Why Iraq is now the Middle East’s persistent headache

Iran-backed militias roam Iraq firing drones and missiles at neighbours, prompting only criticism from Baghdad. If the Iraqi government cannot get a grip, the region will face a future crisis

Why Iraq is now the Middle East’s persistent headache

As the shaky between the United States and Iran continues to hold, there are growing concerns about the role Iraq is increasingly playing across a delicate regional landscape. A country with a deep history and immense strategic importance, Iraq is gradually becoming a bit of a headache.

Away from the main headlines, observers will know that there have been repeated attacks launched from Iraqi territory against Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, even when the overall onus was on calm and negotiations. This raises serious questions about Iraq’s future and its impact on regional security. Although the latest attacks involving drones were intercepted by Saudi and Gulf air-defence systems, they nevertheless confront us with a reality that cannot be ignored.

The deeper problem appears to lie less with the Iraqi state and its official institutions than with the armed factions and militias that have usurped the state’s authority and turned Iraqi territory into a platform for advancing external agendas. These groups are allied with Iran.

They have transformed Iraq into an arena for settling scores and tied its security and stability to interests that serve neither its people nor its future. Under such conditions, it is difficult to discuss state sovereignty, while rogue armed formations remain beyond the authority of the law and operate according to the will of those outside Iraq’s borders.

Unrestrained militias

Iraq’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed “concern” and condemned the attacks, but that is insufficient. This moment requires more than statements of condemnation. Neighbouring states that are being attacked from Iraqi territory are waiting for tangible action and firm measures to end this lawlessness. Unless Iraq’s diplomatic statements are matched by a genuine ability to restrain the militias and prevent them from undermining the security of neighbouring states, then the language loses its meaning.

The Iraqi government’s clear inability to control the country’s internal situation sends negative signals regarding the capacity of state institutions to fulfil their obligations towards Iraq’s neighbours and the international community. Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states hold Iraq and its people in the highest regard, and as an inseparable component of the Arab regional order, having spent years supporting Iraq’s stability and helping restore it to its natural Arab environment, recognising that Iraq’s security is bound up with the security of the wider region.

Armed factions and militias have usurped the state's authority and turned Iraqi territory into a platform for advancing external agendas

Yet this commitment collides with the bitter reality imposed by militias seeking to sabotage any rapprochement with Iraq and keep the country trapped in isolation and subordination to external agendas. Iraq's new Prime Minister, Ali al-Zaidi, therefore faces the challenge of restoring the authority of the state and affirming its ability to monopolise decisions of war and peace.

If he cannot, Iraq will remain captive to this distorted equation, becoming a source of threat to its neighbours, rather than a partner in regional stability. In this context, the issue of proxy groups and militias, particularly in Iraq, cannot be overlooked at the talks in Pakistan between Iranian and American representatives. Any future agreement that ignores this issue just postpones a crisis.

A far bigger issue

The international community must recognise that regional stability cannot be achieved solely by halting direct confrontation between the principal parties. It has to address the roots of the tension: Iran's foreign interference and support for armed militias that use Iraq and other countries as launchpads for destabilising the region.

Ultimately, Iraq today stands at a crossroads. Either it genuinely restores its sovereignty and independent national decision-making to become a force for stability within its region, or it continues its descent into becoming a permanent source of threat. The responsibility falls first and foremost on the Iraqi leadership to prove its ability to confront this challenge and impose full sovereignty over its territory.

Unless this issue is resolved clearly and decisively, the region will remain hostage to a persistent headache that threatens to evolve into even more complex crises. History shows that states unable to monopolise the use of legitimate force within their own borders inevitably become a burden on themselves before becoming a burden on their neighbours.

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