Why AI is forcing a reassessment of the electricity sector

Traditional large electricity customers' requirements have tended to match utilities' capacities, but the enormous data centres on which the AI era is being built are redefining demand

AI has changed things by introducing concentrated, volatile, large-scale loads that carry big implications for the electricity grid.
Eduardo Ramon
AI has changed things by introducing concentrated, volatile, large-scale loads that carry big implications for the electricity grid.

Why AI is forcing a reassessment of the electricity sector

Until recently, a request for more than 300 megawatts of new electricity demand would most likely have signalled the establishment of an aluminium smelter, a petrochemical complex, or a large industrial estate. Today, it is just as likely to support an AI data centre, whose voracious thirst for electricity is well documented. Yet the real story is bigger.

AI infrastructure is creating an entirely new class of electricity customers, different from large industrial clients. These customers consume power at unprecedented scale, operate continuously, demand exceptionally high reliability, and expect to be connected to the grid far faster than utilities are accustomed to delivering.

For more than three decades, electricity-sector reforms have liberalised markets, unbundled generation, transmission and distribution, and introduced competition to improve efficiency and reduce costs. The rapid expansion of AI is now testing those structures. As hyperscale data centres emerge, the coordination advantages of vertically integrated utilities are becoming more apparent.

These vertically integrated utilities remain dominant in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), but regulated tariffs and subsidised electricity raise questions about how this infrastructure should be delivered. AI is not proving one model of electricity provision superior to another; it is exposing the strengths and limitations of each.

Governments must now consider whether huge data centres are a distinct category of electricity customer requiring new approaches to grid access, tariffs, infrastructure, and new roles for utilities and developers. The answer will shape how electricity systems evolve, and which countries are best positioned to compete in the AI economy.

New class of customer

At first glance, hyperscale data centres may look like any other large industrial customer, but several characteristics fundamentally distinguish them. They require larger amounts of electricity in shorter timeframes, they require continuous electricity, they demand high levels of reliability, and they cluster massive loads in limited locations. Combined, it challenges the way electricity sectors are planned, operated, and regulated.

AI workloads, powered by high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs), can consume up to eight times more electricity than conventional computing. Hyperscale developers require hundreds of megawatts from day one and expect grid connections within two to three years. This compresses what would normally be years’ worth of demand growth into a single connection request.

Reuters
The Digital Realty Data Centre in Ashburn, Virginia, on March 17, 2025

They use electricity differently, too. “A factory’s energy demand usually follows production cycles, shifts, and market output, while a data centre is a continuous load,” says Prof. Rabih Bashroush, who has coordinated EU-funded projects addressing energy efficiency in data centres. Demand also fluctuates rapidly as workloads change, replacing the relatively stable, predictable load profiles of traditional large industrial consumers.

To these centres, reliability is as critical as supply. Hyperscale data centres have little tolerance for power disturbances. Even brief voltage or frequency fluctuations can interrupt AI operations or damage costly computing equipment, making power quality and grid resilience of utmost importance.

Demand is also highly concentrated. AI infrastructure concentrates massive loads in a few sites, placing huge pressure on local electricity networks. Utilities worry that concentrated loads could destabilise the grid, while operators worry that grid instability could damage expensive hardware, as minor disturbances can force facilities off-grid to protect high-value equipment. “Scale and concentration pose additional challenges,” said Bashroush, “because if multiple data centres trip or reconnect at the same time, they can create a sudden and significant swing in grid demand”. This could lead to blackouts.

Speed of evolution

These data centres’ characteristics are already reshaping electricity planning. According to the International Energy Agency, their electricity consumption is expected to more than double by 2030, to approximately 945 TWh, which is roughly equivalent to Japan’s current annual electricity consumption. For MENA countries, particularly Saudi Arabia and the UAE as emerging as AI hubs, this is an important issue.

Electricity is a strategic enabler of digital competitiveness, and the key challenge lies in whether electricity utilities and regulatory frameworks can evolve quickly enough to support the AI economy. As part of that, AI data centres require dedicated rules for grid access, tariffs, and infrastructure investment.

