Settler attacks increase ahead of Israel election

Settlement expansion in the West Bank is popular with Israeli voters, which explains the uptick in violence in recent weeks

Mustafa Ali Abu Bakr, 76, stands in front of his family’s graves after they were broken by Israeli soldiers near Nablus in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, on 31 July 2026.
Reuters
Mustafa Ali Abu Bakr, 76, stands in front of his family’s graves after they were broken by Israeli soldiers near Nablus in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, on 31 July 2026.

Settler attacks increase ahead of Israel election

For sceptics, it is no coincidence that there is renewed fighting in the West Bank in the run-up to an Israeli election in which settler-supported far-right religious nationalists hope to do well. Indeed, recent events, such as in the Palestinian village of Tel, have not come from nowhere.

According to the official Israeli account, Palestinian residents clashed with settlers during a settler-organised “hike” through the village. It is not a lone example. Settlers set fire to Palestinian farmland in Burin, south of Nablus, then prevented the Palestinian Civil Defence crews from reaching the area to extinguish the fire. In Nablus itself, which is in Area A, Israeli security forces and settlers attacked and injured 11 Palestinians, before leaving. Entry of ‘Israeli citizens’ into Area A is supposed to be legally prohibited.

These incidents form part of a pattern. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) reports that between 1 January 2025 and 30 June 2026 there have been 3,033 settler attacks in the West Bank. Yet settler-backed political parties, such as those of National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, are widely considered to be the ‘kingmakers’ of Israeli politics, and could be so again on 27 October, when Israelis next go to the polls.

Ahead of polling

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has spent decades presenting himself as the master of security and strategy, and is worried that he will be blamed for the attacks on southern Israel on 7 October 2023 when voters head to the polling booths. He has led a governing coalition comprising his right-wing Likud party, far-right parties like Ben-Gvir’s, and strictly Orthodox parties, whose leaders seek exemptions for their devout young men from military service.

Those who favour Israel’s annexation of the West Bank have been urging Netanyahu to make far-reaching decisions during the government’s final months in office, with events in Tel and other villages preparing the ground for escalation across the West Bank, with thousands of settler units being built in Palestinian land to create an irreversible ‘new reality’ on the ground. Five years ago, such settlement-building efforts were pursued quietly and without fanfare. Now they are overt and celebrated.

AFP
Israeli settlers illegally taking building materials from a Palestinian-owned home under constructions, as they take part in an organised march between Palestinian villages south-west of Nablus in the West Bank on 31 July 2026.

This has strengthened the settlement enterprise, empowered settlers, revived plans for forced displacement, weakened the Palestinian Authority, and made ordinary life on Palestinian land increasingly difficult. The coalition agreement between Likud and the Religious Zionism Party (led by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich) gave settler leaders direct authority over government departments and official bodies responsible for administering Israel’s occupation of the West Bank.

Bolstering positions

Extensive powers were transferred from the Civil Administration to Smotrich’s control, including authority over the Settlement Administration and the Civil Administration’s legal unit. This gave him oversight of further land confiscations and the enforcement of building-demolition policies, particularly in Area C, which remains under full Israeli civil and security control under the Oslo framework.

The coalition agreement also established a new ministry responsible for settlement affairs, headed by Orit Strock, a senior member of Smotrich’s party. Through this ministry, the government channelled money to newly established settlement outposts and pastoral settler communities across the West Bank. According to Israeli civil rights group Peace Now, there are now 231 such outposts, collectively covering nearly 20% of the West Bank. This has displaced around 120 Palestinian communities. More than half were uprooted after 7 October 2023, as settler ‘revenge’ attacks intensified.

AFP
Security personnel stand guard as Israeli settlers (not pictured) take part in a march between the villages of Sarra and Tel, south-west of Nablus in the West Bank on 31 July 2026.

Israeli law regards these outposts as illegal, yet Netanyahu’s government has justified supporting them on security grounds and under the pretext of protecting settlers. It has supplied what it calls “logistical support that enables settlers to cope with the tense security reality,” including four-wheel-drive vehicles, drones, electricity generators, electronic gates, and lighting. In practice, this does more than reinforce the outposts; it enables settlers to intensify their attacks on Palestinians, seize livestock, and perpetrate violence as a form of intimidation.

Build, build, build

A few months after the government took office, it abolished the requirement that the defence minister approve every stage of a settlement construction plan. Settlement expansion then accelerated sharply. The Higher Planning Council began meeting more frequently, and in the past 12 months, it has approved 27,941 housing units, the highest annual figure ever. Under this new system, settlers are both the decision-makers and the beneficiaries.

In control of influential ministries, government agencies, and military units, their control over vast expanses of West Bank territory has made Palestinian life not just difficult but dangerous and, at times, deadly. Settler incursions into towns and rural communities are deliberately designed to provoke direct confrontation, with members of the Israeli army reserve units always in attendance ‘to provide protection’. Most of these reservists are themselves settlers, and many participate in the assaults.

Those who favour Israel's annexation of the West Bank have been urging Netanyahu to make far-reaching decisions during the government's final months

According to the Wall and Settlement Resistance Commission, 24 Palestinians have been killed by settler gunfire in both the West Bank and Jerusalem in 2026. The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights said 18 Palestinians had been killed in settler attacks in the West Bank alone. Such violence has now become part of daily life for residents of remote villages and small towns.

Settlers are seldom held accountable, particularly since Defence Minister Israel Katz abolished the use of administrative detention orders against settlers after taking office. Civil rights groups and organisations operating in the West Bank report more than 20 settlement outposts established over the past three years in Area B, which is administered by the Palestinian Authority, including in planning and construction.

Symbiotic relationship

Under Netanyahu's government, the Israeli army and settlers have worked together to consolidate control over Palestinian land. This includes mutual protection and the erection of checkpoints and iron gates at the entrances to West Bank towns and agricultural areas, whether to facilitate the seizure of land or to obstruct Palestinian movement between cities and governorates. OCHA has recorded more than 900 such checkpoints and gates.

AFP
An Israeli settler and child take part in an organised march between the Palestinian villages after two Israelis were killed during clashes in July 2026.

The government's policies across the occupied territories have effectively accelerated annexation, land seizure, and displacement, creating realities that any future coalition could not reverse. Netanyahu may use the remaining weeks in office to impose further 'facts on the ground,' such as by ordering the displacement of residents from additional Palestinian refugee camps (as Katz has threatened), demolishing more homes, and/or signing off on more expulsions. By doing so, the government will hope to turn its record in the West Bank into electoral capital, strengthening its appeal to the right.

If a much bigger confrontation is on the cards, Palestinian society is unprepared. Internal divisions and difficult conditions prevent it from mobilising as a unified force against the machinery of settlement expansion. This has made the Israeli government's redrawing of the West Bank's geographic and demographic contours easier, further reducing the options available to the Palestinian leadership and their institutions.

Even if Netanyahu's alliance is voted out in October, reversing this trajectory will be a Herculean task, and one that few Jewish Israeli parties seem interested in. Israel's political centre has shifted so decisively rightward that the very architecture of a negotiated peace is now just an analyst's talking point, not a policy prospect. The Palestinian issue has been nowhere near the centre of Israel's domestic political debate for several years now. Palestinians in the West Bank will suffer as a result.

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