The US-Iran war puts Europe in Catch-22

European leaders find themselves in the awkward position of either infuriating the US if they don't join the war or provoking Iran if they do.

The US-Iran war puts Europe in Catch-22

Escalating tensions between the US and Europe over the reservations many European leaders have about the Iran war could nevertheless lead to increased European involvement in the conflict.

Since the US and Israel waged war on Iran on 28 February, European leaders have criticised the move and expressed reservations about joining the battle. In their view, it is a war of choice, not necessity, as Iran did not attack first. Given that fact, NATO allies are not contractually obligated to join in the war effort

European reluctance to support the war has been especially pronounced in the UK, where the initial approach of Keir Starmer was to forbid the US from using British military bases to conduct strikes on Iran. These included UK-based air bases such as RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire, and the top-secret Diego Garcia base in the Indian Ocean. However, he later obliged, while emphasising that the bases could only be used for defensive purposes.

Starmer was wary that offensive action against Iran could drag the UK into a war it did not start, nor was consulted about in advance. Furthermore, the UK and other European states are feeling the economic pinch amid surging oil prices, as Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s key shipping routes that transports around 20% of global energy needs.

For his part, US President Donald Trump said he was "not happy" with the UK, adding that it "should be enthusiastically involved" in efforts to reopen Hormuz. He even went so far as to call America's European allies “cowards” for their reluctance to join the war effort.

It remains unclear why the US needs help, given the fact that Trump constantly claims that the war is almost finished and Iran has lost. European countries wonder why the US is pressing them to provide naval support when there are already two American aircraft carriers in the region.

It remains unclear why the US needs help, given the fact that Trump constantly claims that the war is almost finished and Iran has lost

Change in tune

Given Trump's scathing criticism of European countries and his reference to their ungratefulness over American help in the fight against Russia in Ukraine, many European leaders are now changing their tune.

Read more: Will European allies get drawn into the US-Iran war?

Starmer now says the UK could deploy minehunters to the region, and has even raised the prospect of sending a British aircraft carrier. The UK has already sent one of its Type 45 destroyers, HMS Dragon, to the region, while France has deployed its Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier, together with a naval support group, to the Mediterranean. 

Despite their military deployments, European leaders continue to push for de-escalation. One nation at the forefront of these efforts has been Spain, one of the most vocal opponents of the war. Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez accused the US of waging an illegal war and vowed not to join the war effort.

Other European leaders appear to be treading a fine line, trying not to anger Trump while also trying to dissociate themselves from America's actions. After a European Council summit, a joint statement was put out declaring support for "appropriate efforts" to ensure safe passage through Hormuz, but only once the fighting had stopped.

For his part, French President Emmanuel Macron is reported to be sounding out allies on a potential UN-backed framework to secure shipping, while NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said he remains "confident" that the allies will find a way to restore traffic through the chokepoint.

Starmer is putting British lives in danger by allowing UK bases to be used for aggression against Iran

Abbas Araghchi, Iran's foreign minister

Drawing Iran's ire

Any perceived European backing of the US war effort will likely provoke a furious response from Iran, which has already issued direct threats to the UK following Starmer's decision to allow the US to use UK bases to attack Iranian positions.

"The vast majority of the British people don't want any part in the Israel-US war of choice on Iran," Abbas Araghchi, Iran's foreign minister, wrote in English on X. "Ignoring his own people, Mr Starmer is putting British lives in danger by allowing UK bases to be used for aggression against Iran. Iran will exercise its right to self-defence."

With little prospect of the war ending anytime soon, European leaders find themselves in the awkward position of either infuriating the US if they don't join in the war or provoking Iran if they do.

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