For decades, the relationship between utilities and large electricity consumers was straightforward: utilities planned the system, matched supply with demand through relatively predictable growth in residential, commercial and industrial consumption, and delivered electricity through the grid. Large industrial consumers focused on their own operations rather than on securing their own power.

AI is not proving one model of electricity provision superior to another; it is exposing the strengths and limitations of each

AI has changed things by introducing concentrated, volatile, large-scale loads which carry big implications for the grid, and unlike traditional consumers, hyperscale developers cannot afford to wait five to ten years for new connections. AI infrastructure is typically deployed within two to three years, but the physical grid cannot expand as quickly as developers want. This creates a growing mismatch between the pace of digital investment and the time needed to build power plants, power lines, and substations.

To bridge that gap, hyperscale developers are now 'bringing their own power,' signing long-term power purchase agreements, investing directly in renewables and battery storage, and developing behind-the-meter generation (often gas-fired) to secure reliable electricity and accelerate delivery.

As such, hyperscalers are becoming accidental power producers, a role MENA electricity sectors were not designed to accommodate. This marks a fundamental change in the relationship between electricity utilities and their largest customers. Hyperscale developers' willingness to co-invest in electricity infrastructure requires a different regulatory and commercial approach.

Adapting for the AI era

Around 70% of MENA electricity utilities remain vertically integrated, according to data by New Energy Consult, meaning a single utility owns and operates generation, transmission, and distribution. In most countries, electricity tariffs remain regulated and subsidised. This structure offers real advantages in the AI era. Hyperscale data centres require coordinated investment across generation, power lines, and substations.

Reuters
Work on decommissioning server racks in the cloud data hall of the Microsoft data centre in Dublin, Ireland, on February 17, 2026.

A single utility responsible for planning and operating the entire supply chain can, in theory, deliver that faster than a liberalised market where multiple entities must separately finance and develop different parts of the value chain. The contrast is increasingly visible in parts of the United States and Europe, where necessary grid upgrades and lengthy grid connection queues have delayed AI projects.

In the US, behind-the-meter generation is rapidly emerging as a practical solution for hyperscale developers. Some US utilities are also consolidating regulated assets and expanding investment in transmission and distribution networks, reflecting the growing value of coordinated infrastructure planning as AI places unprecedented pressure on electricity markets.

At the same time, AI is exposing the limits of the traditional MENA model. Electricity sectors in the region were designed around a clear service provision: state-owned utilities provide the service to the consumers, often at subsidised rates. But hyperscale developers want direct control over generation and delivery, through behind-the-meter capacity, private wires, and dedicated infrastructure, so what happens next?

Reimagining the sector

Should developers be allowed to build and own generation dedicated to a single facility, connect directly to independent power producers, or hold private transmission assets? And who pays for the substations and network upgrades built primarily to serve them? MENA regulatory frameworks offer little guidance, because they were designed long before hyperscale AI infrastructure existed.

AFP
A model of the largest data centre in the UAE under construction in Abu Dhabi as the Stargate initiative, a joint venture between G42, Microsoft, and OpenAI.

Addressing this does not mean that MENA, specifically Gulf countries, should abandon their existing electricity sector models, but simply adapt them. Regulatory frameworks need to accommodate behind-the-meter generation for this class of customers, while preserving the reliability and strategic role of national utilities.

Governments will also need clear rules on how the costs of new transmission, substations, and other network upgrades will be shared between utilities and hyperscale developers, ensuring that investments supporting individual AI projects do not place pressure on utility balance sheets, governments, or other consumers. As Jack Ihle of Xcel Energy explains, "large-load customers should pay for the generation, and transmission built to serve them".

Finally, Gulf states invest heavily in the digital economy, so electricity infrastructure, digital infrastructure, and industrial policy must be planned together, not separately. Those that move fast may not be those with the most abundant energy resources, but those capable of adapting their electricity sectors to support this new category of strategic consumers.

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