Sudan between peace and fragmentation

The balance of power between the army and the militia that controls Darfur may be shifting, but which way is not yet clear

There are fears that a divided country could yet splinter into a patchwork of overlapping fiefdoms led by warlords and terrorists, with neither a military nor diplomatic solution looking likely

The powerful militia controls half the country, battling the Sudanese Armed Forces for the rest, but has had several setbacks as of late, including defections to the other side

Beyond Israel's immediate security aims lies a much larger struggle over Lebanon's future—one that will unfold over years, in multiple stages, and cannot be reduced to a simple question of force.

Cairo hopes to gain the trust of partners through its regular payments to energy firms, so that they will be more inclined to invest in gas exploration activities

Israel's recent assassination of Izz al-Din al-Haddad will do little to sway the group's decision to stick to its guns, which it views as a 'sacred right' and a defence against Israeli-armed gangs

Football star Lamine Yamal's hoisting of Palestine's flag, and the Eurovision audience's booing of Israel's contestant, show how Israel has lost its PR edge

The most recent and most expansive operation took place on 2 May 2026, where a wide array of sites in the Sweida province were hit