if he gets the help, he can win this war".

"He also made clear... that if we lose, Putin wins," Schumer added. "This will be very dangerous for the United States."

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