Kurdistan: allies come and go, neighbours remain

There is a fundamental difference between a visitor and a neighbour. America comes and goes. Iran, Türkiye and Syria do not, even when their regimes change

Kurdistan: allies come and go, neighbours remain

Seen from Washington, the map of Iraq's Kurdistan Region appears deceptively simple: oil and gas fields, pipelines, companies and investments, borders with Iran, Türkiye and Syria, and a partner in the fight against terrorism. On the ground, the picture is far more complex. There is a history of bloodshed with Baghdad, uprisings and internecine warfare, political, class, and tribal rivalries, families that inherit power and perpetuate old feuds, and parties with their own armed forces, security services, and spheres of influence. Beneath it all runs a bitter sense of injustice, born of geography and the realities of living among powerful neighbours.

Can America safeguard its interests through fleeting visits and temporary engagements in societies still carrying the scars of historical betrayals and the tyranny of geography?

The question has resurfaced in Iraqi Kurdistan amid renewed tensions between Sulaymaniyah and Erbil. Speaking in London a few days ago, US envoy Tom Barrack offered his assessment of the dispute between the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK). He described the crisis as "a series of family disputes" and urged the two sides to move beyond their "tribal differences". His advice was blunt: "Get over it."

President Donald Trump's envoy left little doubt about his priorities. He said attacks on the gas field were "unacceptable," and that American and international companies generating revenue for the region should never be held hostage to its internal disputes.

For Washington, the quarrel is an obstacle to investment. For the Kurds, it is another chapter in a long history of conflict. Kurdish divisions predate the oil and gas industry and the present rivalry between the Barzani and Talabani families. Their roots reach deep into the Kurdish movement itself, through divisions between traditional leaders and modern political currents, countryside and city, rich and poor, tribal loyalties and the left. Behind them stand competing visions of how Kurdish society should be organised and who should lead it.

The KDP grew around the historic leadership of Mullah Mustafa Barzani and established social and tribal networks. Much of its legitimacy derived from the history of armed struggle and the nationalist symbolism of the Barzani leadership. The founding of the PUK under Jalal Talabani reflected a different political tradition, drawing on nationalist and leftist currents and a substantial social and political base in Sulaymaniyah. These ideological and social differences were profound. They helped forge two distinct political identities within the Kurdish movement, each with its own institutions of power and networks of influence.

The Kurdish civil war of the 1990s deepened those wounds. The region split into two administrations, while internal rivalries became entangled with interventions by Baghdad, Tehran, Ankara and Damascus, four capitals opposed to the emergence of a Kurdish entity. Washington intervened to broker an agreement between the two parties. The administrations were eventually reunited, but institutional integration remained incomplete. Security agencies, armed forces, and networks of vested interests remained divided between the rival centres of power in Erbil and Sulaymaniyah.

Regional powers compete for influence in Iraq, yet share an interest in preventing the emergence of a Kurdish entity spanning parts of four countries

Stark irony

Washington's changing role is ironic. Nearly three decades ago, the United States helped broker a settlement between the Kurdish parties and set them on a path towards unity, years before the 2003 invasion of Iraq. Today, having withdrawn from Iraq, Washington seeks to anchor its influence through economic interests, investment and an aerial military presence directed against the Islamic State (IS). Its priorities and methods have changed, even as the old Kurdish divisions endure.

A settlement can be imposed upon a wounded society. Reconciliation is another matter. Political offices can be allocated, ministries and resources distributed, agreements signed, partnerships divided and governments formed. Yet an ally's advice cannot erase collective memory, any more than a handshake between leaders can dispel generations of mistrust.

Geography has also helped shape the divide. The two parties emerged from different domestic traditions and cultivated different alliances abroad. Iraq's political order changed after Saddam Hussein, but the underlying disputes between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Region survived the fall of his regime.

Sulaymaniyah lies in the eastern part of the region, close to the Iranian border, and its ties with Iran stretch back decades. Political choice alone cannot explain those relations. Geography, security, trade and the regional balance of power have all helped determine their course.

Erbil and Duhok, meanwhile, lie in the region's north and west. The Barzani strongholds connect to Türkiye through border crossings, commercial routes, and oil export pipelines. Relations between Ankara and Erbil have developed into a partnership despite the troubled history between Türkiye and the Kurdish movement.

The emergence of a new political order in Syria has brought another shift. Relations between the "new Syria" and Erbil have grown closer, at Sulaymaniyah's expense. The latter had maintained stronger ties with the Assad regime. Damascus now views Erbil through the lens of its role in weakening the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), an ally of Talabani.

The rivalry between the two Kurdish parties extends far beyond their internal disputes. Regional powers compete for influence in Iraq, yet share an interest in preventing the emergence of a Kurdish entity spanning parts of four countries. Their rivalries and calculations have become inseparable from the contest between Erbil and Sulaymaniyah.

Washington wants a united Kurdish region to protect its energy and security interests. Geography draws the two parties toward different neighbours and alliances, perpetuating the very divisions American diplomacy seeks to overcome.

The Kurds cannot escape their geography or their history. They must live with permanent neighbours and divisions that agreements cannot erase

Fundamental difference

There is a fundamental difference between a visitor and a neighbour. America comes and goes. Iran, Türkiye and Syria do not, even when their regimes change. Administrations in Washington change, priorities shift, and American engagement expands or contracts. Geography does not change.

Sulaymaniyah will remain Iran's neighbour. Türkiye and Syria will remain neighbours of Erbil and Duhok, whatever changes occur in governments, alliances or political priorities.

From London, Barrack can dismiss the dispute as a family quarrel and offer a few words of advice. Among the mountains, valleys and tunnels of Kurdistan, the stakes are far higher. There, it is a question of survival.

Washington can survey Kurdistan from above and decide when to intervene and when to withdraw. The Kurds have no such freedom. They cannot escape their geography, their history or the bitter memories of "American betrayals" stretching across decades and borders. They must live with permanent neighbours and divisions that no amount of advice can erase.

Barrack is an envoy who comes and goes—a transient ally. The neighbours remain, generation after generation. They never leave.

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